Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 20, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $42.3100 (1.22%) ($41.9500 - $42.5700) on Tue. Nov. 20, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $42.3100(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(10%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.75(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.72(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.72(1.41%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2007	40.15	41.72		41.75			42.31(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	7	-21	7.74	51%	0.05	51.9	1.08%	0	0.9	48	0
2	Nov_19_2007	40.13	41.62	41.72	41.6			41.8(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	5	-29	3.66	49%	0.05	37	1.08%	0	0.3	49	0
3	Nov_16_2007	40.11	41.53	41.77	41.48			41.68(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-2	-35	4.4	49%	0.07	23.6	1.08%	0	0.2	49	0
4	Nov_15_2007	40.08	41.45	41.77	41.53			41.67(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-5	-29	5.92	49%	0.05	16.5	1.08%	0	0.3	52	0
5	Nov_14_2007	40.06	41.4	41.79	41.65			41.3(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-1	-11	3.94	46%	0.07	16.5	1.09%	0	-0.1	55	0

6	Nov_13_2007	40.03	41.38	41.9	41.68			41.55(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-7	17	5.82	46%	0.05	17.9	1.11%	0	0.2	63	0
7	Nov_12_2007	40.01	41.35	41.95	41.85			41.2(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-10	51	8.28	46%	0.08	21.7	1.11%	0	-0.2	62	0
8	Nov_9_2007	39.98	41.34	42.03	41.85			41.93(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	0	97	5.78	43%	0.05	30.5	1.11%	0	0.7	68	0
9	Nov_8_2007	39.96	41.31	41.99	42.09			42.26(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	6	121	8.47	46%	0.08	33.8	1.13%	0	1.2	72	0
10	Nov_7_2007	39.93	41.26	41.87	41.95			41.45(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	23	-10000	-8	114	10.56	46%	0.05	34.5	1.12%	0	0.2	57	0

11	Nov_6_2007	39.91	41.24	41.75	42.15			42.42(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	4	127	4.93	54%	0.05	46.4	1.1%	0	1.5	61	0
12	Nov_5_2007	39.89	41.17	41.52	42.06			42.38(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	4	107	10.06	54%	0.05	50.5	1.16%	0	1.6	62	0
13	Nov_2_2007	39.87	41.09	41.29	41.96			41.92(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	3	86	6.41	49%	0.05	54.1	1.23%	0	1.2	58	0
14	Nov_1_2007	39.85	41.03	41.08	41.89			41.58(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	5	66	6.5	52%	0.03	60.8	1.24%	0	0.8	52	0
15	Oct_31_2007	39.84	40.98	40.98	41.77			42.45(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	19	57	5.75	55%	0.1	57.2	1.23%	0	2.2	58	0

16	Oct_30_2007	39.8	40.87	40.82	41.28			41.96(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	15	24	3.51	57%	0.05	40.3	1.23%	0	1.8	59	0
17	Oct_29_2007	39.78	40.8	40.69	40.89			41.91(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	10	-10000	15	-6	2.73	57%	0.08	23.7	1.24%	0	2	54	0
18	Oct_26_2007	39.75	40.71	40.58	40.52			41.54(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	3	-10000	14	-29	4.93	50%	0.05	3.9	1.29%	0	1.6	56	0
19	Oct_25_2007	39.73	40.63	40.54	40.16			40.98(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-11	-10000	3	-52	5.41	48%	0.03	-20.7	1.32%	0	0.7	50	0
20	Oct_24_2007	39.72	40.6	40.57	40.09			40(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-8	-55	5.06	42%	-0.03	-26.3	1.28%	0	-1.3	44	0

21	Oct_23_2007	39.73	40.64	40.67	40.29			40.04(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-6	-35	3.61	42%	-0.03	-19.5	1.33%	0	-1.3	49	0
22	Oct_22_2007	39.74	40.67	40.8	40.46			40.02(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-7	-17	4.41	42%	-0.05	-11.1	1.33%	0	-1.5	47	0
23	Oct_19_2007	39.76	40.69	40.89	40.65			39.74(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-9	-10000	-11	-2	6.48	43%	-0.05	8.5	1.34%	0	-2.2	46	0
24	Oct_18_2007	39.78	40.73	40.89	40.96			40.64(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-5	30	2.94	45%	-0.03	40.9	1.33%	0	-0.2	65	0
25	Oct_17_2007	39.79	40.72	41.02	41.11			41(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	0	45	5.08	45%		60.4	1.32%	0	0.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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