Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 17, 2004

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $31.4200 (0.06%) ($31.3400 - $31.5500) on Fri. Sep. 17, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $31.4200(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.33(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.19(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.88(1.75%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2004	30.83	30.88	31.19	31.33			31.42(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	4	95	0.24	56%	-0.03	97.5	0.8%	0	1.5	67	0
2	Sep_16_2004	30.84	30.82	31.14	31.28			31.4(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	9	98	2.18	56%	0	110	0.8%	0	1.6	67	0
3	Sep_15_2004	30.84	30.76	31.05	31.17			31.21(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	3	80	0.08	56%	-0.03	118.8	0.8%	0	1.3	64	0
4	Sep_14_2004	30.85	30.71	30.97	31.14			31.39(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	4	77	0.2	52%	-0.03	124.8	0.8%	0	1.9	73	0
5	Sep_13_2004	30.86	30.62	30.87	31.09			31.25(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	6	72	0.31	52%	-0.03	121.8	0.81%	0	1.7	73	0

6	Sep_10_2004	30.87	30.52	30.81	31.02			31.15(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	3	66	0.09	52%	-0.03	90.1	0.81%	0	1.3	65	0
7	Sep_9_2004	30.88	30.41	30.75	30.98			30.87(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	6	73	0.83	51%	-0.03	71.7	0.81%	0	0.8	67	0
8	Sep_8_2004	30.89	30.34	30.73	30.9			31.03(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	10	71	0.27	51%	-0.03	58.6	0.81%	0	1.2	66	0
9	Sep_7_2004	30.9	30.27	30.66	30.77			31.13(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	12	63	0.6	53%	-0.03	48.2	0.81%	0	1.5	73	0
10	Sep_3_2004	30.91	30.17	30.58	30.62			30.92(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	5	53	0.09	53%	-0.03	29.1	0.82%	0	1.2	76	0

11	Sep_2_2004	30.92	30.08	30.54	30.56			30.95(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	24	-10000	5	79	0.68	53%	-0.03	18.1	0.82%	0	1.5	83	0
12	Sep_1_2004	30.93	30.01	30.46	30.5			30.47(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	-3	99	0.35	50%	-0.03	10.2	0.8%	0	0.8	81	0
13	Aug_31_2004	30.94	29.99	30.45	30.53			30.37(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	32	-10000	-1	130	0.5	50%	-0.06	11.2	0.8%	0	0.7	68	0
14	Aug_30_2004	30.96	29.98	30.43	30.54			30.39(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	37	-10000	1	146	0.63	50%	-0.03	10.5	0.81%	0	0.7	63	0
15	Aug_27_2004	30.97	29.99	30.37	30.53			30.63(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	43	-10000	3	164	0.22	50%	-0.03	15.8	0.8%	0	1.1	72	0

16	Aug_26_2004	30.98	29.97	30.22	30.5			30.63(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	7	163	0.53	50%	-0.06	17.1	0.8%	0	1.2	71	0
17	Aug_25_2004	31	29.95	30.06	30.42			30.64(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	5	139	0.08	54%	-0.03	14.4	0.8%	0	1.3	62	0
18	Aug_24_2004	31.01	29.93	29.93	30.36			30.41(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	5	111	0.27	56%	-0.1	11.9	0.84%	0	0.9	51	0
19	Aug_23_2004	31.04	29.92	29.84	30.3			30.33(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	9	89	1.03	56%	-0.03	7.5	0.85%	0	0.8	48	0
20	Aug_20_2004	31.05	29.9	29.72	30.18			30.49(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	23	48	0.16	56%	-0.06	-1.7	0.85%	0	1.1	46	0

21	Aug_19_2004	31.07	29.9	29.59	29.89			30.22(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	-10000	21	-18	0.59	55%	-0.06	-19.3	0.84%	0	0.7	46	0
22	Aug_18_2004	31.09	29.88	29.52	29.63			30.36(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-6	-10000	16	-71	0.63	57%	-0.03	-35.7	0.84%	0	0.9	47	0
23	Aug_17_2004	31.1	29.87	29.52	29.43			30.1(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-20	-10000	8	-103	0.54	53%	-0.03	-51.1	0.86%	0	0.4	47	0
24	Aug_16_2004	31.11	29.88	29.48	29.33			29.72(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-23	-10000	10	-120	0.35	50%	-0.06	-60.3	0.86%	0	-0.3	40	0
25	Aug_13_2004	31.13	29.91	29.56	29.21			29.03(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-2	-135	0.21	45%		-72.4	0.81%	0	-1.7	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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