Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $36.8200 (-0.86%) ($36.6500 - $37.1700) on Thu. Aug. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $36.8200(-0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(73%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(57%)    VWO(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(12%)    USO(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $37.62
5 Day Moving Average   $37.17(-0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.05(-0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.62(-2.13%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2008	39.81	37.62	37.05	37.17			36.82(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-2	-50	4.34	43%	-0.03	-78.2	1.15%	0	-1.1	42	0
2	Aug_13_2008	39.82	37.7	37.17	37.22			37.14(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	1	-46	3.92	43%	0	-87.3	1.15%	0	-0.7	40	0
3	Aug_12_2008	39.82	37.8	37.29	37.21			37.14(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	2	-43	5.62	43%	0	-86.1	1.15%	0	-0.8	39	0
4	Aug_11_2008	39.82	37.93	37.35	37.16			37.58(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	9	-61	4.66	44%	-0.08	-80.2	1.15%	0	-0.4	34	0
5	Aug_8_2008	39.85	38.05	37.36	36.96			37.17(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	2	-99	5.67	44%	0	-76.9	1.14%	0	-0.8	29	0

6	Aug_7_2008	39.85	38.21	37.4	36.92			37.06(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-10	-120	5.45	42%	-0.03	-71.7	1.14%	0	-1	37	0
7	Aug_6_2008	39.86	38.39	37.5	37.13			37.09(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-13	-112	5.7	42%	-0.03	-64.4	1.15%	0	-1	38	0
8	Aug_5_2008	39.87	38.56	37.61	37.41			36.89(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-8	-103	8.71	41%	-0.03	-60.2	1.15%	0	-1.3	32	0
9	Aug_4_2008	39.88	38.73	37.82	37.58			36.59(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-10	-102	6.96	41%	-0.05	-60.9	1.16%	0	-1.8	25	0
10	Aug_1_2008	39.9	38.91	38.08	37.8			36.99(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-6	-96	9.85	43%	-0.03	-60.1	1.17%	0	-1.7	25	0

11	Jul_31_2008	39.91	39.08	38.25	37.93			38.08(-1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	-10000	1	-112	5.41	46%	0	-59.8	1.13%	0	-0.9	28	0
12	Jul_30_2008	39.91	39.21	38.29	37.92			38.49(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-33	-10000	3	-141	5.31	46%	0	-60.8	1.13%	0	-0.7	27	0
13	Jul_29_2008	39.91	39.33	38.34	37.85			37.75(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-10000	-13	-177	4.12	44%	0	-60.6	1.11%	0	-1.4	20	0
14	Jul_28_2008	39.91	39.48	38.55	38.12			37.7(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-10000	-14	-164	5.2	44%	0	-58.1	1.11%	0	-1.6	27	0
15	Jul_25_2008	39.91	39.59	38.79	38.42			37.61(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-10000	-8	-139	6.32	44%	0	-59.3	1.11%	0	-1.9	30	0

16	Jul_24_2008	39.91	39.72	39.07	38.6			38.07(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-4	-125	6.41	45%	-0.03	-69.2	1.11%	0	-1.8	29	0
17	Jul_23_2008	39.92	39.89	39.34	38.69			38.13(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-9	-123	8.45	45%	-0.03	-70.2	1.11%	0	-2	27	0
18	Jul_22_2008	39.93	40.03	39.6	38.88			39.08(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-10000	-8	-118	5.25	48%	0.03	-75.6	1.06%	0	-1.2	31	0
19	Jul_21_2008	39.92	40.13	39.71	39.05			39.21(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-10000	-9	-114	9.14	48%	0.05	-71.6	1.06%	0	-1.2	35	0
20	Jul_18_2008	39.9	40.21	39.79	39.24			38.53(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10000	-19	-103	6.55	45%	0	-71.2	1.05%	0	-2.2	42	0

21	Jul_17_2008	39.9	40.36	39.98	39.63			38.49(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-34	-10000	-21	-71	11.66	45%	-0.03	-60.7	1.05%	0	-2.7	39	0
22	Jul_16_2008	39.91	40.51	40.23	40.08			39.11(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-10000	-15	-41	7.05	52%	-0.03	-49.3	1.03%	0	-2.4	33	0
23	Jul_15_2008	39.92	40.63	40.41	40.4			39.9(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	-10000	-2	-10	7.71	55%	0.03	-35.4	1.03%	0	-1.4	43	0
24	Jul_14_2008	39.91	40.7	40.5	40.45			40.18(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-1	-10000	2	-10	6.65	55%	0.03	-32	1.04%	0	-1	42	0
25	Jul_11_2008	39.9	40.76	40.46	40.41			40.46(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	0	-26	9.24	55%		-28.1	1.03%	0	-0.6	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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