Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 17, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $32.7500 (-0.06%) ($32.6000 - $32.8800) on Fri. Sep. 17, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $32.7500(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.74(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.42(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.57(3.74%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.14% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2010	31.69	31.57	32.42	32.74			32.75(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	4	122	6.19	45%	-0.09	46.8	1.48%	0	1.2	74	0
2	Sep_16_2010	31.72	31.48	32.33	32.64			32.77(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	-10000	6	138	6.75	45%	-0.06	45.2	1.49%	0	1.3	77	0
3	Sep_15_2010	31.74	31.41	32.18	32.49			32.77(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	6	141	5.76	48%	-0.06	44.8	1.49%	0	1.5	73	0
4	Sep_14_2010	31.76	31.32	31.93	32.34			32.71(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	8	132	6.49	48%	-0.09	39.1	1.52%	0	1.6	75	0
5	Sep_13_2010	31.79	31.22	31.69	32.15			32.68(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	3	114	4.16	48%	-0.13	26.5	1.52%	0	1.8	67	0

6	Sep_10_2010	31.83	31.12	31.48	32.07			32.29(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	4	110	5.4	52%	-0.09	17.7	1.51%	0	1.6	61	0
7	Sep_9_2010	31.86	31.05	31.28	31.97			32.02(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	6	95	5.05	52%	-0.09	8	1.56%	0	1.5	59	0
8	Sep_8_2010	31.89	31.05	31.11	31.81			31.99(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	15	77	4.39	52%	-0.09	-5.4	1.56%	0	1.6	52	0
9	Sep_7_2010	31.92	31	30.92	31.45			31.76(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	13	39	5.09	50%	-0.16	-18.2	1.57%	0	1.2	53	0
10	Sep_3_2010	31.97	31.01	30.8	31.13			32.28(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	-10000	13	15	7.92	48%	-0.09	-27.9	1.63%	0	1.8	61	0

11	Sep_2_2010	32	30.99	30.64	30.81			31.81(1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	9	-10000	13	-4	9.74	50%	-0.09	-37.7	1.62%	0	1.2	59	0
12	Sep_1_2010	32.03	31	30.54	30.49			31.23(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	7	-31	8.34	48%	-0.06	-43.2	1.63%	0	0.3	50	0
13	Aug_31_2010	32.05	31.04	30.55	30.33			30.19(0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	1	-42	7.44	44%	-0.12	-44.4	1.59%	0	-1.2	38	0
14	Aug_30_2010	32.09	31.11	30.65	30.31			30.15(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-4	-55	7.02	44%	-0.12	-45.9	1.6%	0	-1.3	31	0
15	Aug_27_2010	32.13	31.21	30.65	30.4			30.69(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-2	-66	10.5	50%	-0.09	-43.9	1.59%	0	-0.8	32	0

16	Aug_26_2010	32.16	31.25	30.72	30.45			30.2(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-6	-77	6.28	49%	-0.09	-44.9	1.65%	0	-1.6	31	0
17	Aug_25_2010	32.19	31.31	30.82	30.59			30.41(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-9	-83	7.46	49%	-0.12	-40.8	1.64%	0	-1.4	30	0
18	Aug_24_2010	32.23	31.36	30.9	30.81			30.1(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-10000	-9	-80	12.28	49%	-0.09	-24.5	1.64%	0	-2.1	28	0
19	Aug_23_2010	32.26	31.44	31.09	31.04			30.62(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-1	-59	6.4	50%	-0.06	-8.3	1.63%	0	-1.5	40	0
20	Aug_20_2010	32.28	31.52	31.26	31.07			30.9(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-13	-10000	1	-55	6.5	48%	-0.06	7.5	1.64%	0	-1.2	38	0

21	Aug_19_2010	32.3	31.55	31.37	31.04			30.92(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-1	-51	7.9	48%	-0.06	20.6	1.71%	0	-1.3	47	0
22	Aug_18_2010	32.32	31.57	31.5	31.07			31.53(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	2	-38	6.26	48%	-0.03	20.1	1.7%	0	-0.1	54	0
23	Aug_17_2010	32.33	31.51	31.56	31.01			31.24(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	-6	-38	5.9	48%	-0.06	10.5	1.71%	0	-0.5	50	0
24	Aug_16_2010	32.35	31.49	31.6	31.17			30.74(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-12	-31	5.47	48%	-0.09	13.7	1.7%	0	-1.2	42	0
25	Aug_13_2010	32.38	31.48	31.74	31.49			30.75(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-10000	-10	-10	5.87	45%		25	1.71%	0	-1.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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