Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 2, 2004

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $32.7100 (0.37%) ($32.5500 - $32.9500) on Tue. Nov. 2, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $32.7100(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.52(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.01(2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.8(2.86%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2004	30.99	31.8	32.01	32.52			32.71(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	14	136	0.68	65%	0.03	58.6	0.83%	0	2	67	0
2	Nov_1_2004	30.98	31.75	31.88	32.33			32.59(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	-10000	20	114	0.4	65%	0.03	63.6	0.83%	0	2	64	0
3	Oct_29_2004	30.97	31.71	31.78	32.06			32.46(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	17	81	1.29	65%	0.03	62.4	0.83%	0	2	61	0
4	Oct_28_2004	30.96	31.66	31.67	31.83			32.5(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	23	-10000	14	49	0.45	65%	0	54.2	0.83%	0	2.5	63	0
5	Oct_27_2004	30.96	31.59	31.53	31.64			32.32(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	16	-10000	16	14	0.4	67%	0.03	45.3	0.83%	0	2.4	56	0

6	Oct_26_2004	30.95	31.53	31.44	31.43			31.78(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	5	-28	0.45	63%	-0.03	30.2	0.83%	0	0.9	44	0
7	Oct_25_2004	30.96	31.49	31.42	31.37			31.26(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-6	-48	0.14	60%	0	15.2	0.82%	0	-0.8	39	0
8	Oct_22_2004	30.96	31.49	31.46	31.45			31.29(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-1	-41	0.21	60%	0	20.7	0.82%	0	-0.7	38	0
9	Oct_21_2004	30.96	31.48	31.48	31.47			31.56(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	5	-38	0.22	60%	0	18.9	0.81%	0	0.3	50	0
10	Oct_20_2004	30.96	31.45	31.5	31.4			31.28(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-3	-38	0.42	60%	-0.03	8.1	0.81%	0	-0.5	54	0

11	Oct_19_2004	30.97	31.45	31.57	31.44			31.45(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	-2	-13	0.96	60%	0.03	9.1	0.82%	0	0	59	0
12	Oct_18_2004	30.96	31.44	31.61	31.44			31.65(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2	-10000	0	9	0.89	60%	0	11.8	0.82%	0	0.7	65	0
13	Oct_15_2004	30.96	31.44	31.63	31.47			31.43(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-1	28	1.49	58%	0	11.1	0.83%	0	0	62	0
14	Oct_14_2004	30.96	31.42	31.65	31.49			31.21(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-9	36	0.14	58%	0	17.2	0.83%	0	-0.7	52	0
15	Oct_13_2004	30.96	31.43	31.66	31.61			31.48(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-9	55	0.18	60%	0	35.4	0.82%	0	0.2	60	0

16	Oct_12_2004	30.96	31.42	31.63	31.72			31.58(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-4	74	0.49	60%	0	48.5	0.82%	0	0.5	64	0
17	Oct_11_2004	30.96	31.41	31.57	31.77			31.66(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-4	74	0.13	60%	0.06	57.6	0.82%	0	0.8	54	0
18	Oct_8_2004	30.94	31.38	31.51	31.82			31.54(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	19	-10000	-1	79	0.28	56%	0.03	66.7	0.82%	0	0.5	57	0
19	Oct_7_2004	30.93	31.36	31.48	31.83			31.79(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	9	80	0.07	56%	0.03	69.6	0.83%	0	1.3	55	0
20	Oct_6_2004	30.92	31.32	31.41	31.71			32.02(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	14	62	0.37	56%	0.06	67.7	0.83%	0	2.3	60	0

21	Oct_5_2004	30.9	31.27	31.3	31.52			31.85(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	14	34	0.25	56%	0.06	69.8	0.83%	0	2.1	61	0
22	Oct_4_2004	30.88	31.23	31.25	31.34			31.89(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	14	-10000	14	12	1.07	56%	0.06	72.7	0.84%	0	2.8	57	0
23	Oct_1_2004	30.86	31.18	31.17	31.16			31.59(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	1	-10000	6	-16	0.58	55%	0.03	72.1	0.83%	0	2.2	56	0
24	Sep_30_2004	30.85	31.14	31.15	31.08			31.2(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	1	-24	1.23	52%	0	76.4	0.82%	0	0.4	52	0
25	Sep_29_2004	30.85	31.11	31.17	31.06			31.07(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	-10000	1	-15	1.11	52%		54.9	0.82%	0	-0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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