Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 27, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $46.9900 (1.01%) ($46.6200 - $47.1700) on Thu. Sep. 27, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $46.9900(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.06(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.32(-0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.85(0.3%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2012	44.35	46.85	47.32	47.06			46.99(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10000	-7	1	2.9	74%	0.05	52.4	0.82%	0	0.2	55	0
2	Sep_26_2012	44.33	46.79	47.37	47.2			46.52(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-14	26	3.52	75%	0.07	57.7	0.81%	0	-0.3	53	0
3	Sep_25_2012	44.3	46.74	47.43	47.46			46.84(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-5	72	2.96	69%	0.05	64	0.82%	0	0.1	70	0
4	Sep_24_2012	44.28	46.67	47.42	47.55			47.4(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-10000	-1	99	2.69	73%	0.05	64.5	0.83%	0	0.8	79	0
5	Sep_21_2012	44.26	46.57	47.36	47.58			47.53(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-10000	-1	121	4.71	66%	0.05	64.4	0.83%	0	1	78	0

6	Sep_20_2012	44.24	46.45	47.29	47.61			47.73(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	2	141	3.53	66%	0.05	62.7	0.87%	0	1.3	83	0
7	Sep_19_2012	44.22	46.32	47.17	47.57			47.79(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-10000	8	157	5.97	66%	0.02	66.5	0.87%	0	1.6	78	0
8	Sep_18_2012	44.21	46.19	46.95	47.4			47.3(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	6	147	3.27	65%	0.05	66.7	0.87%	0	1.2	77	0
9	Sep_17_2012	44.19	46.08	46.78	47.27			47.53(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	8	143	2.71	65%	0.05	68.1	0.87%	0	1.6	82	0
10	Sep_14_2012	44.17	45.97	46.58	47.11			47.71(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	9	135	5.23	67%	0.05	73	0.87%	0	2.1	83	0

11	Sep_13_2012	44.15	45.84	46.34	46.92			47.52(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	9	126	5.86	63%	0.07	80.3	0.88%	0	2.3	85	0
12	Sep_12_2012	44.12	45.71	46.15	46.73			46.92(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	14	118	4.93	62%	0.07	84.8	0.89%	0	1.9	73	0
13	Sep_11_2012	44.09	45.6	45.99	46.44			46.69(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	12	97	3.09	59%	0.07	76.7	0.9%	0	1.8	73	0
14	Sep_10_2012	44.06	45.49	45.85	46.19			46.71(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	11	77	2.94	59%	0.05	69.6	0.92%	0	2.1	72	0
15	Sep_7_2012	44.04	45.39	45.71	45.96			46.78(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	25	-10000	13	60	4.77	59%	0.05	66.1	0.93%	0	2.7	68	0

16	Sep_6_2012	44.02	45.27	45.52	45.68			46.53(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	15	-10000	9	33	5.38	62%	0.05	76.3	0.93%	0	3	68	0
17	Sep_5_2012	44	45.18	45.39	45.49			45.51(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	1	22	6.2	59%	0	101.4	0.92%	0	1	63	0
18	Sep_4_2012	44	45.15	45.36	45.47			45.44(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	2	26	6.22	59%	0.02	122.5	0.93%	0	0.9	64	0
19	Aug_31_2012	43.99	45.1	45.34	45.44			45.55(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	1	30	3.63	52%	0.02	111	1%	0	1.2	68	0
20	Aug_30_2012	43.98	45.04	45.32	45.41			45.36(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	4	39	5.63	50%	0.02	84.1	1%	0	0.7	66	0

21	Aug_29_2012	43.97	44.95	45.31	45.33			45.61(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	3	40	4.01	52%	0.05	67.4	1.02%	0	1.1	71	0
22	Aug_28_2012	43.95	44.85	45.24	45.27			45.39(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	2	38	3.62	52%	0.02	65.9	1.03%	0	0.9	67	0
23	Aug_27_2012	43.94	44.76	45.18	45.23			45.3(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	0	33	2.79	52%	0.02	71.3	1.04%	0	0.9	58	0
24	Aug_24_2012	43.93	44.7	45.12	45.22			45.37(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	-0	35	2.95	52%	0.02	80.6	1.04%	0	1.1	68	0
25	Aug_23_2012	43.92	44.64	45.04	45.23			45(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-2	39	3.53	52%		81.6	1.04%	0	0.6	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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