Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 15, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $20.3700 (2.46%) ($19.5000 - $20.7200) on Thu. Jan. 15, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.04% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $20.3700(2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(85%)    IWM(82%)    PEJ(79%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -2.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.02% (StdDev 4.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

Resistance Level   $21.31
5 Day Moving Average   $20.67(-1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.51(-5.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.31(-4.41%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   24.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.94% (three month std-dev: 4.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2009	23.29	21.31	21.51	20.67			20.37(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-8	-19	12.5	50%	-0.43	-22.6	4.04%	0	-1.1	51	0
2	Jan_14_2009	23.39	21.39	21.64	21.03			19.88(-3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-7	-10000	-9	1	6.97	50%	-0.47	-8.2	4.28%	0	-1.8	50	0
3	Jan_13_2009	23.5	21.45	21.64	21.46			20.69(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-10	20	7.98	52%	-0.38	0.6	4.25%	0	-1	53	0
4	Jan_12_2009	23.59	21.47	21.8	21.91			20.96(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10000	-7	34	5.07	52%	-0.42	16.1	4.28%	0	-0.7	50	0
5	Jan_9_2009	23.69	21.48	21.81	22.22			21.47(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-5	43	4.11	49%	-0.38	31.4	4.28%	0	-0	51	0

6	Jan_8_2009	23.78	21.5	21.73	22.46			22.15(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	2	47	5.39	49%	-0.34	50	4.33%	0	0.8	49	0
7	Jan_7_2009	23.86	21.46	21.57	22.34			22.02(-3.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	3	34	4.84	47%	-0.33	58.2	4.34%	0	0.7	50	0
8	Jan_6_2009	23.94	21.44	21.44	22.18			22.93(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	11	31	7.14	46%	-0.33	74.2	4.39%	0	2	65	0
9	Jan_5_2009	24.02	21.35	21.25	21.68			22.55(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	7	13	6.45	46%	-0.37	66	4.39%	0	1.8	63	0
10	Jan_2_2009	24.11	21.24	21.12	21.33			22.65(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	8	-10000	9	4	8.79	44%	-0.62	59.2	4.41%	0	2.4	62	0

11	Dec_31_2008	24.26	21.12	21.04	20.92			21.57(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	5	-12	4.19	43%	-0.37	53.2	4.39%	0	0.8	46	0
12	Dec_30_2008	24.35	21.02	21.06	20.69			21.19(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	2	-18	2.51	43%	-0.45	42.1	4.38%	0	0.3	48	0
13	Dec_29_2008	24.46	20.91	21.03	20.59			20.42(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-30	1.82	41%	-0.41	37.2	4.36%	0	-0.6	38	0
14	Dec_26_2008	24.56	20.92	21.09	20.75			20.82(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-3	-25	1.15	41%	-0.53	67.4	4.43%	0	-0.1	49	0
15	Dec_24_2008	24.69	20.89	21.12	20.88			20.59(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-6	-20	1.05	41%	-0.36	87.7	4.4%	0	-0.4	53	0

16	Dec_23_2008	24.78	20.83	21.25	21.18			20.44(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-7	0	3.93	41%	-0.32	93.6	4.4%	0	-0.4	55	0
17	Dec_22_2008	24.86	20.76	21.36	21.49			20.66(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-1	25	5.46	40%	-0.32	95.5	4.4%	0	-0.1	62	0
18	Dec_19_2008	24.94	20.61	21.36	21.53			21.23(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	1	47	11.58	40%	-0.28	73.5	4.41%	0	0.5	71	0
19	Dec_18_2008	25.01	20.39	21.48	21.47			21.48(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	2	50	11.8	41%	-0.32	46.7	4.42%	0	0.7	56	0
20	Dec_17_2008	25.09	20.19	21.39	21.38			22.1(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	1	49	7.89	40%	-0.24	38.5	4.42%	0	1.2	61	0

21	Dec_16_2008	25.15	20.01	21.21	21.35			21.98(5.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	2	57	12.33	40%	-0.24	35.2	4.44%	0	1.2	66	0
22	Dec_15_2008	25.21	19.84	20.97	21.24			20.87(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-4	58	6.28	37%	-0.32	28.7	4.38%	0	0.7	64	0
23	Dec_12_2008	25.29	19.75	20.78	21.44			20.94(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-1	77	7.67	37%	-0.32	27.1	4.4%	0	0.8	71	0
24	Dec_11_2008	25.37	19.7	20.73	21.47			21.01(-4.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	2	110	8.6	37%	-0.35	26.5	4.4%	0	0.9	75	0
25	Dec_10_2008	25.46	19.58	20.65	21.37			21.94(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	7	131	7.41	37%		15.1	4.38%	0	1.6	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.