Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $36.5100 (0.5%) ($36.3200 - $36.6000) on Fri. Nov. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $36.5100(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.88(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.58(2.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.1(4.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2010	32.31	35.1	35.58	35.88			36.51(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	-10000	13	102	6.86	61%	0.12	80.2	1.11%	0	2.3	72	0
2	Nov_4_2010	32.27	34.98	35.42	35.63			36.33(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	11	85	9.11	61%	0.09	84.4	1.11%	0	2.4	71	0
3	Nov_3_2010	32.24	34.87	35.26	35.42			35.77(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	7	71	8.13	58%	0.09	87.7	1.11%	0	1.8	70	0
4	Nov_2_2010	32.21	34.77	35.14	35.28			35.59(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	2	60	7.29	61%	0.09	89.9	1.13%	0	1.7	67	0
5	Nov_1_2010	32.18	34.69	35	35.28			35.19(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	0	51	6.59	60%	0.09	83.3	1.15%	0	1	64	0

6	Oct_29_2010	32.15	34.61	34.95	35.23			35.26(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	3	58	6.76	60%	0.09	79.2	1.15%	0	1.2	67	0
7	Oct_28_2010	32.12	34.52	34.9	35.17			35.27(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	5	60	7.74	60%	0.12	70.8	1.15%	0	1.3	67	0
8	Oct_27_2010	32.08	34.42	34.81	35.07			35.11(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	5	58	6.43	60%	0.12	71	1.16%	0	1.2	70	0
9	Oct_26_2010	32.04	34.34	34.75	34.96			35.33(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	25	-10000	12	62	6.22	60%	0.16	71.7	1.17%	0	1.7	77	0
10	Oct_25_2010	31.99	34.26	34.66	34.72			35.18(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	4	44	6.29	60%	0.13	67.7	1.18%	0	1.7	69	0

11	Oct_22_2010	31.95	34.18	34.58	34.64			34.96(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	2	51	4.42	64%	0.06	70.5	1.19%	0	1.6	75	0
12	Oct_21_2010	31.93	34.11	34.51	34.59			34.77(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	58	10.74	64%	0.06	72.9	1.24%	0	1.2	72	0
13	Oct_20_2010	31.91	34.02	34.44	34.53			34.57(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	1	60	7.04	64%	0.09	67.9	1.26%	0	1	70	0
14	Oct_19_2010	31.88	33.94	34.44	34.51			34.13(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-3	64	10.58	62%	0.06	70.4	1.26%	0	0.3	64	0
15	Oct_18_2010	31.86	33.9	34.37	34.58			34.76(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	4	79	6.64	66%	0.06	77.6	1.24%	0	1.5	70	0

16	Oct_15_2010	31.84	33.83	34.24	34.5			34.71(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	3	68	7.86	59%	0.06	80.1	1.32%	0	1.6	73	0
17	Oct_14_2010	31.82	33.73	34.11	34.43			34.46(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	4	62	4.67	59%	0.09	81.3	1.32%	0	1.3	64	0
18	Oct_13_2010	31.79	33.65	34.01	34.34			34.5(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	6	64	5.93	62%	0.09	83.7	1.32%	0	1.5	75	0
19	Oct_12_2010	31.76	33.56	33.91	34.21			34.45(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	3	59	4.98	62%	0.09	87.6	1.35%	0	1.6	70	0
20	Oct_11_2010	31.73	33.47	33.83	34.13			34.37(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	8	63	4.33	62%	0.06	94.9	1.35%	0	1.7	65	0

21	Oct_8_2010	31.71	33.38	33.74	33.94			34.36(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	8	50	6.48	62%	0.13	88.1	1.36%	0	1.8	62	0
22	Oct_7_2010	31.67	33.28	33.67	33.75			34.01(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	48	4.96	65%	0.03	82.1	1.36%	0	1.4	66	0
23	Oct_6_2010	31.66	33.18	33.56	33.63			33.85(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	3	40	5.57	65%	0.03	79.1	1.39%	0	1.2	65	0
24	Oct_5_2010	31.65	33.09	33.47	33.56			34.08(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	3	38	8.75	65%	0.03	84.8	1.39%	0	1.6	68	0
25	Oct_4_2010	31.64	32.98	33.38	33.5			33.38(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-1	39	6.97	63%		101.7	1.38%	0	0.7	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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