Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 4, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $29.7600 (1.88%) ($29.3300 - $30.3100) on Tue. Nov. 4, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.38% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $29.7600(1.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(73%)    SPY(63%)    XLK(54%)    XLY(54%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -1.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    TIP(3%)    SHY(3%)    GLD(15%)    USO(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.69% (StdDev 3.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.14(2.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.49(4.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.18(5.61%)
To recent high   -22.1%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 4.12% (three month std-dev: 3.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2008	35.46	28.18	28.49	29.14			29.76(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	3	42	7.79	42%	-0.34	-41.3	3.38%	0	1.4	63	0
2	Nov_3_2008	35.58	28.15	28.37	29			29.21(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	12	42	6.08	42%	-0.34	-56.6	3.37%	0	0.9	52	0
3	Oct_31_2008	35.7	28.19	28.4	28.44			28.91(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	6	25	11.9	41%	-0.36	-64.3	3.38%	0	0.5	51	0
4	Oct_30_2008	35.83	28.33	28.25	28.15			29.7(5.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	6	25	10.38	42%	-0.31	-65.4	3.37%	0	0.8	63	0
5	Oct_29_2008	35.94	28.44	28	27.86			28.13(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	3	17	8.76	40%	-0.36	-65.9	3.3%	0	-0.2	56	0

6	Oct_28_2008	36.07	28.67	27.85	27.74			29.06(10.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	1	-2	7.97	40%	-0.33	-63	3.28%	0	0.2	51	0
7	Oct_27_2008	36.19	28.85	27.79	27.69			26.4(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-15	-15	7.51	34%	-0.41	-60.7	3.01%	0	-1.1	43	0
8	Oct_24_2008	36.34	29.16	28.04	28.35			27.47(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	-10000	0	7	13.92	35%	-0.38	-52.6	2.98%	0	-0.7	42	0
9	Oct_23_2008	36.48	29.5	27.9	28.34			28.22(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-10000	5	-32	15.93	34%	-0.36	-50.6	2.97%	0	-0.5	40	0
10	Oct_22_2008	36.61	29.8	27.77	28.15			27.56(-4.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-10000	5	-77	9.74	34%	-0.35	-50.6	2.96%	0	-0.8	37	0

11	Oct_21_2008	36.74	30.11	27.88	27.94			28.78(-3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	-10000	1	-115	7.19	37%	-0.35	-51.4	2.92%	0	-0.5	38	0
12	Oct_20_2008	36.87	30.34	27.91	27.91			29.72(8.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-32	-10000	4	-140	9.97	38%	-0.3	-52.4	2.91%	0	-0.2	39	0
13	Oct_17_2008	36.98	30.54	27.94	27.74			27.41(0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-36	-10000	9	-172	11.2	32%	-0.4	-53.3	2.7%	0	-1	33	0
14	Oct_16_2008	37.13	30.92	28.38	27.41			27.27(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-49	-10000	2	-203	10.75	31%	-0.38	-59.2	2.7%	0	-1.2	29	0
15	Oct_15_2008	37.27	31.27	28.89	27.32			26.5(-7.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-10000	-12	-225	8.67	29%	-0.37	-65.3	2.67%	0	-1.7	25	0

16	Oct_14_2008	37.41	31.62	29.54	27.78			28.63(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-59	-10000	-4	-222	11.08	32%	-0.24	-69.1	2.53%	0	-1.1	32	0
17	Oct_13_2008	37.5	31.92	29.97	27.91			28.87(12.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-62	-10000	-9	-222	6.07	32%	-0.35	-69.7	2.53%	0	-1.1	35	0
18	Oct_10_2008	37.63	32.24	30.35	28.25			25.76(-4.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-106	-10000	-43	-294	14.83	21%	-0.42	-68	1.98%	0	-2.4	14	0
19	Oct_9_2008	37.79	32.79	31.24	29.52			26.85(-6.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-89	-10000	-39	-240	9.77	23%	-0.4	-64.7	1.94%	0	-2.5	14	0
20	Oct_8_2008	37.94	33.26	32.03	30.67			28.79(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-70	-10000	-30	-191	10.5	26%	-0.34	-64.2	1.8%	0	-2.3	25	0

21	Oct_7_2008	38.07	33.61	32.56	31.53			29.3(-4.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-55	-10000	-27	-140	9.04	26%	-0.31	-65	1.79%	0	-2.6	36	0
22	Oct_6_2008	38.19	33.92	33.02	32.32			30.55(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-10000	-15	-106	9.64	27%	-0.26	-68.7	1.74%	0	-2.4	33	0
23	Oct_3_2008	38.29	34.22	33.4	32.75			32.12(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-18	-98	8.13	29%	-0.23	-76.8	1.66%	0	-1.7	36	0
24	Oct_2_2008	38.38	34.39	33.68	33.24			32.61(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-14	-85	5.24	29%	-0.21	-80.3	1.65%	0	-1.5	33	0
25	Oct_1_2008	38.46	34.57	33.85	33.62			33.09(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-5	-75	6.72	29%		-79.9	1.65%	0	-1.3	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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