Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 25, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $33.4300 (0.51%) ($33.1900 - $33.6100) on Fri. Nov. 25, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $33.4300(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(56%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-0%)    IGOV(7%)    USO(12%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.87(-7.66%)
Resistance Level   $34.6
5 Day Moving Average   $33.87(-1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.32(-2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.6(-3.38%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2011	33.59	34.6	34.32	33.87			33.43(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-10000	-10	-95	2.69	46%	0	-42.3	1.14%	0	-2	35	0
2	Nov_23_2011	33.59	34.7	34.47	34.06			33.26(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-30	-10000	-13	-82	6.27	51%	-0.03	-28.7	1.18%	0	-2.8	32	0
3	Nov_22_2011	33.6	34.77	34.62	34.32			33.79(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-10000	-12	-63	15.89	53%	0.03	-14	1.18%	0	-2.3	42	0
4	Nov_21_2011	33.59	34.8	34.79	34.57			34.21(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-7	-26	6.91	55%	0	4.9	1.17%	0	-1.6	54	0
5	Nov_18_2011	33.59	34.83	34.88	34.71			34.64(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-7	-10	4.83	57%	0.03	30.5	1.16%	0	-0.6	49	0

6	Nov_17_2011	33.58	34.83	34.92	34.86			34.4(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-2	-10000	-4	3	5.65	57%	0.03	52	1.17%	0	-1.3	45	0
7	Nov_16_2011	33.57	34.85	35	34.95			34.58(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-1	9	5.75	57%	0.06	65.1	1.17%	0	-0.7	43	0
8	Nov_15_2011	33.55	34.83	35.02	34.96			35(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-4	12	4.31	63%	0.03	66.1	1.16%	0	0.4	56	0
9	Nov_14_2011	33.54	34.79	34.94	35.04			34.94(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-2	16	8.02	63%	0.09	69.8	1.23%	0	0.3	56	0
10	Nov_11_2011	33.51	34.74	34.93	35.08			35.36(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	3	24	4.17	67%	0.06	66.7	1.22%	0	1.3	55	0

11	Nov_10_2011	33.49	34.67	34.89	35.01			34.86(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-2	17	7.52	62%	0.06	66	1.31%	0	0.4	50	0
12	Nov_9_2011	33.47	34.61	34.89	35.06			34.63(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-1	33	8.02	65%	0.06	68	1.34%	0	0	54	0
13	Nov_8_2011	33.45	34.57	34.93	35.08			35.4(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	11	44	6.1	61%	0.06	75.5	1.36%	0	1.5	63	0
14	Nov_7_2011	33.43	34.48	34.82	34.83			35.17(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	3	23	5.04	61%	0.06	76.2	1.52%	0	1.3	62	0
15	Nov_4_2011	33.41	34.42	34.77	34.76			34.98(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	-0	28	5.63	58%	0.06	80.9	1.52%	0	1	63	0

16	Nov_3_2011	33.39	34.35	34.76	34.77			35.14(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	8	-10000	-1	36	10.42	58%	0.06	75.9	1.58%	0	1.4	63	0
17	Nov_2_2011	33.37	34.25	34.68	34.8			34.72(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	2	47	9.59	56%	0.06	65.8	1.57%	0	0.7	63	0
18	Nov_1_2011	33.35	34.16	34.62	34.75			34.12(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-2	48	12.2	54%	0.03	53.5	1.57%	0	-0.1	58	0
19	Oct_31_2011	33.34	34.09	34.63	34.8			34.85(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	1	58	5.71	57%	0.06	45.2	1.55%	0	1	67	0
20	Oct_28_2011	33.32	33.99	34.53	34.77			35.01(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	1	55	11.93	55%	0.06	41.1	1.55%	0	1.4	63	0

21	Oct_27_2011	33.3	33.92	34.43	34.75			35.3(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	7	64	13.19	55%	0.06	44.4	1.55%	0	2.1	73	0
22	Oct_26_2011	33.28	33.84	34.26	34.55			34.48(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	3	55	8.36	53%	0.03	47.5	1.53%	0	1.1	69	0
23	Oct_25_2011	33.27	33.79	34.18	34.47			34.34(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	2	62	9.68	53%	0.03	44.2	1.53%	0	0.9	74	0
24	Oct_24_2011	33.26	33.76	34.12	34.42			34.73(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	7	74	8.57	53%	0.06	40.4	1.52%	0	1.7	81	0
25	Oct_21_2011	33.24	33.7	34.05	34.24			34.88(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	25	-10000	7	77	7.49	54%		33.1	1.52%	0	2.3	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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