Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 20, 2007

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $33.1100 (0.49%) ($32.7400 - $33.1800) on Thu. Dec. 20, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $33.1100(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(85%)    XLK(85%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $33.85
5 Day Moving Average   $33.1(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.63(-1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.85(-2.19%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2007	35.81		33.63	33.1			33.11(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-6	-99	2.35	39%	-0.11	-19.6	1.29%	0	-1.1	31	0
2	Dec_19_2007	35.85	33.85	33.78	33.22			32.95(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-9	-87	3.13	39%	-0.11	-23.7	1.3%	0	-1.3	38	0
3	Dec_18_2007	35.89	33.87	33.92	33.41			33.25(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-5	-75	3.89	45%	-0.11	-26.9	1.3%	0	-0.9	37	0
4	Dec_17_2007	35.93	33.88	34.04	33.52			32.94(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-10000	-17	-56	2.97	45%	-0.14	-27.4	1.39%	0	-1.4	52	0
5	Dec_14_2007	35.98	33.94	34.2	33.91			33.25(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-14	-7	1.91	45%	-0.11	-11.5	1.39%	0	-1.1	59	0

6	Dec_13_2007	36.02	33.98	34.35	34.24			33.69(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-8	31	3.46	46%	-0.14	-2.2	1.39%	0	-0.5	53	0
7	Dec_12_2007	36.07	34.01	34.4	34.43			33.91(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-3	61	3.58	46%	-0.14	2.7	1.4%	0	-0.2	60	0
8	Dec_11_2007	36.12	34.06	34.47	34.51			33.8(-3.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	17	-10000	-5	81	4.42	46%	-0.17	1.5	1.4%	0	-0.4	56	0
9	Dec_10_2007	36.18	34.07	34.43	34.62			34.92(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	4	97	1.76	50%	-0.14	-2.1	1.35%	0	1.3	65	0
10	Dec_7_2007	36.23	34.01	34.21	34.53			34.9(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	2	76	4.1	47%	-0.14	-18.9	1.35%	0	1.4	56	0

11	Dec_6_2007	36.28	34.01	34.08	34.48			34.61(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	4	68	2.62	47%	-0.14	-29.1	1.38%	0	1	54	0
12	Dec_5_2007	36.33	34	33.92	34.39			34.31(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-1	45	3.76	46%	-0.16	-45.9	1.37%	0	0.5	49	0
13	Dec_4_2007	36.39	34.05	33.82	34.42			34.36(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	10	33	2.99	46%	-0.14	-45.9	1.39%	0	0.4	44	0
14	Dec_3_2007	36.44	34.08	33.7	34.19			34.47(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	15	11	2.42	46%	-0.16	-60.9	1.39%	0	0.5	53	0
15	Nov_30_2007	36.5	34.13	33.64	33.83			34.65(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	9	-16	3.49	48%	-0.14	-72	1.4%	0	0.6	55	0

16	Nov_29_2007	36.55	34.18	33.64	33.61			34.15(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	10	-40	3	49%	-0.16	-76.5	1.39%	0	-0	45	0
17	Nov_28_2007	36.61	34.29	33.57	33.38			34.49(3.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-8	-10000	10	-60	3.97	47%	-0.11	-72	1.44%	0	0.2	46	0
18	Nov_27_2007	36.65	34.38	33.59	33.14			33.2(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-0	-92	3.64	41%	-0.19	-70.8	1.38%	0	-1	32	0
19	Nov_26_2007	36.72	34.55	33.67	33.15			32.68(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-12	-112	8.45	39%	-0.22	-66.6	1.38%	0	-1.6	31	0
20	Nov_23_2007	36.8	34.74	33.8	33.42			33.55(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-4	-113	1.62	44%	-0.16	-60.3	1.37%	0	-1	32	0

21	Nov_21_2007	36.86	34.87	33.91	33.51			32.97(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-10000	-12	-124	3.5	44%	-0.19	-60.7	1.35%	0	-1.6	25	0
22	Nov_20_2007	36.93	35.05	34.09	33.79			33.29(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-14	-129	3.55	44%	-0.16	-61.2	1.35%	0	-1.6	22	0
23	Nov_19_2007	36.99	35.21	34.31	34.11			33.26(-2.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-34	-10000	-6	-117	5.28	44%	-0.16	-59.5	1.35%	0	-1.8	23	0
24	Nov_16_2007	37.05	35.37	34.51	34.25			34.01(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-30	-10000	1	-124	5.59	46%	-0.16	-66.1	1.33%	0	-1.4	26	0
25	Nov_15_2007	37.11	35.47	34.68	34.23			34.02(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-6	-139	2.9	45%		-76.8	1.33%	0	-1.5	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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