Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $30.0300 (0.33%) ($29.7900 - $30.0400) on Thu. Mar. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $30.0300(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(59%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(49%)    XLY(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(7%)    SHY(9%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.96(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.76(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.55(1.62%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2010	30.02	29.55	29.76	29.96			30.03(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	5	60	3.67	51%	0	84.3	0.84%	0	1.4	55	0
2	Mar_10_2010	30.02	29.48	29.69	29.89			29.93(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	5	50	3.85	54%	0.03	62.3	0.87%	0	1.3	63	0
3	Mar_9_2010	30.01	29.43	29.64	29.82			29.92(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	4	45	3.94	54%	-0.03	44.3	0.89%	0	1.4	66	0
4	Mar_8_2010	30.02	29.37	29.59	29.77			29.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	15	-10000	6	42	3.48	54%	0.03	24.1	0.89%	0	1.5	63	0
5	Mar_5_2010	30.01	29.31	29.54	29.69			29.96(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	13	52	5.19	54%	0	12.7	0.89%	0	1.8	71	0

6	Mar_4_2010	30.01	29.31	29.52	29.52			29.66(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	4	46	5.41	52%	0	-9.5	0.89%	0	1.2	65	0
7	Mar_3_2010	30.01	29.26	29.49	29.46			29.6(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	2	51	3.63	52%	0.03	-16.7	0.89%	0	1	67	0
8	Mar_2_2010	30	29.26	29.45	29.43			29.65(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	4	55	4.72	54%	0	-20.6	0.89%	0	1	64	0
9	Mar_1_2010	30	29.26	29.41	29.38			29.56(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	15	-10000	-1	62	4.93	58%	0	-27.7	0.91%	0	0.8	67	0
10	Feb_26_2010	30	29.27	29.34	29.39			29.14(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-9	57	8.32	52%	0	-30.8	0.94%	0	-0.3	55	0

11	Feb_25_2010	30	29.29	29.33	29.39			29.37(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	0	77	7.38	54%	0	-30.1	0.94%	0	0.2	57	0
12	Feb_24_2010	30	29.32	29.27	29.51			29.43(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	4	58	4.99	54%	0.03	-40	0.95%	0	0.3	44	0
13	Feb_23_2010	29.99	29.35	29.21	29.46			29.4(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	1	31	5.54	56%	0	-51.6	0.95%	0	0.1	41	0
14	Feb_22_2010	29.99	29.35	29.14	29.44			29.6(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	11	12	5.66	56%	0.07	-58.8	0.96%	0	0.5	47	0
15	Feb_19_2010	29.97	29.38	29.07	29.28			29.76(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	11	-19	5.6	53%	0.03	-79.1	0.96%	0	0.8	51	0

16	Feb_18_2010	29.96	29.41	28.98	29.12			29.35(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	9	-55	5.53	51%	0	-87.8	0.96%	0	-0.1	44	0
17	Feb_17_2010	29.96	29.48	29.01	29			29.19(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	5	-76	6.45	51%	-0.03	-81	0.96%	0	-0.5	38	0
18	Feb_16_2010	29.97	29.58	29.07	28.93			29.31(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	10	-86	6.01	53%	0.03	-71.2	0.96%	0	-0.4	37	0
19	Feb_12_2010	29.96	29.66	29.1	28.79			28.81(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	-1	-116	10.06	50%	-0.03	-71.2	0.95%	0	-1.1	31	0
20	Feb_11_2010	29.97	29.77	29.18	28.81			28.92(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-1	-120	8.11	50%	0	-66.5	0.96%	0	-1.1	37	0

21	Feb_10_2010	29.97	29.88	29.25	28.82			28.75(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-14	-141	6.57	50%	-0.03	-62.6	0.96%	0	-1.4	27	0
22	Feb_9_2010	29.98	29.99	29.37	29.02			28.88(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10000	-16	-139	8.72	53%	0	-57	0.96%	0	-1.4	25	0
23	Feb_8_2010	29.98	30.1	29.5	29.24			28.59(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-45	-10000	-15	-135	5.12	51%	-0.07	-52.3	0.98%	0	-1.9	18	0
24	Feb_5_2010	30	30.22	29.65	29.46			28.92(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-9	-126	9.99	55%	-0.03	-51.9	0.97%	0	-1.8	27	0
25	Feb_4_2010	30.01	30.31	29.74	29.59			28.97(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-10000	-9	-135	7.24	55%		-57	0.99%	0	-2.1	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.