Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $29.7200 (-0.57%) ($29.4200 - $30.0500) on Mon. Feb. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $29.7200(-0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(60%)    XLY(51%)    XLK(50%)    IWM(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    TIP(5%)    SHY(5%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.61(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.52(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.14(1.99%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2009	29.2	29.14	29.52	29.61			29.72(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	3	34	7.3	59%	-0.21	9.1	2.45%	0	1.1	72	0
2	Feb_6_2009	29.26	29.1	29.49	29.5			29.89(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	5	33	7.88	56%	-0.14	-2.3	2.51%	0	1.6	63	0
3	Feb_5_2009	29.3	29.07	29.38	29.32			29.7(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	1	27	8.26	56%	-0.14	-11.4	2.58%	0	1.4	68	0
4	Feb_4_2009	29.34	29.05	29.29	29.29			29.49(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-10000	-2	29	8.08	56%	-0.17	-4.5	2.59%	0	1	68	0
5	Feb_3_2009	29.39	29.06	29.21	29.35			29.27(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-2	33	6.67	56%	-0.2	14.6	2.6%	0	0.5	59	0

6	Feb_2_2009	29.45	29.09	29.13	29.42			29.14(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-2	32	7.31	56%	-0.27	34.1	2.6%	0	0.1	50	0
7	Jan_30_2009	29.53	29.09	29.11	29.48			28.98(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	10	-10000	1	35	8.12	62%	-0.24	52.2	2.63%	0	-0.3	49	0
8	Jan_29_2009	29.6	29.12	29.05	29.44			29.57(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	4	28	8.18	62%	-0.2	58.2	2.71%	0	0.8	51	0
9	Jan_28_2009	29.66	29.07	28.92	29.27			29.79(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	6	12	7.08	69%	-0.17	53.8	2.74%	0	1.3	51	0
10	Jan_27_2009	29.71	28.99	28.79	29.05			29.6(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	6	-4	4.96	64%	-0.24	41.3	3.01%	0	1.2	46	0

11	Jan_26_2009	29.78	28.91	28.72	28.81			29.46(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	2	-21	6.17	64%	-0.2	21.4	3.06%	0	1	39	0
12	Jan_23_2009	29.84	28.84	28.67	28.7			28.77(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	2	-29	7.68	64%	-0.27	11.3	3.06%	0	-0.1	38	0
13	Jan_22_2009	29.92	28.8	28.72	28.61			28.71(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	2	-31	6.77	60%	-0.27	-5	3.08%	0	-0.2	47	0
14	Jan_21_2009	30	28.8	28.78	28.51			28.72(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	1	-30	6.05	57%	-0.3	-11.3	3.13%	0	-0.1	53	0
15	Jan_20_2009	30.09	28.78	28.88	28.47			28.4(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-3	-25	5.97	62%	-0.3	-14.2	3.15%	0	-0.6	55	0

16	Jan_16_2009	30.18	28.8	29.04	28.61			28.9(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-10000	-1	-7	6.03	63%	-0.33	-8.6	3.29%	0	0.2	61	0
17	Jan_15_2009	30.28	28.78	29.12	28.65			28.34(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-4	3	7.93	58%	-0.33	-9.9	3.3%	0	-0.7	57	0
18	Jan_14_2009	30.38	28.83	29.2	28.84			28.19(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-5	15	6.55	58%	-0.33	5	3.43%	0	-1	58	0
19	Jan_13_2009	30.48	28.85	29.26	29.1			28.54(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-5	26	7.8	63%	-0.29	12.8	3.43%	0	-0.5	57	0
20	Jan_12_2009	30.57	28.87	29.24	29.33			29.09(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-4	30	4.68	63%	-0.29	25.7	3.74%	0	0.3	57	0

21	Jan_9_2009	30.66	28.85	29.15	29.54			29.08(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-2	35	4.48	57%	-0.29	38.3	3.77%	0	0.4	54	0
22	Jan_8_2009	30.75	28.84	29.05	29.66			29.31(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	10	-10000	1	37	8.39	57%	-0.26	42.2	3.87%	0	0.7	59	0
23	Jan_7_2009	30.83	28.8	28.92	29.61			29.46(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	3	29	4.88	55%	-0.26	38.6	3.88%	0	1.1	48	0
24	Jan_6_2009	30.91	28.77	28.79	29.43			29.7(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	5	24	9.58	52%	-0.26	37.3	3.91%	0	1.5	60	0
25	Jan_5_2009	30.99	28.71	28.67	29.12			30.13(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	9	-10000	7	14	6.81	52%		11.6	3.96%	0	2.5	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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