Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 7, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $30.9200 (-1.9%) ($30.9200 - $31.8100) on Mon. Jun. 7, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $30.9200(-1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.69(-13.68%)
Resistance Level   $32.46
5 Day Moving Average   $31.96(-3.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.01(-3.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.46(-4.74%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.9% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2010	32.09	32.46	32.01	31.96			30.92(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-11	-21	11.93	46%	0.03	-46.9	1.63%	0	-1.6	36	0
2	Jun_4_2010	32.08	32.53	32.1	32.25			31.52(-3.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-10	-15	15.22	50%	0.03	-55.4	1.63%	0	-1.2	41	0
3	Jun_3_2010	32.07	32.6	32.09	32.52			32.79(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	8	-16	7.89	53%	0.09	-64.3	1.56%	0	0.2	43	0
4	Jun_2_2010	32.04	32.65	32.04	32.31			32.68(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	7	-51	7.87	53%	0.09	-71.1	1.56%	0	0	38	0
5	Jun_1_2010	32.01	32.73	32.02	32.14			31.88(-1.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-18	-10000	3	-80	10.93	52%	0.09	-72.6	1.53%	0	-0.9	37	0

6	May_28_2010	31.98	32.9	32.15	32.06			32.37(-1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-10000	5	-92	11.28	52%	0.06	-64.6	1.53%	0	-0.5	39	0
7	May_27_2010	31.96	33.02	32.2	31.93			32.87(3.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	14	-90	10.73	52%	0.09	-65.7	1.53%	0	-0.1	55	0
8	May_26_2010	31.93	33.14	32.25	31.6			31.73(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-6	-118	13.34	49%	0.06	-71.1	1.47%	0	-1.1	45	0
9	May_25_2010	31.91	33.3	32.5	31.74			31.83(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-7	-106	14.19	49%	0.03	-70.3	1.47%	0	-1.1	39	0
10	May_24_2010	31.9	33.45	32.69	31.9			31.51(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-15	-107	14.06	50%	0	-64.9	1.47%	0	-1.4	34	0

11	May_21_2010	31.9	33.67	32.93	32.25			31.73(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-11	-102	19.61	50%	0.06	-54.7	1.45%	0	-1.5	31	0
12	May_20_2010	31.88	33.87	33	32.51			31.18(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-10000	-20	-119	18.54	49%	0.03	-47.1	1.45%	0	-2.1	33	0
13	May_19_2010	31.87	34.1	33.19	32.98			32.44(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-10000	-17	-124	15.4	53%	0.06	-39.8	1.37%	0	-1.5	34	0
14	May_18_2010	31.85	34.23	33.34	33.36			32.64(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-11	-106	15.79	53%	0.09	-31.3	1.37%	0	-1.5	40	0
15	May_17_2010	31.82	34.35	33.52	33.61			33.26(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-5	-96	13.44	55%	0.06	-24.5	1.34%	0	-1.1	42	0

16	May_14_2010	31.8	34.42	33.73	33.73			33.01(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-16	-10000	8	-88	14.21	57%	0.06	-20	1.34%	0	-1.4	36	0
17	May_13_2010	31.78	34.49	33.91	33.56			33.57(-2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	-10000	7	-113	10.45	59%	0.13	-24.1	1.33%	0	-1	40	0
18	May_12_2010	31.74	34.56	34.1	33.4			34.34(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-30	-10000	3	-130	10.33	62%	0.16	-24.6	1.31%	0	-0.2	43	0
19	May_11_2010	31.69	34.58	34.14	33.33			33.85(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-41	-10000	-6	-145	12.56	62%	0.13	-20.5	1.3%	0	-0.8	45	0
20	May_10_2010	31.65	34.6	34.24	33.46			33.86(5.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-47	-10000	-15	-141	16.43	62%	0.13	-13.8	1.3%	0	-0.8	46	0

21	May_7_2010	31.61	34.61	34.44	33.79			32.18(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-50	-10000	-27	-120	29.68	58%	0.09	-1.2	1.14%	0	-2.7	39	0
22	May_6_2010	31.58	34.72	34.8	34.32			32.78(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-37	-10000	-28	-62	30.87	61%	0.1	23.6	1.12%	0	-2.6	42	0
23	May_5_2010	31.55	34.78	35.11	34.87			33.99(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-6	-10000	-9	4	26.34	67%	0.13	55.1	1.02%	0	-1.2	46	0
24	May_4_2010	31.51	34.77	35.22	35.03			34.48(-2.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-5	26	15.79	64%	0.13	62.3	0.99%	0	-0.4	50	0
25	May_3_2010	31.47	34.73	35.27	35.12			35.52(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	8	-10000	-5	47	7.93	71%		64.4	0.99%	0	1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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