Trading Signals: XLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLV: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: XLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Health Care sector ETF)
XLV latest price $63.3426 (-0.75%) ($63.2758 - $63.9820) on Tue. Feb. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $63.3426(-0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLV advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(82%)    VT(80%)    SPY(79%)    IVE(77%)    IWD(77%)
Factors Impacting XLV price   XLV will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-15%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.29(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.44(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.59(1.2%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLV price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2016	65.97	62.59	62.44	63.29			63.34(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	4	54	8.21	41%	-0.03	-13.1	1.28%	0	0.7	53	0
2	Feb_22_2016	65.99	62.62	62.17	63.14			63.82(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	12	32	7.52	41%	-0.02	-15.4	1.27%	0	1.1	49	0
3	Feb_19_2016	66	62.65	61.92	62.66			62.92(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	-10000	12	-2	8.88	37%	-0.02	-25.4	1.26%	0	0.2	46	0
4	Feb_18_2016	66.01	62.69	61.88	62.2			62.99(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	7	-22	9.72	40%	0	-33.2	1.28%	0	0.2	52	0
5	Feb_17_2016	66.01	62.72	61.85	61.93			63.38(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	-0	-10000	12	-37	12.14	40%	0.03	-42.3	1.3%	0	0.5	46	0

6	Feb_16_2016	65.99	62.74	61.75	61.47			62.59(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	10	-72	17.3	40%	0.06	-53.5	1.29%	0	-0.1	39	0
7	Feb_12_2016	65.95	62.79	61.82	61.07			61.43(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-10000	-0	-99	10.32	36%	-0.06	-65.4	1.27%	0	-1.1	37	0
8	Feb_11_2016	65.99	62.96	62.01	61.08			60.62(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-11	-114	22.8	34%	-0.08	-69.4	1.27%	0	-1.8	30	0
9	Feb_10_2016	66.04	63.09	62.2	61.49			61.62(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-7	-107	14.73	35%	-0.08	-82.9	1.26%	0	-1.2	40	0
10	Feb_9_2016	66.09	63.26	62.42	61.77			61.07(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-8	-97	20.74	35%	-0.09	-87.2	1.26%	0	-1.8	37	0

11	Feb_8_2016	66.15	63.42	62.78	62.08			60.62(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-10000	-15	-84	24.65	35%	-0.11	-102.9	1.26%	0	-2.6	35	0
12	Feb_5_2016	66.22	63.65	63.14	62.66			61.46(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-10	-57	16.74	36%	-0.11	-124.5	1.25%	0	-2.4	38	0
13	Feb_4_2016	66.29	63.87	63.48	63.06			62.68(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-9	-10000	1	-38	18.96	38%	-0.08	-134.8	1.23%	0	-1.4	38	0
14	Feb_3_2016	66.34	64.09	63.59	63.01			63.03(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-4	-38	19.45	38%	-0.08	-119.8	1.23%	0	-1	52	0
15	Feb_2_2016	66.39	64.32	63.69	63.18			62.62(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-10	-41	12.97	42%	-0.06	-100	1.22%	0	-1.3	40	0

16	Feb_1_2016	66.43	64.55	63.82	63.59			63.53(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10000	-3	-23	16.71	43%	-0.05	-91	1.25%	0	-0.7	48	0
17	Jan_29_2016	66.46	64.8	63.85	63.71			63.44(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-7	-27	17.58	43%	-0.06	-89.7	1.25%	0	-0.9	44	0
18	Jan_28_2016	66.5	65.08	63.97	63.97			62.42(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-7	-25	26.13	41%	-0.05	-72	1.23%	0	-1.6	36	0
19	Jan_27_2016	66.53	65.43	64.07	64.24			63.91(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-0	-42	15.92	46%	-0.05	-58.2	1.2%	0	-0.8	35	0
20	Jan_26_2016	66.56	65.67	64.16	64.25			64.64(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	4	-59	12.45	46%	-0.03	-49.8	1.22%	0	-0.5	35	0

21	Jan_25_2016	66.58	65.89	64.11	64.08			64.15(-0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-21	-10000	2	-91	10.13	46%	-0.02	-48	1.22%	0	-0.8	35	0
22	Jan_22_2016	66.59	66.13	64.18	64.08			64.76(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	0	-120	11.34	49%	-0.02	-48.9	1.24%	0	-0.6	32	0
23	Jan_21_2016	66.6	66.3	64.27	64.01			63.74(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-33	-10000	4	-144	17.1	47%	-0.05	-46.9	1.23%	0	-1.1	25	0
24	Jan_20_2016	66.63	66.52	64.6	63.87			63.93(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	-10000	-5	-171	24.67	45%	-0.02	-47.5	1.23%	0	-1.1	25	0
25	Jan_19_2016	66.64	66.7	64.97	64.07			63.81(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-2	-168	13.5	45%		-45.6	1.25%	0	-1.3	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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