Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $33.8500 (-0.67%) ($33.7100 - $34.0600) on Wed. Oct. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $33.8500(-0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.63(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.56(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.18(2.02%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2010	31.66	33.18	33.56	33.63			33.85(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	3	40	5.57	65%	0.03	79.1	1.39%	0	1.2	65	0
2	Oct_5_2010	31.65	33.09	33.47	33.56			34.08(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	3	38	8.75	65%	0.03	84.8	1.39%	0	1.6	68	0
3	Oct_4_2010	31.64	32.98	33.47	33.5			33.38(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-1	39	6.97	63%	0.03	101.7	1.38%	0	0.7	63	0
4	Oct_1_2010	31.63	32.92	33.38	33.52			33.45(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-2	49	7.62	63%	0	114.8	1.39%	0	0.9	64	0
5	Sep_30_2010	31.63	32.84	33.32	33.57			33.41(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	5	62	8.59	63%	-0.03	124.7	1.39%	0	0.9	69	0

6	Sep_29_2010	31.64	32.74	33.26	33.45			33.5(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	4	64	4.93	57%	-0.03	113.9	1.4%	0	1.1	73	0
7	Sep_28_2010	31.65	32.58	33.19	33.36			33.74(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	-10000	4	64	7.05	57%	0	89.7	1.47%	0	1.4	78	0
8	Sep_27_2010	31.65	32.41	33.08	33.26			33.48(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	1	68	10	57%	0.03	75.8	1.48%	0	1.1	79	0
9	Sep_24_2010	31.64	32.27	33	33.24			33.7(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	8	76	6.07	53%	0.03	72.7	1.47%	0	1.5	69	0
10	Sep_23_2010	31.63	32.1	32.86	33.05			32.85(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	1	67	10.31	50%	-0.03	62.5	1.47%	0	0.7	68	0

11	Sep_22_2010	31.64	31.98	32.78	33.03			33.02(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	2	78	7.61	48%	-0.03	55.5	1.47%	0	1	76	0
12	Sep_21_2010	31.65	31.84	32.69	32.98			33.24(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	4	96	13.43	48%	-0.09	48	1.5%	0	1.3	85	0
13	Sep_20_2010	31.68	31.7	32.54	32.88			33.38(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	-10000	6	110	5.13	48%	-0.03	46.4	1.5%	0	1.6	88	0
14	Sep_17_2010	31.69	31.57	32.42	32.74			32.75(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	4	122	6.19	45%	-0.09	46.8	1.48%	0	1.2	74	0
15	Sep_16_2010	31.72	31.48	32.33	32.64			32.77(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	-10000	6	138	6.75	45%	-0.06	45.2	1.49%	0	1.3	77	0

16	Sep_15_2010	31.74	31.41	32.18	32.49			32.77(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	6	141	5.76	48%	-0.06	44.8	1.49%	0	1.5	73	0
17	Sep_14_2010	31.76	31.32	31.93	32.34			32.71(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	8	132	6.49	48%	-0.09	39.1	1.52%	0	1.6	75	0
18	Sep_13_2010	31.79	31.22	31.69	32.15			32.68(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	3	114	4.16	48%	-0.13	26.5	1.52%	0	1.8	67	0
19	Sep_10_2010	31.83	31.12	31.48	32.07			32.29(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	4	110	5.4	52%	-0.09	17.7	1.51%	0	1.6	61	0
20	Sep_9_2010	31.86	31.05	31.28	31.97			32.02(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	6	95	5.05	52%	-0.09	8	1.56%	0	1.5	59	0

21	Sep_8_2010	31.89	31.05	31.11	31.81			31.99(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	15	77	4.39	52%	-0.09	-5.4	1.56%	0	1.6	52	0
22	Sep_7_2010	31.92	31	30.92	31.45			31.76(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	13	39	5.09	50%	-0.16	-18.2	1.57%	0	1.2	53	0
23	Sep_3_2010	31.97	31.01	30.8	31.13			32.28(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	-10000	13	15	7.92	48%	-0.09	-27.9	1.63%	0	1.8	61	0
24	Sep_2_2010	32	30.99	30.64	30.81			31.81(1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	9	-10000	13	-4	9.74	50%	-0.09	-37.7	1.62%	0	1.2	59	0
25	Sep_1_2010	32.03	31	30.54	30.49			31.23(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	7	-31	8.34	48%		-43.2	1.63%	0	0.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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