Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $37.4500 (-1%) ($36.1000 - $38.2100) on Thu. Mar. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $37.4500(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(11%)    USO(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.89(-6.84%)
Resistance Level   $38.36
5 Day Moving Average   $37.94(-1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.98(-1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.36(-2.37%)
To recent high   -14.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2008	40.98	38.36	37.98	37.94			37.45(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-5	-19	7.49	45%	-0.12	-53.1	1.48%	0	-1.4	51	0
2	Mar_19_2008	41.03	38.42	38.04	38.08			37.83(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-4	-18	5.97	45%	-0.1	-54.2	1.48%	0	-0.9	43	0
3	Mar_18_2008	41.07	38.51	38.12	38.18			38.59(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	2	-14	4.48	47%	-0.1	-52.5	1.46%	0	0.1	45	0
4	Mar_17_2008	41.11	38.55	38.13	38.12			37.92(0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-10000	2	-28	5.44	45%	-0.07	-52.7	1.45%	0	-0.9	32	0
5	Mar_14_2008	41.14	38.65	38.16	38.07			37.9(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	2	-44	7.48	44%	-0.1	-48.2	1.45%	0	-1	38	0

6	Mar_13_2008	41.18	38.72	38.14	38.03			38.18(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	2	-64	7.76	45%	-0.02	-50.8	1.47%	0	-0.7	40	0
7	Mar_12_2008	41.19	38.8	38.19	37.98			38.3(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10000	-3	-70	4.83	45%	-0.05	-50.3	1.48%	0	-0.7	47	0
8	Mar_11_2008	41.21	38.88	38.26	38.06			38.3(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-4	-72	8.21	43%	-0.05	-43.3	1.48%	0	-0.7	41	0
9	Mar_10_2008	41.23	38.93	38.4	38.17			37.65(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-4	-63	7.21	42%	-0.05	-49	1.49%	0	-1.7	37	0
10	Mar_7_2008	41.25	39.01	38.59	38.28			37.7(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-14	-10000	1	-60	11.49	42%	-0.07	-57.7	1.49%	0	-1.8	36	0

11	Mar_6_2008	41.28	39.09	38.76	38.26			37.94(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-6	-63	7.31	42%	-0.07	-64.6	1.49%	0	-1.8	42	0
12	Mar_5_2008	41.31	39.18	38.85	38.42			38.73(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-2	-64	6.23	45%	-0.07	-57	1.47%	0	-0.8	43	0
13	Mar_4_2008	41.34	39.22	38.93	38.48			38.84(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-23	-10000	-8	-67	7.96	45%	-0.05	-50.7	1.49%	0	-0.7	42	0
14	Mar_3_2008	41.36	39.31	39	38.7			38.18(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-9	-54	6.41	43%	-0.07	-21.8	1.48%	0	-1.7	44	0
15	Feb_29_2008	41.39	39.42	39.17	38.96			37.61(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-19	-10000	-13	-35	10.23	41%	-0.1	2.5	1.46%	0	-2.8	43	0

16	Feb_28_2008	41.43	39.51	39.35	38.96			38.75(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	6.37	46%	-0.05	29.8	1.42%	0	-1.6	47	0
17	Feb_27_2008	41.45	39.51	39.46	39.32			39.01(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-4	-9	7.14	46%	-0.07	21	1.44%	0	-1	47	0
18	Feb_26_2008	41.48	39.52	39.56	39.44			39.97(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	3	5	4.36	48%	-0.02	29.9	1.41%	0	0.9	53	0
19	Feb_25_2008	41.49	39.46	39.49	39.35			39.46(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-17	6.07	48%	-0.02	14	1.4%	0	0	38	0
20	Feb_22_2008	41.5	39.4	39.45	39.43			39.42(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	-10000	1	-23	5.61	48%	-0.02	-2.7	1.4%	0	0	44	0

21	Feb_21_2008	41.51	39.37	39.44	39.41			38.74(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-8	-28	5.05	46%	-0.05	-30.3	1.39%	0	-1	49	0
22	Feb_20_2008	41.53	39.41	39.44	39.62			39.61(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4	-10000	-3	-6	4.71	50%	-0.02	-47.3	1.37%	0	0.3	58	0
23	Feb_19_2008	41.54	39.37	39.53	39.69			39.53(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	-10000	1	7	4	50%	0.02	-77.4	1.37%	0	0.3	56	0
24	Feb_15_2008	41.53	39.39	39.64	39.65			39.85(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	6	27	3.82	50%	-0.02	-101.3	1.36%	0	0.7	59	0
25	Feb_14_2008	41.54	39.42	39.67	39.48			39.3(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	0	36	5.08	49%		-119.1	1.35%	0	-0.2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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