Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $16.8700 (-3.76%) ($16.8100 - $17.4700) on Mon. Mar. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.62% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $16.8700(-3.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(85%)    IWM(82%)    PEJ(79%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -1.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(2%)    IGOV(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.31% (StdDev 2.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $8.43(-50.03%)
Resistance Level   $18.57
5 Day Moving Average   $17.66(-4.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.78(-5.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.57(-9.15%)
To recent high   -26.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 2.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2009	20.25	18.57	17.78	17.66			16.87(-3.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-30	-10000	-5	-103	10.15	52%	-0.3	-59.4	2.62%	0	-1.9	19	0
2	Feb_27_2009	20.31	18.69	17.99	17.77			17.53(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-26	-10000	-2	-99	6.99	46%	-0.2	-64.2	2.84%	0	-1.4	21	0
3	Feb_26_2009	20.35	18.81	18.16	17.83			17.65(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-2	-98	6.6	52%	-0.29	-64.3	2.86%	0	-1.4	31	0
4	Feb_25_2009	20.41	18.95	18.31	17.89			18.03(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10000	-1	-92	12.04	52%	-0.29	-57	2.95%	0	-1.1	39	0
5	Feb_24_2009	20.47	19.04	18.42	17.92			18.2(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-0	-96	9.55	58%	-0.34	-56.4	2.95%	0	-1	37	0

6	Feb_23_2009	20.54	19.12	18.59	17.93			17.44(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-11	-89	6.82	55%	-0.44	-61.3	3.07%	0	-2	36	0
7	Feb_20_2009	20.63	19.24	18.86	18.24			17.84(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-10	-63	13.45	55%	-0.43	-63.1	3.17%	0	-1.9	37	0
8	Feb_19_2009	20.72	19.34	19.04	18.53			17.96(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-9	-49	9.1	50%	-0.53	-59.5	3.26%	0	-2.1	34	0
9	Feb_18_2009	20.83	19.45	19.18	18.8			18.15(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-6	-45	9.85	50%	-0.48	-60.7	3.36%	0	-2.2	30	0
10	Feb_17_2009	20.93	19.52	19.34	18.99			18.27(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-11	-38	4.78	50%	-0.85	-75.7	3.36%	0	-2.6	40	0

11	Feb_13_2009	21.11	19.64	19.44	19.35			18.99(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-7	-25	7.27	54%	-0.47	-69.9	3.38%	0	-1.4	44	0
12	Feb_12_2009	21.21	19.71	19.47	19.58			19.3(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-10000	-1	-14	9.56	51%	-0.42	-74.1	3.51%	0	-0.9	48	0
13	Feb_11_2009	21.3	19.74	19.52	19.63			19.27(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	-10000	0	-11	5.05	51%	-0.47	-94.2	3.6%	0	-1.1	47	0
14	Feb_10_2009	21.4	19.81	19.64	19.62			19.12(-4.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-4	-10000	-3	-8	7.62	51%	-0.47	-110.5	3.62%	0	-1.5	43	0
15	Feb_9_2009	21.5	19.9	19.71	19.72			20.07(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	5	2	3.99	53%	-0.51	-113.1	3.59%	0	0.3	57	0

16	Feb_6_2009	21.61	19.96	19.68	19.53			20.13(2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	5	-13	6.82	50%	-0.46	-109.8	3.59%	0	0.3	46	0
17	Feb_5_2009	21.71	20.05	19.63	19.36			19.57(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	-10000	-1	-28	6.39	47%	-0.46	-90.9	3.64%	0	-0.6	44	0
18	Feb_4_2009	21.81	20.16	19.65	19.4			19.21(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-8	-31	6.85	49%	-0.5	-75.9	3.69%	0	-1.1	46	0
19	Feb_3_2009	21.92	20.34	19.73	19.68			19.64(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-10000	-1	-21	6.38	49%	-0.5	-48.1	3.72%	0	-0.7	42	0
20	Feb_2_2009	22.03	20.48	19.71	19.7			19.1(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-4	-32	5.2	49%	-0.54	-37.5	3.71%	0	-1.2	36	0

21	Jan_30_2009	22.15	20.65	19.86	19.85			19.28(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-2	-32	8.77	51%	-0.58	-25.5	3.75%	0	-1.2	34	0
22	Jan_29_2009	22.28	20.77	19.97	19.93			19.77(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	0	-40	7.17	51%	-0.49	-20	3.76%	0	-0.9	33	0
23	Jan_28_2009	22.39	20.85	19.97	19.92			20.6(4.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	3	-55	7.7	57%	-0.49	-18.4	3.74%	0	-0.2	38	0
24	Jan_27_2009	22.5	20.84	19.98	19.8			19.76(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-17	-10000	2	-73	5.02	56%	-0.53	-24.8	3.9%	0	-1	25	0
25	Jan_26_2009	22.62	20.9	20.09	19.73			19.82(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-10000	-4	-89	6.11	56%		-30.2	3.9%	0	-1	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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