Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 3, 2003

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $30.3200 (0.76%) ($30.2100 - $30.4400) on Mon. Nov. 3, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $30.3200(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(12%)    OIH(52%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.12(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.69(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.58(2.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2003	28.32	29.58	29.69	30.12			30.32(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	13	67	0.06	53%	0.07	102.2	0.94%	0	1.8	57	0
2	Oct_31_2003	28.3	29.51	29.6	29.94			30.09(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	14	41	0.17	53%	0.11	108.1	0.94%	0	1.5	57	0
3	Oct_30_2003	28.27	29.45	29.52	29.74			30.11(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	15	19	0.1	53%	0.07	100	0.94%	0	1.5	62	0
4	Oct_29_2003	28.25	29.37	29.48	29.53			30.01(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	14	4	0.07	53%	0.11	88.2	0.94%	0	1.4	62	0
5	Oct_28_2003	28.22	29.28	29.45	29.34			30.07(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	-10000	9	-7	0.08	53%	0.11	64.4	0.95%	0	1.4	69	0

6	Oct_27_2003	28.19	29.16	29.41	29.22			29.41(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	1	-11	0.35	50%	0.07	45.1	0.91%	0	0.4	56	0
7	Oct_24_2003	28.17	29.08	29.43	29.21			29.09(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.19	50%	0.07	36.1	0.92%	0	0	54	0
8	Oct_23_2003	28.15	29.02	29.46	29.28			29.06(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-10000	-11	15	0.1	50%	0.07	30.3	0.92%	0	0.1	58	0
9	Oct_22_2003	28.13	28.98	29.46	29.43			29.06(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-10	51	0.26	50%	0.07	29	0.92%	0	0.1	63	0
10	Oct_21_2003	28.11	28.93	29.49	29.56			29.47(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-5	85	0.11	53%	0.07	29.4	0.9%	0	0.8	73	0

11	Oct_20_2003	28.09	28.89	29.46	29.63			29.38(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-10000	-4	126	0.03	53%	0.11	31.8	0.92%	0	0.7	80	0
12	Oct_17_2003	28.06	28.85	29.43	29.68			29.41(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	43	-10000	1	167	0.37	51%	0.11	34.3	0.92%	0	0.8	77	0
13	Oct_16_2003	28.03	28.82	29.38	29.67			29.83(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	-10000	7	197	0.06	53%	0.14	38.1	0.91%	0	1.5	85	0
14	Oct_15_2003	27.99	28.77	29.25	29.57			29.7(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	-10000	12	199	0.19	53%	0.11	40.5	0.91%	0	1.5	75	0
15	Oct_14_2003	27.96	28.73	29.11	29.41			29.82(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	-10000	10	187	0.05	53%	0.07	40.6	0.91%	0	1.8	74	0

16	Oct_13_2003	27.94	28.67	28.9	29.28			29.66(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	-10000	10	150	0.4	53%	0.14	40	0.91%	0	1.8	60	0
17	Oct_10_2003	27.9	28.61	28.7	29.15			29.36(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	8	119	0.12	52%	0.14	30.9	0.92%	0	1.5	61	0
18	Oct_9_2003	27.86	28.56	28.54	29.04			29.3(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	12	83	0.24	50%	0.14	19.6	0.94%	0	1.5	53	0
19	Oct_8_2003	27.82	28.51	28.41	28.88			28.93(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	9	41	0.02	50%	0.14	1.2	0.94%	0	0.9	46	0
20	Oct_7_2003	27.78	28.48	28.33	28.76			29.14(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	23	17	0.35	53%	0.14	-17.1	0.95%	0	1.5	51	0

21	Oct_6_2003	27.74	28.48	28.27	28.45			29.02(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	8	-10000	20	-27	0.16	53%	0.11	-44.3	0.98%	0	1.3	49	0
22	Oct_3_2003	27.71	28.45	28.2	28.18			28.81(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-5	-10000	15	-63	0.47	53%	0.11	-58	0.98%	0	0.8	53	0
23	Oct_2_2003	27.68	28.47	28.19	27.97			28.49(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-16	-10000	7	-84	0.19	51%	0.11	-61.4	0.98%	0	0	51	0
24	Oct_1_2003	27.65	28.51	28.24	27.88			28.34(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-19	-10000	3	-86	1.7	51%	0.07	-54.5	0.98%	0	-0.3	48	0
25	Sep_30_2003	27.63	28.56	28.29	27.84			27.58(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-17	-94	0.12	47%		-48	0.92%	0	-1.8	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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