Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $42.8900 (0.37%) ($42.6100 - $42.9700) on Tue. Jun. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $42.8900(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    VT(56%)    XLV(56%)    SPY(55%)    XLI(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    XHB(1%)    TLT(1%)    GDXJ(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.63(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.22(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.23(1.56%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2014	40.86		42.22	42.63			42.89(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	10	75	8	56%	0.15	-13.2	0.75%	0	1.3	64	0
2	Jun_2_2014	40.8	42.23	42.08	42.47			42.73(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	12	53	7.25	56%	0.1	-25.6	0.76%	0	1	64	0
3	May_30_2014	40.76	42.21	42.01	42.28			42.74(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	11	31	8.28	56%	0.15	-43.2	0.77%	0	1.1	55	0
4	May_29_2014	40.7	42.23	41.93	42.1			42.46(0.28%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	9	-10000	12	-1	9.82	56%	0.12	-42.3	0.77%	0	0.4	41	0
5	May_28_2014	40.65	42.27	41.89	41.91			42.34(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	11	-41	12.53	57%	0.12	-41.4	0.78%	0	0.1	34	0

6	May_27_2014	40.6	42.3	41.85	41.74			42.09(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	7	-72	9.45	57%	0.2	-42.4	0.78%	0	-0.3	43	0
7	May_23_2014	40.52	42.36	41.82	41.62			41.76(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10000	-5	-110	8.92	55%	0.1	-38.6	0.76%	0	-0.9	36	0
8	May_22_2014	40.48	42.43	41.87	41.7			41.86(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	-10000	-2	-107	5.21	55%	0.05	-31.1	0.76%	0	-0.9	43	0
9	May_21_2014	40.46	42.47	41.96	41.73			41.52(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-8	-117	6.9	54%	0.07	-31.5	0.76%	0	-1.5	32	0
10	May_20_2014	40.43	42.51	42.14	41.86			41.49(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-30	-10000	-6	-102	10.79	55%	0.1	-29.4	0.76%	0	-1.8	34	0

11	May_19_2014	40.39	42.56	42.26	41.96			41.49(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-10000	-4	-100	13.46	55%	0.1	-23.6	0.77%	0	-2	35	0
12	May_16_2014	40.35	42.61	42.4	42.03			42.14(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-10000	-2	-105	10.09	59%	0.1	-17.4	0.74%	0	-1	38	0
13	May_15_2014	40.31	42.62	42.44	42.06			42.01(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10000	-11	-116	11.56	59%	0.05	-10.4	0.75%	0	-1.2	39	0
14	May_14_2014	40.29	42.66	42.57	42.23			42.18(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-15	-89	20.11	59%	0.12	8.2	0.75%	0	-1	47	0
15	May_13_2014	40.24	42.66	42.68	42.47			41.97(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-10000	-9	-49	8.63	61%	0.1	27.8	0.75%	0	-1.6	49	0

16	May_12_2014	40.2	42.66	42.8	42.61			41.87(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10000	-12	-22	13.62	61%	0.1	42.6	0.76%	0	-1.8	48	0
17	May_9_2014	40.16	42.69	42.95	42.81			42.26(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-3	20	12.17	65%	0.12	55.4	0.75%	0	-0.9	53	0
18	May_8_2014	40.11	42.67	43.04	42.86			42.89(-1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-6	39	15.16	69%	0.12	59.2	0.73%	0	0.4	59	0
19	May_7_2014	40.06	42.63	43.02	42.96			43.36(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	2	51	13.66	72%	0.15	70.2	0.72%	0	1.4	55	0
20	May_6_2014	40	42.56	42.92	42.93			42.67(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-6	45	10.54	71%	0.13	77.9	0.69%	0	0.2	53	0

21	May_5_2014	39.95	42.5	42.89	43.02			42.88(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-6	64	14.91	71%	0.15	76.1	0.69%	0	0.7	63	0
22	May_2_2014	39.89	42.43	42.84	43.11			42.5(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	15	-10000	-8	83	27.93	68%	0.13	79.2	0.7%	0	0.1	63	0
23	May_1_2014	39.84	42.37	42.82	43.23			43.39(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	11	128	18.9	74%	0.15	81.4	0.64%	0	1.5	75	0
24	Apr_30_2014	39.78	42.26	42.76	43.08			43.21(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	13	130	21.83	77%	0.15	78.8	0.65%	0	1.4	70	0
25	Apr_29_2014	39.72	42.16	42.69	42.9			43.14(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	11	117	17.47	77%		74.5	0.67%	0	1.5	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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