Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 31, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $32.8400 (-0.73%) ($32.7800 - $33.0100) on Wed. Mar. 31, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $32.8400(-0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $33(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.84(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.45(1.2%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2010	30.2	32.45	32.84	33			32.84(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	1	74	8.24	65%	0.13	94.5	0.88%	0	0.7	70	0
2	Mar_30_2010	30.16	32.36	32.82	32.98			33.08(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	3	87	4.15	65%	0.17	88.2	0.88%	0	1.1	82	0
3	Mar_29_2010	30.11	32.25	32.75	32.94			33.11(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	5	95	5.48	65%	0.17	90	0.89%	0	1.3	83	0
4	Mar_26_2010	30.06	32.15	32.66	32.87			33.06(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	9	97	6.11	65%	0.17	87.2	0.88%	0	1.2	80	0
5	Mar_25_2010	30.01	32.02	32.57	32.74			32.93(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	5	89	5.54	65%	0.2	80.4	0.89%	0	1.2	80	0

6	Mar_24_2010	29.95	31.9	32.49	32.66			32.74(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	2	97	5.83	65%	0.2	78.2	0.9%	0	1.1	85	0
7	Mar_23_2010	29.89	31.79	32.41	32.63			32.87(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	6	118	6.26	65%	0.2	75.3	0.89%	0	1.3	90	0
8	Mar_22_2010	29.83	31.65	32.31	32.54			32.74(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	8	129	5.08	65%	0.2	74.3	0.89%	0	1.3	90	0
9	Mar_19_2010	29.77	31.52	32.22	32.42			32.4(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	-10000	3	133	4.93	65%	0.17	76.7	0.89%	0	1	82	0
10	Mar_18_2010	29.72	31.42	32.16	32.38			32.56(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	44	-10000	6	156	6.32	65%	0.2	80.7	0.9%	0	1.3	90	0

11	Mar_17_2010	29.66	31.29	32.03	32.3			32.57(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	-10000	10	166	5.35	62%	0.2	85.5	0.9%	0	1.5	90	0
12	Mar_16_2010	29.6	31.16	31.87	32.16			32.41(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	8	161	5.09	62%	0.14	86.6	0.91%	0	1.5	90	0
13	Mar_15_2010	29.56	31.03	31.71	32.04			32.17(-0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	45	-10000	4	166	4.93	62%	0.14	94.3	0.91%	0	1.4	91	0
14	Mar_12_2010	29.52	30.88	31.6	31.98			32.21(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-10000	6	181	3.64	62%	0.14	92.7	0.9%	0	1.6	85	0
15	Mar_11_2010	29.48	30.74	31.43	31.9			32.12(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	-10000	13	183	5.05	62%	0.17	91.8	0.91%	0	1.6	84	0

16	Mar_10_2010	29.43	30.58	31.27	31.72			31.89(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	-10000	14	172	5.22	64%	0.1	80.6	0.91%	0	1.5	84	0
17	Mar_9_2010	29.4	30.43	31.12	31.52			31.82(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	-10000	13	158	5.55	64%	0.14	72.4	0.93%	0	1.6	85	0
18	Mar_8_2010	29.36	30.27	30.94	31.33			31.87(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	-10000	12	144	4.5	64%	0.1	61.6	0.93%	0	1.8	87	0
19	Mar_5_2010	29.33	30.12	30.77	31.15			31.79(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	-10000	17	147	4.8	64%	0.14	57.7	0.93%	0	1.9	89	0
20	Mar_4_2010	29.29	29.97	30.61	30.9			31.21(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	11	140	4.6	62%	0.1	52.4	0.91%	0	1.6	87	0

21	Mar_3_2010	29.26	29.88	30.5	30.75			30.93(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-10000	7	148	5.26	60%	0.1	54	0.91%	0	1.4	88	0
22	Mar_2_2010	29.23	29.82	30.4	30.65			30.84(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	11	159	11.94	60%	0.1	57	0.91%	0	1.5	84	0
23	Mar_1_2010	29.2	29.74	30.29	30.49			31(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	-10000	12	166	8.16	63%	0.1	53.8	0.91%	0	1.9	90	0
24	Feb_26_2010	29.17	29.63	30.12	30.33			30.52(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	4	155	6.31	56%	0.1	50.7	0.93%	0	1.4	82	0
25	Feb_25_2010	29.14	29.55	29.99	30.27			30.47(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	4	157	5.72	56%		47	0.94%	0	1.6	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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