Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $39.4200 (1.76%) ($38.6400 - $39.4200) on Fri. Feb. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $39.4200(1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(11%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.43(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.45(-0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.4(0.05%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2008	41.5	39.4	39.45	39.43			39.42(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	-10000	1	-23	5.61	48%	-0.02	-2.7	1.4%	0	0	44	0
2	Feb_21_2008	41.51	39.37	39.44	39.41			38.74(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-8	-28	5.05	46%	-0.05	-30.3	1.39%	0	-1	49	0
3	Feb_20_2008	41.53	39.41	39.44	39.62			39.61(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4	-10000	-3	-6	4.71	50%	-0.02	-47.3	1.37%	0	0.3	58	0
4	Feb_19_2008	41.54	39.37	39.53	39.69			39.53(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	-10000	1	7	4	50%	0.02	-77.4	1.37%	0	0.3	56	0
5	Feb_15_2008	41.53	39.39	39.64	39.65			39.85(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	6	27	3.82	50%	-0.02	-101.3	1.36%	0	0.7	59	0

6	Feb_14_2008	41.54	39.42	39.64	39.65			39.3(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	0	36	5.08	49%	-0.02	-119.1	1.35%	0	-0.2	61	0
7	Feb_13_2008	41.55	39.55	39.67	39.48			39.8(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	2	44	5.63	49%	-0.02	-96.1	1.35%	0	0.3	60	0
8	Feb_12_2008	41.56	39.69	39.57	39.43			39.99(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	3	32	4.19	47%	0	-77.3	1.35%	0	0.3	51	0
9	Feb_11_2008	41.56	39.85	39.47	39.35			39.32(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-10000	-11	25	3.37	45%	-0.02	-64.8	1.35%	0	-0.4	55	0
10	Feb_8_2008	41.57	40.04	39.42	39.65			39(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-9	33	4.97	47%	-0.05	-50.6	1.35%	0	-0.6	44	0

11	Feb_7_2008	41.59	40.25	39.36	39.9			39.31(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	1	28	7.17	45%	-0.05	-40.3	1.37%	0	-0.5	42	0
12	Feb_6_2008	41.61	40.46	39.29	39.88			39.52(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	-10000	6	-7	4.24	45%	-0.02	-34.5	1.4%	0	-0.5	36	0
13	Feb_5_2008	41.62	40.64	39.3	39.72			39.59(-3.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	5	-51	6.28	45%	0	-33.8	1.4%	0	-0.5	34	0
14	Feb_4_2008	41.62	40.81	39.21	39.58			40.82(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	16	-106	4.68	48%	0.02	-34.3	1.35%	0	0	35	0
15	Feb_1_2008	41.61	40.88	39.1	39.17			40.24(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-30	-10000	16	-167	4.43	44%	0.02	-40.3	1.34%	0	-0.3	32	0

16	Jan_31_2008	41.6	40.97	39.11	38.76			39.22(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-54	-10000	5	-229	4.44	40%	-0.02	-48	1.32%	0	-0.9	26	0
17	Jan_30_2008	41.61	41.12	39.39	38.64			38.71(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-70	-10000	-7	-258	6.5	38%	0	-53.2	1.32%	0	-1.2	21	0
18	Jan_29_2008	41.61	41.31	39.79	38.83			38.91(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-61	-10000	2	-248	6.07	38%	-0.02	-53.4	1.32%	0	-1.2	26	0
19	Jan_28_2008	41.62	41.51	40.22	38.78			38.78(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-71	-10000	-10	-254	5.73	38%	0	-57.6	1.33%	0	-1.4	25	0
20	Jan_25_2008	41.62	41.72	40.68	39.03			38.18(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-74	-10000	-19	-239	12.53	42%	-0.02	-58.9	1.32%	0	-2	29	0

21	Jan_24_2008	41.63	41.97	41.21	39.52			38.6(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-70	-10000	-27	-199	13.44	42%	-0.02	-59.3	1.35%	0	-2.1	33	0
22	Jan_23_2008	41.64	42.22	41.73	40.25			39.68(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-10000	-25	-149	14.85	44%	0.02	-53	1.31%	0	-1.8	37	0
23	Jan_22_2008	41.63	42.39	42.1	40.92			38.65(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-56	-10000	-37	-111	13.94	40%	0	-44.3	1.27%	0	-2.9	27	0
24	Jan_18_2008	41.63	42.64	42.59	41.89			40.03(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-31	-10000	-26	-47	10.89	42%	0.02	-38.1	1.21%	0	-2.8	30	0
25	Jan_17_2008	41.62	42.81	42.85	42.57			40.63(-3.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-17	-10000	-21	-4	14.36	44%		-25.9	1.21%	0	-3.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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