Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $44.2900 (0.66%) ($43.9800 - $44.5800) on Thu. Jul. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $44.2900(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.8(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.57(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.48(1.86%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2012	43.94	43.48	43.57	43.8			44.29(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	11	15	4.19	45%	0.02	9.9	1.11%	0	1.8	67	0
2	Jul_18_2012	43.93	43.48	43.52	43.53			44(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	8	4	7.05	45%	0	8.2	1.11%	0	1.3	61	0
3	Jul_17_2012	43.93	43.46	43.5	43.33			43.77(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	4	-3	6.34	47%	0.02	5.1	1.11%	0	0.7	58	0
4	Jul_16_2012	43.92	43.45	43.51	43.23			43.34(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-2	2	4.05	47%	0.02	8.1	1.11%	0	-0.3	61	0
5	Jul_13_2012	43.91	43.46	43.55	43.27			43.62(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	2	-10000	-1	10	6.06	47%	0	11.1	1.11%	0	0.4	53	0

6	Jul_12_2012	43.91	43.44	43.48	43.3			42.92(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-10000	-9	7	6.32	46%	0	14.1	1.09%	0	-1.2	49	0
7	Jul_11_2012	43.91	43.43	43.51	43.51			43.02(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-7	12	8.81	48%	0.02	21.7	1.1%	0	-0.9	39	0
8	Jul_10_2012	43.9	43.44	43.54	43.68			43.27(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-0	-10000	-5	14	6.17	45%	-0.02	44.2	1.11%	0	-0.4	41	0
9	Jul_9_2012	43.91	43.42	43.48	43.81			43.53(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-2	12	5.77	45%	0.02	59.3	1.15%	0	0.2	48	0
10	Jul_6_2012	43.9	43.41	43.46	43.86			43.77(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	7	18	5.31	45%	0.02	78.7	1.15%	0	0.8	54	0

11	Jul_5_2012	43.89	43.37	43.4	43.68			43.98(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	7	5	5.52	45%	0.07	68.5	1.16%	0	1.3	58	0
12	Jul_3_2012	43.86	43.33	43.39	43.51			43.87(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	6	10	2.77	44%	0.02	52.5	1.16%	0	1.1	63	0
13	Jul_2_2012	43.85	43.24	43.41	43.37			43.91(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	10	12	8.39	44%	0.05	26.5	1.16%	0	1.2	55	0
14	Jun_29_2012	43.83	43.14	43.38	43.11			43.78(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	4	3	10.03	44%	0.02	3.5	1.15%	0	1	59	0
15	Jun_28_2012	43.82	43.04	43.34	43.02			42.87(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-2	-5	6.77	41%	0	-12.9	1.12%	0	-0.3	46	0

16	Jun_27_2012	43.82	43.04	43.37	43.07			43.11(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-8	-3	4.06	41%	0.02	-11.5	1.12%	0	0.1	51	0
17	Jun_26_2012	43.81	43.06	43.33	43.26			43.17(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10000	-8	5	7.76	43%	0.02	0	1.12%	0	0.2	52	0
18	Jun_25_2012	43.8	43.09	43.34	43.46			42.64(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	2	-10000	-8	31	7.57	41%	0	16.1	1.13%	0	-0.7	57	0
19	Jun_22_2012	43.8	43.09	43.36	43.67			43.31(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-1	60	3.89	43%	0.05	34.9	1.12%	0	0.3	64	0
20	Jun_21_2012	43.78	43.09	43.36	43.67			43.12(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	21	-10000	0	83	7.96	43%	0.05	43.8	1.11%	0	0	64	0

21	Jun_20_2012	43.76	43.12	43.37	43.7			44.08(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	13	92	7.04	45%	0.07	42.5	1.08%	0	1.5	56	0
22	Jun_19_2012	43.73	43.06	43.26	43.4			44.13(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	8	69	10.54	45%	0.07	26.3	1.08%	0	1.8	56	0
23	Jun_18_2012	43.7	42.99	43.06	43.22			43.73(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	9	36	5.5	45%	0.05	12.7	1.08%	0	1.4	47	0
24	Jun_15_2012	43.68	42.9	42.88	43.22			43.42(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1	-10000	0	3	10.33	45%	0.05	-15.6	1.08%	0	0.9	50	0
25	Jun_14_2012	43.66	42.85	42.72	43.02			43.15(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	1	-16	12.1	45%		-32	1.07%	0	0.5	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.