Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 27, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $44.2800 (1.98%) ($43.6500 - $44.3900) on Fri. Jul. 27, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $44.2800(1.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.27(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.55(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.55(1.68%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2012	43.94	43.55	43.55	43.27			44.28(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	3	-10000	4	-1	9.93	45%	0	9.7	1.13%	0	1.6	56	0
2	Jul_26_2012	43.94	43.48	43.47	43.17			43.42(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	-7	-15	5.17	44%	0.02	1	1.11%	0	-0.1	46	0
3	Jul_25_2012	43.93	43.47	43.43	43.34			42.73(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-10	-16	3.22	44%	-0.02	1.9	1.1%	0	-1.6	37	0
4	Jul_24_2012	43.94	43.47	43.47	43.59			42.82(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-8	-10000	-8	-7	4.9	44%	0	9.1	1.13%	0	-1.6	39	0
5	Jul_23_2012	43.94	43.5	43.52	43.78			43.11(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-1	-10000	-2	1	3.99	43%	-0.02	9.9	1.12%	0	-0.9	41	0

6	Jul_20_2012	43.95	43.51	43.52	43.83			43.75(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10000	1	3	5.77	45%	0.02	11.9	1.12%	0	0.5	49	0
7	Jul_19_2012	43.94	43.48	43.57	43.8			44.29(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	11	15	4.19	45%	0.02	9.9	1.11%	0	1.8	67	0
8	Jul_18_2012	43.93	43.48	43.52	43.53			44(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	8	4	7.05	45%	0	8.2	1.11%	0	1.3	61	0
9	Jul_17_2012	43.93	43.46	43.5	43.33			43.77(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	4	-3	6.34	47%	0.02	5.1	1.11%	0	0.7	58	0
10	Jul_16_2012	43.92	43.45	43.51	43.23			43.34(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-2	2	4.05	47%	0.02	8.1	1.11%	0	-0.3	61	0

11	Jul_13_2012	43.91	43.46	43.55	43.27			43.62(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	2	-10000	-1	10	6.06	47%	0	11.1	1.11%	0	0.4	53	0
12	Jul_12_2012	43.91	43.44	43.48	43.3			42.92(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-10000	-9	7	6.32	46%	0	14.1	1.09%	0	-1.2	49	0
13	Jul_11_2012	43.91	43.43	43.51	43.51			43.02(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-7	12	8.81	48%	0.02	21.7	1.1%	0	-0.9	39	0
14	Jul_10_2012	43.9	43.44	43.54	43.68			43.27(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-0	-10000	-5	14	6.17	45%	-0.02	44.2	1.11%	0	-0.4	41	0
15	Jul_9_2012	43.91	43.42	43.48	43.81			43.53(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-2	12	5.77	45%	0.02	59.3	1.15%	0	0.2	48	0

16	Jul_6_2012	43.9	43.41	43.46	43.86			43.77(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	7	18	5.31	45%	0.02	78.7	1.15%	0	0.8	54	0
17	Jul_5_2012	43.89	43.37	43.4	43.68			43.98(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	7	5	5.52	45%	0.07	68.5	1.16%	0	1.3	58	0
18	Jul_3_2012	43.86	43.33	43.39	43.51			43.87(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	6	10	2.77	44%	0.02	52.5	1.16%	0	1.1	63	0
19	Jul_2_2012	43.85	43.24	43.41	43.37			43.91(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	10	12	8.39	44%	0.05	26.5	1.16%	0	1.2	55	0
20	Jun_29_2012	43.83	43.14	43.38	43.11			43.78(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	4	3	10.03	44%	0.02	3.5	1.15%	0	1	59	0

21	Jun_28_2012	43.82	43.04	43.34	43.02			42.87(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-2	-5	6.77	41%	0	-12.9	1.12%	0	-0.3	46	0
22	Jun_27_2012	43.82	43.04	43.37	43.07			43.11(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-8	-3	4.06	41%	0.02	-11.5	1.12%	0	0.1	51	0
23	Jun_26_2012	43.81	43.06	43.33	43.26			43.17(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10000	-8	5	7.76	43%	0.02	0	1.12%	0	0.2	52	0
24	Jun_25_2012	43.8	43.09	43.34	43.46			42.64(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	2	-10000	-8	31	7.57	41%	0	16.1	1.13%	0	-0.7	57	0
25	Jun_22_2012	43.8	43.12	43.36	43.67			43.31(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-1	60	3.89	43%		34.9	1.12%	0	0.3	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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