Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 5, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $26.9400 (1.55%) ($26.5500 - $27.0600) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $26.9400(1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $27.27
5 Day Moving Average   $27.09(-0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.21(-0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.27(-1.21%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   23.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2009	24.88	27.27	27.21	27.09			26.94(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-6	-54	5.08	60%	0.2	65.3	1.27%	0	-0.8	47	0
2	Oct_2_2009	24.83	27.25	27.28	27.2			26.53(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-13	-10000	-5	-36	5.9	52%	0.16	62.4	1.27%	0	-1.6	44	0
3	Oct_1_2009	24.79	27.22	27.41	27.29			26.87(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-3	-16	5.78	54%	0.2	51.8	1.37%	0	-0.7	50	0
4	Sep_30_2009	24.74	27.17	27.51	27.34			27.47(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	1	-1	7.27	58%	0.16	39.7	1.33%	0	0.5	57	0
5	Sep_29_2009	24.7	27.08	27.54	27.33			27.62(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-10000	-2	12	6.26	58%	0.16	30.6	1.34%	0	0.8	66	0

6	Sep_28_2009	24.66	27.01	27.51	27.36			27.49(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-2	27	6.92	58%	0.16	31.8	1.34%	0	0.7	68	0
7	Sep_25_2009	24.62	26.97	27.48	27.4			26.98(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-9	42	7.42	60%	0.12	36.1	1.33%	0	0	67	0
8	Sep_24_2009	24.59	26.95	27.5	27.57			27.14(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-7	75	8.62	60%	0.12	48.3	1.39%	0	0.3	75	0
9	Sep_23_2009	24.56	26.92	27.51	27.7			27.4(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-10000	-4	114	7.49	60%	0.16	60.2	1.38%	0	0.7	83	0
10	Sep_22_2009	24.52	26.87	27.46	27.78			27.8(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	41	-10000	5	147	6.93	57%	0.16	71.2	1.37%	0	1.3	88	0

11	Sep_21_2009	24.48	26.78	27.34	27.68			27.69(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	5	141	5.62	57%	0.2	77.1	1.43%	0	1.3	73	0
12	Sep_18_2009	24.43	26.71	27.21	27.58			27.8(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	132	8.64	57%	0.16	80.2	1.43%	0	1.7	64	0
13	Sep_17_2009	24.39	26.61	27.02	27.43			27.79(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	6	111	6.05	57%	0.21	73.4	1.43%	0	1.8	64	0
14	Sep_16_2009	24.34	26.5	26.8	27.31			27.82(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	10	90	4.37	54%	0.25	68.3	1.43%	0	2.2	65	0
15	Sep_15_2009	24.28	26.37	26.58	27.11			27.3(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	8	61	5.55	51%	0.17	58.3	1.46%	0	1.6	62	0

16	Sep_14_2009	24.24	26.26	26.46	26.95			27.17(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	8	48	3.62	51%	0.21	40	1.49%	0	1.5	65	0
17	Sep_11_2009	24.19	26.19	26.4	26.78			27.08(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	13	40	7.07	51%	0.21	29	1.49%	0	1.6	60	0
18	Sep_10_2009	24.14	26.15	26.34	26.53			27.17(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	16	31	3.44	51%	0.21	23.1	1.49%	0	2	67	0
19	Sep_9_2009	24.09	26.09	26.26	26.21			26.81(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	12	16	4.62	51%	0.21	11.4	1.5%	0	1.6	67	0
20	Sep_8_2009	24.04	26.04	26.21	25.98			26.53(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	5	-10000	4	8	4.2	51%	0.25	-1.8	1.49%	0	1.1	67	0

21	Sep_4_2009	23.98	26.04	26.21	25.91			26.3(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	1	-10000	-3	14	4.09	51%	0.17	-1.2	1.49%	0	0.6	69	0
22	Sep_3_2009	23.94	26.04	26.21	25.97			25.83(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-8	25	4.99	49%	0.21	15.5	1.47%	0	-0.5	50	0
23	Sep_2_2009	23.89	26.03	26.17	26.12			25.56(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	-10000	-10	32	4.32	49%	0.17	30.4	1.48%	0	-1.1	43	0
24	Sep_1_2009	23.85	26.04	26.19	26.32			25.69(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	6	-10000	-7	43	8.9	55%	0.17	54.1	1.48%	0	-0.9	45	0
25	Aug_31_2009	23.81	26.05	26.17	26.46			26.16(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	12	-10000	0	47	3.36	57%		74.5	1.57%	0	0.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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