Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $43.3100 (0.44%) ($43.0900 - $43.3900) on Fri. Jun. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $43.3100(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.67(-0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.36(-0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.12(0.44%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2012	43.8		43.36	43.67			43.31(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-1	60	3.89	43%	0.05	34.9	1.12%	0	0.3	64	0
2	Jun_21_2012	43.78		43.36	43.67			43.12(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	21	-10000	0	83	7.96	43%	0.05	43.8	1.11%	0	0	64	0
3	Jun_20_2012	43.76	43.12	43.37	43.7			44.08(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	13	92	7.04	45%	0.07	42.5	1.08%	0	1.5	56	0
4	Jun_19_2012	43.73	43.06	43.26	43.4			44.13(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	8	69	10.54	45%	0.07	26.3	1.08%	0	1.8	56	0
5	Jun_18_2012	43.7	42.99	43.06	43.22			43.73(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	9	36	5.5	45%	0.05	12.7	1.08%	0	1.4	47	0

6	Jun_15_2012	43.68	42.9	42.88	43.22			43.42(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1	-10000	0	3	10.33	45%	0.05	-15.6	1.08%	0	0.9	50	0
7	Jun_14_2012	43.66	42.85	42.72	43.02			43.15(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	1	-16	12.1	45%	0.05	-32	1.07%	0	0.5	48	0
8	Jun_13_2012	43.64	42.86	42.7	43			42.58(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-4	-21	11.39	45%	0.02	-38.3	1.06%	0	-0.5	46	0
9	Jun_12_2012	43.63	42.91	42.76	43.09			43.21(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	-10000	10	-6	12.07	47%	0.05	-40	1.06%	0	0.5	52	0
10	Jun_11_2012	43.61	42.92	42.81	42.87			42.75(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	-10000	8	-10	11.06	46%	0.05	-57.9	1.05%	0	-0.3	51	0

11	Jun_8_2012	43.59	42.99	42.86	42.7			43.41(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	-10000	15	-5	6.24	49%	0.05	-64.9	1.04%	0	0.6	63	0
12	Jun_7_2012	43.57	43.03	42.84	42.36			43.03(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	-1	-25	8.16	51%	0.05	-82	1.04%	0	0	57	0
13	Jun_6_2012	43.55	43.08	42.85	42.38			43.03(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-8	-10000	-1	-28	9.05	49%	0.05	-89.8	1.05%	0	-0.1	46	0
14	Jun_5_2012	43.53	43.14	42.83	42.41			42.12(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-16	-40	6.78	46%	-0.02	-92	1.03%	0	-1.3	39	0
15	Jun_4_2012	43.54	43.27	42.91	42.76			41.89(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-13	-23	10.94	46%	0.02	-81.6	1.03%	0	-1.6	36	0

16	Jun_1_2012	43.53	43.42	42.94	43.04			41.74(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-14	-30	15.05	47%	0.05	-78.1	1.03%	0	-2	31	0
17	May_31_2012	43.51	43.62	43.02	43.36			43.1(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-0	-27	9.87	50%	0.07	-62.6	0.97%	0	-0.6	37	0
18	May_30_2012	43.48	43.77	43.05	43.37			43.19(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-7	-10000	2	-34	7.29	51%	0.07	-48.7	0.97%	0	-0.6	40	0
19	May_29_2012	43.45	43.9	43.08	43.32			43.88(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	11	-47	12.33	53%	0.16	-39.6	0.95%	0	-0	43	0
20	May_25_2012	43.38	43.97	43.04	43.09			43.28(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	12	-85	6.1	51%	0.07	-37.1	0.93%	0	-0.6	31	0

21	May_24_2012	43.35	44.1	43.12	42.84			43.35(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	10	-115	7.89	51%	0.09	-38.3	0.94%	0	-0.6	31	0
22	May_23_2012	43.31	44.2	43.21	42.63			43.15(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-42	-10000	-3	-160	6.64	51%	0.09	-40.9	0.93%	0	-0.9	23	0
23	May_22_2012	43.27	44.28	43.3	42.7			42.92(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-51	-10000	-6	-184	9.21	51%	0	-41.3	0.93%	0	-1.1	18	0
24	May_21_2012	43.27	44.34	43.44	42.82			42.75(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-10000	-9	-198	8.34	51%	0.09	-43.6	0.93%	0	-1.4	20	0
25	May_18_2012	43.23	44.43	43.65	43			42.01(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-68	-10000	-22	-207	9.49	49%		-42.9	0.91%	0	-2.2	15	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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