Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $39.3900 (1.36%) ($38.9000 - $39.4100) on Wed. Nov. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $39.3900(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(1%)    IGOV(4%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.05(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.05(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.65(1.91%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2013	38.06	38.65	39.05	39.05			39.39(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	6	42	10.12	55%	0.03	76.8	0.87%	0	1.2	69	0
2	Nov_5_2013	38.05	38.55	39.05	38.95			38.86(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-4	50	10.73	52%	0.03	68.7	0.85%	0	0.5	72	0
3	Nov_4_2013	38.04	38.47	38.99	38.95			39.14(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	0	83	6.22	52%	0.03	63.7	0.85%	0	1	81	0
4	Nov_1_2013	38.03	38.37	38.92	39.01			39.06(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	-10000	-2	92	12.36	52%	0.03	59.6	0.85%	0	1	67	0
5	Oct_31_2013	38.02	38.27	38.86	39.01			38.78(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	-10000	0	103	16.9	52%	0.03	58.5	0.85%	0	0.7	60	0

6	Oct_30_2013	38.01	38.19	38.82	39.04			38.92(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	1	111	12.32	52%	0.05	55.2	0.86%	0	1	64	0
7	Oct_29_2013	37.99	38.12	38.71	39.03			39.17(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	4	120	7.92	52%	0.03	55.2	0.86%	0	1.4	74	0
8	Oct_28_2013	37.98	38.03	38.54	38.96			39.12(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	9	121	9.82	52%	0.03	52.7	0.86%	0	1.6	75	0
9	Oct_25_2013	37.97	37.94	38.41	38.81			39.2(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	9	124	6.56	52%	0.03	46.2	0.86%	0	1.9	78	0
10	Oct_24_2013	37.96	37.85	38.3	38.66			38.79(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	6	127	7.87	46%	0.05	43.8	0.85%	0	1.6	71	0

11	Oct_23_2013	37.94	37.78	38.21	38.56			38.87(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	-10000	14	135	14.17	46%	0.03	35.7	0.87%	0	2	73	0
12	Oct_22_2013	37.93	37.72	38.06	38.33			38.84(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	-10000	17	114	19.64	46%	0.03	18.1	0.87%	0	2.3	64	0
13	Oct_21_2013	37.92	37.67	37.9	38.04			38.35(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	6	78	7.4	43%	0.03	6.3	0.86%	0	1.6	61	0
14	Oct_18_2013	37.91	37.64	37.76	37.95			38.43(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	4	63	10.98	43%	0	7.7	0.86%	0	2	63	0
15	Oct_17_2013	37.91	37.64	37.63	37.89			38.33(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	5	53	16.08	43%	0.03	6.7	0.87%	0	1.9	61	0

16	Oct_16_2013	37.9	37.59	37.5	37.81			37.72(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	4	38	12.88	38%	-0.03	17.5	0.84%	0	0.3	50	0
17	Oct_15_2013	37.91	37.63	37.48	37.75			37.38(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	9	-10000	2	28	12	40%	0	30.7	0.83%	0	-0.6	44	0
18	Oct_14_2013	37.91	37.64	37.49	37.72			37.91(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	12	20	26.34	43%	-0.03	29.8	0.84%	0	0.6	47	0
19	Oct_11_2013	37.92	37.61	37.43	37.53			38.12(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	7	-10000	13	-10	6.91	48%	-0.03	20.2	0.84%	0	1.2	49	0
20	Oct_10_2013	37.93	37.57	37.36	37.33			37.94(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	0	-10000	11	-33	11.7	48%	-0.05	10.3	0.86%	0	0.8	56	0

21	Oct_9_2013	37.95	37.52	37.32	37.16			37.38(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-2	-71	14.32	44%	-0.08	1.7	0.85%	0	-0.3	32	0
22	Oct_8_2013	37.98	37.5	37.34	37.19			37.23(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-3	-86	12.26	48%	-0.08	5.1	0.85%	0	-0.6	28	0
23	Oct_7_2013	38.01	37.51	37.41	37.24			36.97(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-5	-75	5.14	48%	-0.08	13.3	0.86%	0	-1.2	46	0
24	Oct_4_2013	38.04	37.53	37.51	37.32			37.15(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-3	-57	4.46	48%	-0.08	16.7	0.86%	0	-0.8	50	0
25	Oct_3_2013	38.07	37.52	37.56	37.37			37.08(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-7	-48	9.3	48%		16	0.87%	0	-0.9	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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