Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 25, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $36.3300 (-0.55%) ($36.3300 - $36.7800) on Fri. Nov. 25, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $36.3300(-0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(86%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(75%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $32.75(-9.85%)
Resistance Level   $38.38
5 Day Moving Average   $37.06(-1.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.91(-4.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.38(-5.34%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2011	37.67	38.38	37.91	37.06			36.33(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-9	-85	2.99	52%	-0.21	-63.7	1.8%	0	-2.2	33	0
2	Nov_23_2011	37.75	38.57	38.14	37.37			36.53(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-12	-77	4.67	55%	-0.13	-52.9	1.82%	0	-2.4	33	0
3	Nov_22_2011	37.8	38.69	38.32	37.78			37.27(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-12	-61	3.93	57%	-0.03	-43.5	1.86%	0	-2	42	0
4	Nov_21_2011	37.81	38.79	38.55	38.19			37.29(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-11	-32	5.85	57%	-0.08	-27.4	1.86%	0	-2.2	46	0
5	Nov_18_2011	37.84	38.92	38.75	38.57			37.88(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-10000	-9	-13	3.87	52%	-0.08	1.3	1.86%	0	-1.8	43	0

6	Nov_17_2011	37.87	39	38.86	38.89			37.9(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-3	-10000	-3	-2	7	52%	-0.05	22.2	1.96%	0	-2	39	0
7	Nov_16_2011	37.89	39.03	38.99	39.01			38.58(-1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	2	-10000	2	-0	4.9	52%	-0.03	31.2	1.95%	0	-0.8	41	0
8	Nov_15_2011	37.9	39.01	39	38.92			39.32(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-3	-10000	-1	-8	3.9	52%	0	27	1.93%	0	0.6	53	0
9	Nov_14_2011	37.9	38.98	38.89	38.92			39.18(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	0	-12	3.48	52%	0.03	34.4	1.94%	0	0.3	51	0
10	Nov_11_2011	37.89	38.92	38.89	38.97			39.47(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	3	-17	6.71	56%	0.03	36.8	1.94%	0	0.9	47	0

11	Nov_10_2011	37.88	38.87	38.87	38.86			38.5(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-3	-22	6.75	50%	0	49.4	1.99%	0	-0.6	46	0
12	Nov_9_2011	37.88	38.87	39	38.97			38.14(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-3	-10000	-2	-5	6.89	54%	-0.03	65.6	2.06%	0	-1.2	52	0
13	Nov_8_2011	37.89	38.86	39.09	39.06			39.55(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	7	7	8.45	52%	0.03	86.1	2.08%	0	1.1	61	0
14	Nov_7_2011	37.88	38.77	39.03	38.78			39.17(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	1	-4	4.54	52%	0.03	91.3	2.23%	0	0.6	54	0
15	Nov_4_2011	37.87	38.7	39.1	38.75			38.92(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10000	-3	6	4.7	48%	0.03	94.9	2.23%	0	0.3	58	0

16	Nov_3_2011	37.86	38.58	39.14	38.89			39.07(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-4	15	6.74	48%	0.03	96.3	2.31%	0	0.5	53	0
17	Nov_2_2011	37.85	38.45	39.07	39.07			38.57(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-1	25	5.43	46%	0.03	88.9	2.31%	0	0.1	54	0
18	Nov_1_2011	37.84	38.32	39.03	39.13			38.18(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-4	26	10.71	46%	0	75	2.35%	0	-0.1	53	0
19	Oct_31_2011	37.84	38.17	39.09	39.3			39.02(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-4	38	6.5	46%	0.03	60.1	2.34%	0	0.5	60	0
20	Oct_28_2011	37.83	37.93	38.99	39.48			39.63(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	2	50	9.07	46%	0.03	52.7	2.33%	0	1	65	0

21	Oct_27_2011	37.82	37.7	38.89	39.41			39.94(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	7	66	12.98	45%	0.05	50.2	2.33%	0	1.3	73	0
22	Oct_26_2011	37.8	37.49	38.7	39.08			38.88(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	4	64	16.21	43%	0	48.8	2.32%	0	0.9	69	0
23	Oct_25_2011	37.8	37.35	38.62	38.92			39.03(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	75	11.09	43%	0.03	47.3	2.32%	0	1.1	74	0
24	Oct_24_2011	37.79	37.23	38.49	38.84			39.9(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	31	-10000	9	95	13.11	43%	0.03	45.4	2.3%	0	1.7	83	0
25	Oct_21_2011	37.78	37.05	38.25	38.44			39.32(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	28	-10000	3	104	10.42	44%		37.8	2.3%	0	1.6	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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