Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $45.8000 (-0.78%) ($45.6600 - $46.1800) on Thu. May. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $45.8000(-0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(75%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.87(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.26(1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.91(1.98%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2012	42.69	44.91	45.26	45.87			45.8(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	6	110	5.03	66%	0.19	37	0.79%	0	1.3	63	0
2	May_2_2012	42.61	44.85	45.14	45.77			46.16(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	15	103	9.65	66%	0.19	33.3	0.81%	0	2	65	0
3	May_1_2012	42.53	44.78	45.01	45.49			45.91(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	-10000	21	94	7.76	66%	0.16	23.5	0.81%	0	1.9	68	0
4	Apr_30_2012	42.46	44.74	44.9	45.11			45.61(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	16	81	6.95	66%	0.17	5	0.8%	0	1.6	71	0
5	Apr_27_2012	42.39	44.71	44.77	44.82			45.87(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	23	-10000	14	51	8.14	66%	0.17	-7	0.8%	0	2.3	59	0

6	Apr_26_2012	42.32	44.65	44.63	44.57			45.31(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	11	-10000	8	19	5.78	65%	0.14	-21.2	0.79%	0	1.5	51	0
7	Apr_25_2012	42.26	44.63	44.55	44.43			44.75(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-1	-10000	-2	1	7.9	63%	0.14	-29.8	0.78%	0	0.3	50	0
8	Apr_24_2012	42.2	44.65	44.49	44.46			44.01(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-11	-15	8.88	60%	0.12	-20.2	0.76%	0	-1.5	40	0
9	Apr_23_2012	42.15	44.72	44.46	44.65			44.16(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-10000	-2	-21	6.16	60%	0.12	-1	0.75%	0	-1.3	40	0
10	Apr_20_2012	42.1	44.72	44.5	44.69			44.64(0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	1	-24	4.6	63%	0.14	5.3	0.74%	0	-0.2	45	0

11	Apr_19_2012	42.04	44.74	44.53	44.67			44.57(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-1	-25	5.71	63%	0.14	4.3	0.75%	0	-0.4	47	0
12	Apr_18_2012	41.98	44.75	44.54	44.69			44.93(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	10	-22	4.31	68%	0.19	7.4	0.75%	0	0.4	50	0
13	Apr_17_2012	41.9	44.74	44.55	44.53			44.93(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	16	-39	4.7	68%	0.19	-2.1	0.77%	0	0.5	45	0
14	Apr_16_2012	41.82	44.74	44.57	44.25			44.39(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-2	-77	9.92	66%	0.19	-12.8	0.76%	0	-0.8	39	0
15	Apr_13_2012	41.74	44.72	44.64	44.29			44.55(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-21	-10000	-5	-69	6.47	66%	0.07	-6.4	0.76%	0	-0.4	50	0

16	Apr_12_2012	41.71	44.73	44.67	44.38			44.67(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-15	-10000	-1	-56	7.05	66%	0.22	9.6	0.76%	0	-0.1	52	0
17	Apr_11_2012	41.62	44.72	44.69	44.39			44.11(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-12	-58	4.52	64%	0.17	22.3	0.75%	0	-1.5	45	0
18	Apr_10_2012	41.55	44.75	44.81	44.59			43.51(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-24	-10000	-21	-33	17.27	61%	0.17	58.4	0.73%	0	-3.1	39	0
19	Apr_9_2012	41.48	44.78	45.01	44.93			44.6(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-7	22	6.59	71%	0.24	100	0.65%	0	-0.5	52	0
20	Apr_5_2012	41.38	44.75	45.02	45.03			45.01(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	2	45	5.71	76%	0.17	92.7	0.63%	0	0.6	63	0

21	Apr_4_2012	41.31	44.69	44.98	45			44.7(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-3	40	7.48	75%	0.15	78.4	0.64%	0	0	53	0
22	Apr_3_2012	41.25	44.63	44.99	45.04			45.12(-0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-3	52	5.32	80%	0.15	67.1	0.62%	0	0.8	63	0
23	Apr_2_2012	41.19	44.52	44.95	45.08			45.21(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-2	59	10.86	80%	0.15	63.5	0.63%	0	1	63	0
24	Mar_30_2012	41.13	44.43	44.88	45.11			45.09(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	6	81	4.18	80%	0.17	66.9	0.63%	0	1	71	0
25	Mar_29_2012	41.06	44.35	44.81	45.02			44.89(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	4	78	3.91	80%		68.2	0.64%	0	0.8	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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