Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 13, 2007

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $36.5600 (0.55%) ($36.5600 - $37.2000) on Mon. Aug. 13, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $36.5600(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.62(-16.25%)
Resistance Level   $37.81
5 Day Moving Average   $36.84(-0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.9(-0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.81(-3.31%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2007	39.06	37.81	36.9	36.84			36.56(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-4	-89	4.94	37%	-0.05	-54.7	1%	0	-1	34	0
2	Aug_10_2007	39.08	37.98	36.99	36.91			36.36(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-1	-110	5.51	36%	-0.05	-52.9	1%	0	-1.2	29	0
3	Aug_9_2007	39.1	38.16	37.07	36.92			36.52(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-10000	-11	-149	3.98	36%	-0.08	-54.5	1.01%	0	-1.3	30	0
4	Aug_8_2007	39.13	38.33	37.18	37.12			37.58(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-38	-10000	6	-170	6.08	39%	0	-52.1	0.95%	0	-0.6	32	0
5	Aug_7_2007	39.13	38.43	37.28	37.01			37.16(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-49	-10000	2	-202	5.93	37%	-0.03	-55.5	0.94%	0	-1	29	0

6	Aug_6_2007	39.14	38.54	37.44	36.98			36.95(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-10000	-7	-227	4.9	37%	0	-57.6	0.94%	0	-1.3	27	0
7	Aug_3_2007	39.14	38.69	37.68	37.1			36.37(-3.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-64	-10000	-8	-233	4.77	33%	-0.05	-54.2	0.91%	0	-1.9	21	0
8	Aug_2_2007	39.16	38.89	37.99	37.24			37.52(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-63	-10000	-1	-248	5.36	40%	0.03	-53.6	0.84%	0	-1.2	24	0
9	Aug_1_2007	39.15	39.01	38.23	37.26			37.05(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-82	-10000	-22	-260	5.02	37%	-0.03	-53	0.83%	0	-1.8	21	0
10	Jul_31_2007	39.16	39.15	38.51	37.6			37(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-10000	-24	-222	3.34	37%	-0.03	-46.9	0.84%	0	-2.1	26	0

11	Jul_30_2007	39.17	39.28	38.81	37.98			37.57(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-64	-10000	-25	-182	3.5	37%	-0.03	-41.1	0.82%	0	-1.9	33	0
12	Jul_27_2007	39.18	39.38	39.04	38.37			37.04(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-61	-10000	-31	-152	5.86	33%	-0.03	-33.3	0.81%	0	-3	21	0
13	Jul_26_2007	39.19	39.51	39.36	38.86			37.63(-2.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-50	-10000	-30	-108	6.84	36%	0	-25	0.79%	0	-3.3	23	0
14	Jul_25_2007	39.19	39.61	39.6	39.32			38.77(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-10000	-16	-59	4.61	44%	0.03	-8.6	0.71%	0	-2.3	38	0
15	Jul_24_2007	39.18	39.62	39.69	39.55			38.9(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-19	-10000	-14	-33	4.7	44%	0.03	-2.3	0.72%	0	-2.1	43	0

16	Jul_23_2007	39.17	39.65	39.74	39.75			39.52(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-6	-11	1.67	48%	0.05	9.9	0.69%	0	-0.4	51	0
17	Jul_20_2007	39.15	39.64	39.79	39.83			39.46(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-8	11	3.51	51%	0.03	9.6	0.69%	0	-0.5	54	0
18	Jul_19_2007	39.14	39.65	39.86	39.94			39.97(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	1	46	1.33	54%	0.05	19.8	0.69%	0	1	63	0
19	Jul_18_2007	39.12	39.64	39.85	39.92			39.88(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	5	55	1.66	54%	0.05	22.2	0.69%	0	0.8	60	0
20	Jul_17_2007	39.1	39.63	39.82	39.85			39.93(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	9	62	1.77	54%	0	29.5	0.69%	0	1	67	0

21	Jul_16_2007	39.1	39.62	39.78	39.73			39.89(-0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	12	-10000	-1	50	1.04	56%	0	23.1	0.7%	0	0.9	60	0
22	Jul_13_2007	39.1	39.61	39.73	39.75			40.05(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	12	-10000	-2	52	1.99	56%	0.03	32.9	0.7%	0	1.5	59	0
23	Jul_12_2007	39.09	39.59	39.65	39.78			39.85(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	1	51	1.92	56%	-0.03	49.3	0.7%	0	0.9	52	0
24	Jul_11_2007	39.1	39.57	39.6	39.77			39.54(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-1	43	2.51	55%	0	46.5	0.7%	0	-0.1	47	0
25	Jul_10_2007	39.1	39.54	39.55	39.78			39.31(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-4	28	4.51	55%		26.9	0.7%	0	-0.7	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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