Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $44.9300 (1.22%) ($44.4800 - $44.9900) on Tue. Apr. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $44.9300(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(75%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.53(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.55(0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.74(0.42%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.94% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2012	41.9	44.74	44.55	44.53			44.93(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	16	-39	4.7	68%	0.19	-2.1	0.77%	0	0.5	45	0
2	Apr_16_2012	41.82	44.74	44.57	44.25			44.39(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-2	-77	9.92	66%	0.19	-12.8	0.76%	0	-0.8	39	0
3	Apr_13_2012	41.74	44.72	44.64	44.29			44.55(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-21	-10000	-5	-69	6.47	66%	0.07	-6.4	0.76%	0	-0.4	50	0
4	Apr_12_2012	41.71	44.73	44.67	44.38			44.67(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-15	-10000	-1	-56	7.05	66%	0.22	9.6	0.76%	0	-0.1	52	0
5	Apr_11_2012	41.62	44.72	44.69	44.39			44.11(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-12	-58	4.52	64%	0.17	22.3	0.75%	0	-1.5	45	0

6	Apr_10_2012	41.55	44.75	44.81	44.59			43.51(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-24	-10000	-21	-33	17.27	61%	0.17	58.4	0.73%	0	-3.1	39	0
7	Apr_9_2012	41.48	44.78	45.01	44.93			44.6(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-7	22	6.59	71%	0.24	100	0.65%	0	-0.5	52	0
8	Apr_5_2012	41.38	44.75	45.02	45.03			45.01(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	2	45	5.71	76%	0.17	92.7	0.63%	0	0.6	63	0
9	Apr_4_2012	41.31	44.69	44.98	45			44.7(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-3	40	7.48	75%	0.15	78.4	0.64%	0	0	53	0
10	Apr_3_2012	41.25	44.63	44.99	45.04			45.12(-0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-3	52	5.32	80%	0.15	67.1	0.62%	0	0.8	63	0

11	Apr_2_2012	41.19	44.52	44.95	45.08			45.21(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-2	59	10.86	80%	0.15	63.5	0.63%	0	1	63	0
12	Mar_30_2012	41.13	44.43	44.88	45.11			45.09(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	6	81	4.18	80%	0.17	66.9	0.63%	0	1	71	0
13	Mar_29_2012	41.06	44.35	44.81	45.02			44.89(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	4	78	3.91	80%	0.17	68.2	0.64%	0	0.8	67	0
14	Mar_28_2012	40.99	44.29	44.79	44.96			44.9(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	3	88	6.7	80%	0.12	68.6	0.65%	0	0.9	70	0
15	Mar_27_2012	40.94	44.2	44.75	44.92			45.29(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	8	110	4.5	86%	0.17	71.2	0.65%	0	1.6	81	0

16	Mar_26_2012	40.87	44.1	44.67	44.8			45.36(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	-10000	11	132	5.72	86%	0.15	72.4	0.65%	0	1.9	85	0
17	Mar_23_2012	40.81	43.99	44.52	44.64			44.65(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	4	125	3.53	84%	0.15	69.6	0.63%	0	1	66	0
18	Mar_22_2012	40.75	43.9	44.45	44.58			44.6(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	31	-10000	-1	126	4.56	84%	0.15	68.7	0.64%	0	1.1	65	0
19	Mar_21_2012	40.69	43.82	44.37	44.59			44.71(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	3	135	3.08	84%	0.17	71.9	0.64%	0	1.3	65	0
20	Mar_20_2012	40.62	43.72	44.23	44.54			44.66(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	1	134	4.77	88%	0.15	72.8	0.64%	0	1.4	69	0

21	Mar_19_2012	40.56	43.62	44.06	44.52			44.58(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	9	113	7.12	88%	0.12	75.5	0.72%	0	1.5	65	0
22	Mar_16_2012	40.51	43.54	43.95	44.37			44.35(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	4	102	7.72	88%	0.12	78.6	0.74%	0	1.3	66	0
23	Mar_15_2012	40.46	43.45	43.86	44.3			44.63(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	11	111	5.27	88%	0.15	76.4	0.74%	0	1.9	72	0
24	Mar_14_2012	40.4	43.34	43.75	44.12			44.48(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	15	107	6.98	88%	0.12	71.6	0.74%	0	2	70	0
25	Mar_13_2012	40.35	43.24	43.61	43.88			44.54(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	39	-10000	21	93	6.8	76%		68.3	0.75%	0	2.5	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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