Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $38.1800 (-2.15%) ($37.8200 - $38.5600) on Tue. Nov. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $38.1800(-2.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(86%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(75%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $38.32
5 Day Moving Average   $39.13(-2.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.03(-2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.32(-0.37%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2011	37.84	38.32	39.03	39.13			38.18(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-4	26	10.71	46%	0	75	2.35%	0	-0.1	53	0
2	Oct_31_2011	37.84	38.17	39.09	39.3			39.02(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-4	38	6.5	46%	0.03	60.1	2.34%	0	0.5	60	0
3	Oct_28_2011	37.83	37.93	38.99	39.48			39.63(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	2	50	9.07	46%	0.03	52.7	2.33%	0	1	65	0
4	Oct_27_2011	37.82	37.7	38.89	39.41			39.94(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	7	66	12.98	45%	0.05	50.2	2.33%	0	1.3	73	0
5	Oct_26_2011	37.8	37.49	38.7	39.08			38.88(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	4	64	16.21	43%	0	48.8	2.32%	0	0.9	69	0

6	Oct_25_2011	37.8	37.35	38.62	38.92			39.03(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	75	11.09	43%	0.03	47.3	2.32%	0	1.1	74	0
7	Oct_24_2011	37.79	37.23	38.49	38.84			39.9(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	31	-10000	9	95	13.11	43%	0.03	45.4	2.3%	0	1.7	83	0
8	Oct_21_2011	37.78	37.05	38.25	38.44			39.32(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	28	-10000	3	104	10.42	44%	0	37.8	2.3%	0	1.6	85	0
9	Oct_20_2011	37.78	36.87	37.96	38.31			38.26(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	1	112	9	42%	-0.05	30.4	2.27%	0	1	71	0
10	Oct_19_2011	37.8	36.71	37.78	38.26			38.07(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	-0	117	7.41	43%	-0.05	22.9	2.27%	0	1	62	0

11	Oct_18_2011	37.82	36.62	37.55	38.27			38.65(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	4	117	11.29	43%	0.03	21.7	2.28%	0	1.6	62	0
12	Oct_17_2011	37.81	36.54	37.19	38.08			37.88(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	1	99	5.93	43%	-0.08	23.1	2.27%	0	1.1	55	0
13	Oct_14_2011	37.84	36.52	36.81	38.02			38.67(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	11	85	6.17	43%	-0.03	28.8	2.25%	0	1.7	60	0
14	Oct_13_2011	37.85	36.46	36.42	37.56			38.05(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	8	61	8.83	43%	-0.05	28.7	2.25%	0	1.4	62	0
15	Oct_12_2011	37.87	36.41	36.19	37.23			38.08(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	12	54	9.78	43%	-0.03	26.3	2.25%	0	1.5	65	0

16	Oct_11_2011	37.88	36.34	35.97	36.72			37.74(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	14	34	7.98	42%	-0.05	14.4	2.24%	0	1.3	56	0
17	Oct_10_2011	37.9	36.26	35.85	36.15			37.58(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	18	7	6.58	42%	-0.08	1.1	2.26%	0	1.3	48	0
18	Oct_7_2011	37.93	36.17	35.72	35.41			36.35(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	8	-36	11.92	41%	-0.13	-20.8	2.21%	0	0.2	42	0
19	Oct_6_2011	37.98	36.17	35.65	35.11			36.38(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-14	-10000	3	-64	8.9	41%	-0.11	-36.9	2.22%	0	0.3	42	0
20	Oct_5_2011	38.02	36.12	35.53	35.01			35.55(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-24	-10000	-3	-87	14.09	39%	-0.11	-44.8	2.2%	0	-0.6	39	0

21	Oct_4_2011	38.06	36.19	35.6	35.14			34.91(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-10	-91	17.66	39%	-0.16	-44.2	2.19%	0	-1.3	40	0
22	Oct_3_2011	38.12	36.25	35.85	35.52			33.84(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-28	-10000	-14	-71	22	37%	-0.18	-40.3	2.16%	0	-2.5	39	0
23	Sep_30_2011	38.19	36.38	36.24	36.07			34.86(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-4	-33	13.23	40%	-0.16	-30.9	2.15%	0	-1.9	47	0
24	Sep_29_2011	38.25	36.49	36.53	36.24			35.89(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	1	-10000	4	-7	13.37	41%	-0.1	-17.5	2.13%	0	-0.8	56	0
25	Sep_28_2011	38.29	36.57	36.69	36.1			36.19(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-1	-7	9.74	43%		-13.2	2.13%	0	-0.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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