Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Apr. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $40.6800 (0.32%) ($40.3900 - $41.0000) on Sun. Apr. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $40.6800(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.11(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.78(2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.08(4.09%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2008	40.37	39.08	39.78	40.11			40.68(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	25	-10000	10	69	3.5	54%	-0.05	58.2	1.41%	0	1.6	83	0
2	Apr_17_2008	40.39	38.91	39.62	39.83			40.55(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	-10000	10	68	3.6	50%	-0.05	47.8	1.42%	0	1.7	84	0
3	Apr_16_2008	40.41	38.77	39.48	39.56			40.47(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	20	-10000	6	61	4.66	48%	-0.05	40.9	1.5%	0	1.9	77	0
4	Apr_15_2008	40.43	38.67	39.36	39.37			39.64(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	0	66	4.2	46%	-0.05	41.1	1.49%	0	1.2	75	0
5	Apr_14_2008	40.45	38.58	39.29	39.36			39.21(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-1	81	2.34	46%	-0.07	43.4	1.49%	0	0.8	74	0

6	Apr_11_2008	40.48	38.52	39.18	39.39			39.27(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	1	89	7.2	46%	-0.02	46.3	1.49%	0	0.9	73	0
7	Apr_10_2008	40.49	38.46	39.03	39.37			39.22(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	0	91	4.04	46%	-0.07	48.5	1.49%	0	1	74	0
8	Apr_9_2008	40.52	38.41	38.91	39.36			39.5(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	0	95	4.87	47%	-0.07	48.2	1.49%	0	1.5	70	0
9	Apr_8_2008	40.55	38.34	38.72	39.35			39.6(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	5	89	4.08	47%	-0.05	47	1.5%	0	1.8	58	0
10	Apr_7_2008	40.57	38.24	38.51	39.21			39.34(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	10	81	3.74	49%	-0.07	41.8	1.49%	0	1.7	63	0

11	Apr_4_2008	40.6	38.16	38.33	38.93			39.17(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	11	62	7.87	49%	-0.07	33.1	1.52%	0	1.7	62	0
12	Apr_3_2008	40.63	38.09	38.16	38.62			39.21(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	8	37	4.75	49%	-0.05	14.6	1.52%	0	2	58	0
13	Apr_2_2008	40.65	38.05	38.01	38.38			39.42(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	15	-10000	13	21	2.97	49%	-0.05	-0.7	1.52%	0	2.7	58	0
14	Apr_1_2008	40.67	38.01	37.9	38.01			38.92(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	8	-10000	10	1	8.95	49%	-0.05	-33.9	1.51%	0	2	55	0
15	Mar_31_2008	40.69	37.97	37.79	37.72			37.94(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	3	-17	3.95	45%	-0.12	-73.3	1.48%	0	-0.1	54	0

16	Mar_28_2008	40.74	37.96	37.78	37.65			37.63(-0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	-10000	1	-21	5.33	45%	-0.1	-96.3	1.49%	0	-0.8	50	0
17	Mar_27_2008	40.78	38.01	37.84	37.61			37.98(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	1	-21	7.34	45%	-0.1	-95.6	1.49%	0	-0.1	51	0
18	Mar_26_2008	40.82	38.06	37.86	37.58			37.6(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-7	-30	5.47	45%	-0.12	-93.7	1.48%	0	-1	37	0
19	Mar_25_2008	40.87	38.17	37.93	37.78			37.46(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-3	-23	4.26	45%	-0.12	-61.7	1.48%	0	-1.1	34	0
20	Mar_24_2008	40.92	38.27	37.96	37.87			37.57(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-2	-22	5.95	45%	-0.15	-57.6	1.49%	0	-1.1	45	0

21	Mar_20_2008	40.98	38.36	37.98	37.94			37.45(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-5	-19	7.49	45%	-0.12	-53.1	1.48%	0	-1.4	51	0
22	Mar_19_2008	41.03	38.42	38.04	38.08			37.83(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-4	-18	5.97	45%	-0.1	-54.2	1.48%	0	-0.9	43	0
23	Mar_18_2008	41.07	38.51	38.12	38.18			38.59(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	2	-14	4.48	47%	-0.1	-52.5	1.46%	0	0.1	45	0
24	Mar_17_2008	41.11	38.55	38.13	38.12			37.92(0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-10000	2	-28	5.44	45%	-0.07	-52.7	1.45%	0	-0.9	32	0
25	Mar_14_2008	41.14	38.65	38.16	38.07			37.9(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	2	-44	7.48	44%		-48.2	1.45%	0	-1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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