Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 7, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $43.2900 (1.14%) ($42.9400 - $43.3500) on Wed. Mar. 7, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $43.2900(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(75%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.33(-0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.21(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.93(0.84%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2012	40.13	42.93	43.21	43.33			43.29(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	1	51	4.82	60%	0.12	89.9	0.85%	0	0.9	65	0
2	Mar_6_2012	40.08	42.88	43.16	43.31			42.8(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	8	-10000	-6	50	5.49	56%	0.12	102.2	0.84%	0	-0.2	55	0
3	Mar_5_2012	40.03	42.85	43.17	43.42			43.48(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	4	70	3.33	64%	0.13	112.5	0.82%	0	1.5	66	0
4	Mar_2_2012	39.98	42.79	43.11	43.34			43.52(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	7	75	5.8	64%	0.15	121.5	0.82%	0	1.8	72	0
5	Mar_1_2012	39.92	42.69	43.02	43.21			43.55(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	7	65	4.73	64%	0.13	97.2	0.82%	0	1.9	66	0

6	Feb_29_2012	39.87	42.58	42.9	43.08			43.19(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	5	49	9.51	70%	0.15	85.8	0.89%	0	1.3	63	0
7	Feb_28_2012	39.81	42.49	42.84	42.99			43.35(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	6	44	6.13	76%	0.15	74.4	0.89%	0	1.6	68	0
8	Feb_27_2012	39.75	42.39	42.77	42.88			43.11(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	1	37	4.44	76%	0.18	70.1	0.96%	0	1.3	69	0
9	Feb_24_2012	39.68	42.31	42.69	42.85			42.86(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	3	37	2.77	76%	0.18	70	0.96%	0	1	63	0
10	Feb_23_2012	39.61	42.24	42.66	42.79			42.91(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	5	49	3.54	67%	0.18	66.9	0.97%	0	1.2	75	0

11	Feb_22_2012	39.54	42.17	42.61	42.69			42.7(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	1	51	4.63	67%	0.2	66.9	1.01%	0	1	72	0
12	Feb_21_2012	39.46	42.1	42.58	42.67			42.81(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	1	65	4.12	67%	0.36	70.4	1.01%	0	1.2	76	0
13	Feb_17_2012	39.32	42.02	42.52	42.64			42.96(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	24	-10000	6	76	3.37	67%	0.2	73.6	1.02%	0	1.6	79	0
14	Feb_16_2012	39.24	41.93	42.44	42.51			42.59(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	0	73	4.97	67%	0.15	78.6	1.05%	0	1.2	72	0
15	Feb_15_2012	39.18	41.87	42.33	42.5			42.41(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	-0	72	4.97	67%	0.15	89.3	1.08%	0	1	70	0

16	Feb_14_2012	39.12	41.81	42.25	42.51			42.6(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	2	74	3.85	67%	0.15	89.6	1.08%	0	1.3	72	0
17	Feb_13_2012	39.06	41.71	42.12	42.47			42.65(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	4	74	4.84	67%	0.18	95.7	1.08%	0	1.6	77	0
18	Feb_10_2012	38.99	41.59	41.99	42.37			42.31(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	0	67	3.18	71%	0.21	91.7	1.12%	0	1.2	76	0
19	Feb_9_2012	38.91	41.5	41.91	42.36			42.54(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	9	74	4.13	61%	0.15	92.6	1.12%	0	1.7	81	0
20	Feb_8_2012	38.85	41.39	41.8	42.14			42.47(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	8	54	4.26	61%	0.13	87.3	1.22%	0	1.7	67	0

21	Feb_7_2012	38.8	41.28	41.7	41.93			42.37(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	8	46	9.41	61%	0.13	87.2	1.22%	0	1.8	72	0
22	Feb_6_2012	38.75	41.16	41.58	41.72			42.17(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	6	41	2.59	61%	0.13	85.8	1.22%	0	1.7	77	0
23	Feb_3_2012	38.7	41.05	41.48	41.56			42.26(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	15	-10000	7	39	5.56	61%	0.13	86.3	1.22%	0	2	80	0
24	Feb_2_2012	38.65	40.94	41.36	41.39			41.41(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-1	34	3.61	58%	0.1	92.8	1.21%	0	0.8	72	0
25	Feb_1_2012	38.61	40.85	41.37	41.41			41.46(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	-1	49	5.63	58%		89.5	1.21%	0	1	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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