Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $35.5600 (0.17%) ($35.3300 - $35.6000) on Tue. May. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $35.5600(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(1%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.56(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.57(-0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.16(1.14%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120608

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_8_2012	35.03	35.16	35.57	35.56			35.56(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-10000	-5	100	5.41	48%	0.06	38	0.52%	0	0.8	70	0
2	May_7_2012	35.01	35.1	35.53	35.61			35.5(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-3	121	3.88	48%	0.03	33.1	0.52%	0	0.8	67	0
3	May_4_2012	35	35.06	35.47	35.64			35.57(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10000	-1	135	6.87	48%	0	31.5	0.53%	0	1	72	0
4	May_3_2012	35	35.03	35.42	35.64			35.52(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	40	-10000	0	161	5.86	48%	0.03	34.3	0.53%	0	1	76	0
5	May_2_2012	34.99	35	35.34	35.65			35.63(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	49	-10000	8	173	5.51	48%	0.03	38.8	0.53%	0	1.3	74	0

6	May_1_2012	34.98	34.98	35.26	35.58			35.84(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	58	-10000	16	182	9.26	50%	0.03	38.8	0.53%	0	1.9	81	0
7	Apr_30_2012	34.97	34.94	35.15	35.43			35.66(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	58	-10000	17	180	7.05	50%	0.03	37.6	0.52%	0	1.8	81	0
8	Apr_27_2012	34.96	34.9	35.05	35.27			35.61(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	-10000	12	147	4.66	46%	0.03	34.9	0.53%	0	1.9	65	0
9	Apr_26_2012	34.95	34.86	34.92	35.16			35.49(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	-10000	18	111	4.27	46%	0	32.6	0.55%	0	1.9	58	0
10	Apr_25_2012	34.95	34.82	34.82	34.99			35.29(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	11	62	6.24	50%	0.03	25.6	0.55%	0	1.6	50	0

11	Apr_24_2012	34.94	34.8	34.72	34.89			35.11(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	5	18	6.24	50%	0	23.8	0.58%	0	1.1	46	0
12	Apr_23_2012	34.94	34.79	34.64	34.84			34.87(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	5	-18	5.59	47%	0	23.8	0.58%	0	0.3	41	0
13	Apr_20_2012	34.94	34.77	34.62	34.79			35.02(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	13	-31	7.78	47%	0	16	0.58%	0	0.9	48	0
14	Apr_19_2012	34.94	34.77	34.6	34.66			34.68(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	5	-58	5.02	43%	-0.03	-6.2	0.57%	0	-0.3	46	0
15	Apr_18_2012	34.95	34.75	34.64	34.61			34.78(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	9	-53	3.59	43%	0.03	-21	0.58%	0	0.1	51	0

16	Apr_17_2012	34.94	34.74	34.67	34.52			34.83(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-8	-10000	11	-63	5.59	43%	0.03	-46.9	0.58%	0	0.3	46	0
17	Apr_16_2012	34.93	34.72	34.7	34.41			34.66(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-20	-10000	-1	-78	7.29	43%	0.03	-72.6	0.58%	0	-0.2	47	0
18	Apr_13_2012	34.92	34.73	34.74	34.42			34.33(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-11	-72	5.35	38%	-0.03	-78.6	0.57%	0	-1.4	47	0
19	Apr_12_2012	34.93	34.77	34.8	34.53			34.45(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-14	-48	5.84	38%	0.06	-69.1	0.57%	0	-1.1	49	0
20	Apr_11_2012	34.91	34.8	34.83	34.67			34.34(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-10000	-18	-21	4.92	38%	0	-53.8	0.56%	0	-1.6	49	0

21	Apr_10_2012	34.91	34.87	34.9	34.84			34.26(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-9	-10000	-19	20	7.64	38%	0	-20.7	0.57%	0	-1.9	46	0
22	Apr_9_2012	34.91	34.94	34.97	35.03			34.71(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-10000	-7	69	5.03	43%	0.03	3.3	0.54%	0	-0.7	57	0
23	Apr_5_2012	34.9	34.96	34.96	35.1			34.89(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	21	-10000	1	82	4.7	43%	0	12	0.54%	0	-0.2	53	0
24	Apr_4_2012	34.9	34.97	34.94	35.09			35.15(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	9	70	7.97	47%	0	12	0.53%	0	0.6	48	0
25	Apr_3_2012	34.9	34.95	34.87	35.01			35.2(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	4	35	5.76	39%		5.6	0.54%	0	0.8	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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