Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $46.9400 (0.54%) ($46.6800 - $47.0500) on Tue. Nov. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $46.9400(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.57(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.31(1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.56(0.82%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2012	45.33	46.56	46.31	46.57			46.94(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	13	-31	4.75	66%	0.07	-25.7	0.68%	0	0.8	52	0
2	Nov_5_2012	45.3	46.59	46.26	46.37			46.69(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	11	-49	6.32	66%	0.07	-28.4	0.68%	0	0.2	56	0
3	Nov_2_2012	45.27	46.62	46.32	46.19			46.57(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	8	-48	6.09	70%	0.09	-31.7	0.72%	0	-0.1	55	0
4	Nov_1_2012	45.23	46.64	46.39	46.05			46.6(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	7	-48	5.13	70%	0.09	-31.8	0.72%	0	-0.1	52	0
5	Oct_31_2012	45.19	46.65	46.43	45.94			46.07(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-4	-59	9.16	63%	0.16	-38.8	0.71%	0	-1	41	0

6	Oct_26_2012	45.12	46.69	46.5	46.01			45.92(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-7	-63	3.79	69%	0.07	-43.3	0.76%	0	-1.4	31	0
7	Oct_25_2012	45.09	46.73	46.54	46.14			45.77(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-19	-75	3	69%	0.07	-46	0.78%	0	-1.8	28	0
8	Oct_24_2012	45.06	46.8	46.6	46.48			45.88(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-28	-10000	-16	-63	2.74	69%	0.09	-38.1	0.78%	0	-1.9	32	0
9	Oct_23_2012	45.02	46.84	46.67	46.78			46.06(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-10000	-12	-42	4.68	64%	0.09	-36.2	0.78%	0	-1.8	40	0
10	Oct_22_2012	44.98	46.88	46.75	46.99			46.43(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7	-10000	-3	-18	3.28	67%	0.11	-28.9	0.8%	0	-1.1	49	0

11	Oct_19_2012	44.93	46.93	46.86	47.05			46.58(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	3	-10000	4	-1	7.45	63%	0.07	-26.1	0.81%	0	-0.8	49	0
12	Oct_18_2012	44.9	46.93	46.86	46.98			47.43(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	13	9	4.47	69%	0.09	-31.3	0.78%	0	1	58	0
13	Oct_17_2012	44.86	46.98	46.95	46.75			47.4(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	7	-10000	11	-6	4.98	69%	0.09	-42	0.78%	0	0.9	54	0
14	Oct_16_2012	44.82	46.98	46.91	46.56			47.13(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	4	-18	3.83	69%	0.04	-46	0.79%	0	0.3	58	0
15	Oct_15_2012	44.8	47	46.86	46.49			46.71(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-15	-10000	-9	-32	3.46	67%	0.09	-44.1	0.79%	0	-0.6	49	0

16	Oct_12_2012	44.76	47.04	46.87	46.65			46.25(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-15	-30	5.72	68%	0.07	-26.9	0.8%	0	-1.6	36	0
17	Oct_11_2012	44.73	47.12	46.93	46.92			46.26(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-14	-10000	-13	-16	5.81	68%	0.07	-3.1	0.8%	0	-1.9	35	0
18	Oct_10_2012	44.7	47.18	47.01	47.17			46.47(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-5	-10000	-6	-2	5.43	68%	0.09	23.6	0.81%	0	-1.7	34	0
19	Oct_9_2012	44.66	47.18	47.03	47.28			46.76(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.3	-1	-10000	1	-8	5.79	68%	0.09	48.2	0.8%	0	-1.1	36	0
20	Oct_8_2012	44.62	47.21	47.04	47.26			47.52(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	8	-14	2.74	74%	0.11	60.9	0.78%	0	0.8	52	0

21	Oct_5_2012	44.57	47.17	47.02	47.11			47.61(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	9	-29	5.03	74%	0.13	63.2	0.78%	0	1.1	49	0
22	Oct_4_2012	44.51	47.13	47	46.95			47.47(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-9	-10000	5	-50	5.41	74%	0.09	67.4	0.78%	0	0.8	45	0
23	Oct_3_2012	44.47	47.09	47.01	46.85			47.04(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	5	-56	3.95	72%	0.07	56.6	0.78%	0	-0.1	43	0
24	Oct_2_2012	44.44	47.02	47.08	46.75			46.67(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-2	-57	4.16	71%	0.07	44	0.78%	0	-0.6	49	0
25	Oct_1_2012	44.41	46.97	47.14	46.78			46.76(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-7	-48	2.69	71%		47.1	0.78%	0	-0.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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