Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 17, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $29.2500 (-0.81%) ($28.9600 - $29.4000) on Tue. Nov. 17, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $29.2500(-0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(2%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.02(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.61(2.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.1(4.09%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.78% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2009	26.35	28.1	28.61	29.02			29.25(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	-10000	5	173	6.82	56%	0.23	25.2	1.24%	0	1.5	74	0
2	Nov_16_2009	26.29	28.04	28.4	28.94			29.49(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	9	155	9.99	56%	0.27	25.1	1.3%	0	1.9	65	0
3	Nov_13_2009	26.22	27.99	28.16	28.78			29.02(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	10	130	10.51	55%	0.19	26.3	1.3%	0	1.5	56	0
4	Nov_12_2009	26.17	27.95	27.94	28.6			28.52(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	8	93	6.42	53%	0.27	23.6	1.29%	0	0.9	51	0
5	Nov_11_2009	26.1	27.94	27.84	28.46			28.84(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	19	74	8.25	53%	0.23	22.3	1.28%	0	1.4	52	0

6	Nov_10_2009	26.04	27.9	27.63	28.12			28.81(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	20	24	6.49	53%	0.27	14.6	1.29%	0	1.5	56	0
7	Nov_9_2009	25.97	27.86	27.5	27.77			28.71(2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	9	-10000	18	-20	8.37	53%	0.19	3.9	1.3%	0	1.5	51	0
8	Nov_6_2009	25.92	27.81	27.5	27.45			28.1(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	14	-59	3.68	54%	0.23	-4.1	1.33%	0	0.5	43	0
9	Nov_5_2009	25.86	27.8	27.41	27.19			27.85(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-20	-10000	3	-89	8.41	54%	0.15	-6.7	1.33%	0	0.1	45	0
10	Nov_4_2009	25.82	27.79	27.45	27.13			27.11(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-23	-10000	3	-100	9.72	51%	0.19	-2	1.29%	0	-1.2	37	0

11	Nov_3_2009	25.77	27.81	27.53	27.07			27.1(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-6	-116	10.35	53%	0.16	-6.2	1.29%	0	-1.3	37	0
12	Nov_2_2009	25.73	27.83	27.66	27.17			27.08(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-11	-103	11.15	53%	0.12	-3	1.32%	0	-1.4	42	0
13	Oct_30_2009	25.7	27.84	27.81	27.37			26.82(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-10000	-16	-79	13.31	53%	0.12	2.4	1.31%	0	-1.7	40	0
14	Oct_29_2009	25.67	27.83	27.97	27.66			27.54(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-9	-45	9.1	57%	0.12	12.7	1.28%	0	-0.5	49	0
15	Oct_28_2009	25.64	27.81	28.06	27.82			26.82(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-17	-10000	-14	-25	7.99	54%	0.12	18.9	1.24%	0	-1.7	39	0

16	Oct_27_2009	25.61	27.81	28.22	28.06			27.6(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-9	15	11.22	58%	0.12	33	1.19%	0	-0.5	58	0
17	Oct_26_2009	25.58	27.85	28.27	28.21			28.08(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-7	43	8.44	61%	0.16	38.8	1.17%	0	0.4	66	0
18	Oct_23_2009	25.54	27.82	28.26	28.32			28.25(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-1	76	5.4	64%	0.16	41.8	1.16%	0	0.7	75	0
19	Oct_22_2009	25.5	27.76	28.22	28.32			28.36(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	25	-10000	0	99	7.62	64%	0.2	36.8	1.19%	0	1	81	0
20	Oct_21_2009	25.45	27.7	28.17	28.34			27.99(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	26	-10000	-4	117	6.99	62%	0.12	32.5	1.18%	0	0.5	69	0

21	Oct_20_2009	25.42	27.67	28.12	28.41			28.36(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	4	130	4.87	67%	0.16	33.7	1.17%	0	1.2	62	0
22	Oct_19_2009	25.38	27.63	28.02	28.34			28.65(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	8	122	4	67%	0.24	35.9	1.18%	0	1.9	63	0
23	Oct_16_2009	25.32	27.58	27.85	28.2			28.33(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	7	101	4.22	67%	0.24	36.5	1.17%	0	1.5	61	0
24	Oct_15_2009	25.26	27.55	27.68	28.09			28.38(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	7	84	3.69	69%	0.2	39.5	1.18%	0	1.8	68	0
25	Oct_14_2009	25.21	27.51	27.53	27.98			28.34(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	12	69	6.24	69%		41.7	1.22%	0	1.9	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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