Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $22.7900 (-2.52%) ($22.7500 - $23.5500) on Tue. Jun. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.41% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $22.7900(-2.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -1.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.205% (StdDev 2.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

Resistance Level   $23.54
5 Day Moving Average   $23.59(-3.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.86(-4.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.54(-3.19%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   28.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 2.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2009	20.88	23.54	23.86	23.59			22.79(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-10000	-11	-4	9.2	76%	0.14	35	2.41%	0	-1.1	54	0
2	Jun_15_2009	20.85	23.57	24.03	23.9			23.38(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-6	27	7.38	79%	0.19	48.2	2.41%	0	-0.3	53	0
3	Jun_12_2009	20.81	23.52	24.12	24.07			23.86(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-1	56	9.67	80%	0.19	38.7	2.39%	0	0.5	66	0
4	Jun_11_2009	20.77	23.44	24.06	24.1			23.89(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-2	66	9.53	80%	0.19	30	2.42%	0	0.6	69	0
5	Jun_10_2009	20.73	23.36	23.96	24.16			24.01(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-1	71	12.54	82%	0.24	20.1	2.42%	0	0.8	62	0

6	Jun_9_2009	20.68	23.31	23.85	24.18			24.37(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	-0	69	4.95	82%	0.19	16.1	2.5%	0	1.4	62	0
7	Jun_8_2009	20.64	23.27	23.75	24.18			24.23(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	0	72	5.53	82%	0.19	15.3	2.52%	0	1.3	59	0
8	Jun_5_2009	20.6	23.24	23.59	24.19			24.01(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	-10000	6	81	6.97	77%	0.15	20.9	2.52%	0	1.1	67	0
9	Jun_4_2009	20.57	23.22	23.43	24.01			24.16(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	9	72	4.96	77%	0.24	16.6	2.6%	0	1.3	66	0
10	Jun_3_2009	20.52	23.21	23.3	23.73			24.11(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	9	63	8.72	77%	0.15	13.6	2.61%	0	1.3	66	0

11	Jun_2_2009	20.49	23.19	23.19	23.47			24.43(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	-10000	7	49	7.29	73%	0.2	12.8	2.6%	0	1.8	59	0
12	Jun_1_2009	20.45	23.15	23.05	23.25			24.23(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	17	-10000	11	36	11.53	73%	0.15	14.2	2.66%	0	1.7	53	0
13	May_29_2009	20.42	23.15	22.84	22.92			23.12(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	5	-1	4.35	71%	0.05	3.1	2.62%	0	0	42	0
14	May_28_2009	20.41	23.1	22.76	22.77			22.74(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-1	-24	5.38	71%	0	3.8	2.64%	0	-0.6	42	0
15	May_27_2009	20.41	23.11	22.71	22.79			22.83(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-2	-40	7.78	71%	0	10	2.66%	0	-0.5	39	0

16	May_26_2009	20.41	23.1	22.73	22.85			23.34(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-10	-10000	1	-44	11.05	71%	-0.05	16.3	2.64%	0	0.4	44	0
17	May_22_2009	20.42	23.06	22.74	22.83			22.58(1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-10	-10000	3	-49	7.36	72%	0.1	21.5	2.64%	0	-0.8	37	0
18	May_21_2009	20.4	23.06	22.87	22.74			22.34(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	0	-49	11.74	72%	0.05	19	2.66%	0	-1.2	45	0
19	May_20_2009	20.39	23.08	23	22.73			22.88(-1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	4	-45	13.38	72%	0.1	18.4	2.66%	0	-0.3	47	0
20	May_19_2009	20.37	23.05	23.12	22.61			23.13(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-10	-10000	1	-43	15.8	72%	0.1	17.5	2.66%	0	0.1	54	0

21	May_18_2009	20.35	23	23.19	22.59			23.22(4.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-2	-34	6.28	72%	0.15	19.6	2.66%	0	0.3	58	0
22	May_15_2009	20.32	22.93	23.25	22.66			22.13(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-13	-23	7.8	66%	0.1	21.1	2.63%	0	-1.1	50	0
23	May_14_2009	20.3	22.93	23.37	23.04			22.29(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-10000	-9	2	9.45	66%	0.05	39.6	2.65%	0	-0.9	48	0
24	May_13_2009	20.29	22.96	23.49	23.31			22.26(-3.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-10000	-12	25	8.89	66%	0.1	55.5	2.67%	0	-0.9	54	0
25	May_12_2009	20.27	22.94	23.57	23.69			23.07(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-5	57	12.98	70%		72.3	2.64%	0	0.2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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