Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $40.7700 (0.25%) ($40.5800 - $40.9100) on Thu. Jul. 10, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $40.7700(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(12%)    USO(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $40.78
5 Day Moving Average   $40.4(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.43(0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.78(-0.02%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2008	39.89	40.78	40.43				40.77(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-12	-10000	0	-46	5.61	55%	0.05	-36	1.03%	0	-0	44	0
2	Jul_9_2008	39.87	40.8	40.47	40.4			40.67(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-2	-49	4.82	55%	0.03	-36.2	1.03%	0	-0.2	44	0
3	Jul_8_2008	39.86	40.82	40.48	40.45			40.19(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-5	-57	9.72	53%	0	-29.9	1.02%	0	-1.2	39	0
4	Jul_7_2008	39.86	40.87	40.57	40.55			39.98(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-11	-10000	2	-49	6.53	53%	0.03	-23.8	1.02%	0	-1.8	40	0
5	Jul_3_2008	39.85	40.91	40.65	40.5			40.38(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	-10000	3	-62	5.44	53%	0	-35	1.01%	0	-1.1	43	0

6	Jul_2_2008	39.85	40.97	40.75	40.44			40.8(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-20	-10000	-5	-66	4.33	55%	0.03	-41.1	1%	0	-0.4	50	0
7	Jul_1_2008	39.84	40.99	40.8	40.54			40.91(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	1	-52	11.97	59%	0.05	-34.8	1.01%	0	-0.2	49	0
8	Jun_30_2008	39.82	40.98	40.86	40.52			40.7(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10000	-5	-49	7.28	59%	0.05	-41.1	1.05%	0	-0.6	47	0
9	Jun_27_2008	39.8	40.99	40.92	40.62			39.73(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-18	-10000	-9	-44	6.41	55%	0	-34.8	1.02%	0	-2.7	36	0
10	Jun_26_2008	39.8	41.08	41.09	40.8			40.07(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-15	-10000	-13	-22	5.62	55%	0.03	-32.3	1.02%	0	-2.7	48	0

11	Jun_25_2008	39.79	41.16	41.19	41.08			41.3(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-2	-10000	-1	-4	5.11	62%	0.03	-11	0.95%	0	0.5	46	0
12	Jun_24_2008	39.78	41.15	41.17	41.1			40.82(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-8	-6	4.61	60%	0	-15.1	0.94%	0	-1.1	48	0
13	Jun_23_2008	39.78	41.17	41.17	41.25			41.16(1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-2	16	4.41	60%	0.03	-2.7	0.93%	0	-0	56	0
14	Jun_20_2008	39.77	41.16	41.17	41.28			40.67(-1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-0	-10000	-7	20	7.01	58%	0.05	1.4	0.93%	0	-1.6	48	0
15	Jun_19_2008	39.75	41.2	41.2	41.41			41.45(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	6	25	4.45	58%	0.05	31.4	0.91%	0	0.9	51	0

16	Jun_18_2008	39.73	41.2	41.21	41.3			41.4(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	3	15	3.91	61%	0.08	32.9	0.94%	0	0.7	47	0
17	Jun_17_2008	39.7	41.19	41.19	41.24			41.56(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	5	11	4.15	61%	0.08	45.7	0.96%	0	1.3	54	0
18	Jun_16_2008	39.67	41.18	41.09	41.15			41.33(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	1	-5	3.09	61%	0.08	51.5	0.96%	0	0.5	52	0
19	Jun_13_2008	39.64	41.15	41.09	41.12			41.29(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	8	-3	9.77	61%	0.08	60	0.97%	0	0.5	54	0
20	Jun_12_2008	39.61	41.11	41.06	40.97			40.92(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-7	-25	3.87	61%	0.03	48.7	0.96%	0	-0.6	44	0

21	Jun_11_2008	39.6	41.1	41.12	41.11			41.09(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-0	-7	4.69	64%	0.08	65.9	0.96%	0	-0	48	0
22	Jun_10_2008	39.57	41.06	41.12	41.12			41.13(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	4	-9	3.82	64%	0.03	61.3	0.98%	0	0.2	46	0
23	Jun_9_2008	39.56	41.03	41.13	41.03			41.17(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	2	-20	3.9	64%	0.03	52.6	0.98%	0	0.4	50	0
24	Jun_6_2008	39.55	40.98	41.1	40.99			40.54(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-8	-26	4.64	56%	0	35.5	0.97%	0	-1	50	0
25	Jun_5_2008	39.55	40.96	41.21	41.15			41.63(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1	-10000	0	4	2.8	63%		36.9	0.95%	0	1.3	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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