Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 24, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $40.0000 (-0.1%) ($39.6400 - $40.2600) on Wed. Oct. 24, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $40.0000(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(10%)    USO(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $40.6
5 Day Moving Average   $40.09(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.57(-1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.6(-1.48%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_24_2007	39.72	40.6	40.57	40.09			40(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-8	-55	5.06	42%	-0.03	-26.3	1.28%	0	-1.3	44	0
2	Oct_23_2007	39.73	40.64	40.67	40.29			40.04(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-6	-35	3.61	42%	-0.03	-19.5	1.33%	0	-1.3	49	0
3	Oct_22_2007	39.74	40.67	40.8	40.46			40.02(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-7	-17	4.41	42%	-0.05	-11.1	1.33%	0	-1.5	47	0
4	Oct_19_2007	39.76	40.69	40.89	40.65			39.74(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-9	-10000	-11	-2	6.48	43%	-0.05	8.5	1.34%	0	-2.2	46	0
5	Oct_18_2007	39.78	40.73	40.89	40.96			40.64(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-5	30	2.94	45%	-0.03	40.9	1.33%	0	-0.2	65	0

6	Oct_17_2007	39.79	40.72	41.02	40.96			41(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	0	45	5.08	45%	0	60.4	1.32%	0	0.7	58	0
7	Oct_16_2007	39.79	40.73	40.96	41.11			40.89(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-3	41	4.54	43%	0.03	80.6	1.32%	0	0.4	52	0
8	Oct_15_2007	39.78	40.71	40.93	41.19			40.99(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	1	47	5.31	43%	0	90.6	1.34%	0	0.7	56	0
9	Oct_12_2007	39.78	40.65	40.87	41.16			41.29(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	3	46	3.88	47%	0	88.8	1.34%	0	1.4	60	0
10	Oct_11_2007	39.78	40.58	40.73	41.08			41.4(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	6	38	5.52	47%	-0.03	90.7	1.35%	0	1.7	63	0

11	Oct_10_2007	39.79	40.49	40.62	40.92			40.98(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	5	27	2.92	47%	-0.05	87.1	1.35%	0	1	55	0
12	Oct_9_2007	39.81	40.42	40.59	40.79			41.29(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	6	17	4.09	47%	-0.03	77.8	1.35%	0	1.7	50	0
13	Oct_8_2007	39.82	40.33	40.51	40.63			40.84(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	4	5	2.92	47%	-0.05	65.7	1.34%	0	0.9	52	0
14	Oct_5_2007	39.84	40.24	40.46	40.53			40.9(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	8	8	4.99	47%	-0.05	60.4	1.34%	0	1.1	63	0
15	Oct_4_2007	39.86	40.15	40.46	40.31			40.58(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	1	-3	3.67	47%	-0.05	51.7	1.34%	0	0.7	61	0

16	Oct_3_2007	39.88	40.08	40.4	40.28			40.36(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-3	2	5.38	47%	-0.05	54	1.35%	0	0.5	59	0
17	Oct_2_2007	39.9	40.03	40.46	40.28			40.49(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	0	23	2.5	48%	-0.05	67.1	1.35%	0	0.8	62	0
18	Oct_1_2007	39.92	39.98	40.48	40.36			40.34(1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10000	-1	36	5.7	48%	-0.05	72.3	1.36%	0	0.6	64	0
19	Sep_28_2007	39.94	39.89	40.48	40.39			39.8(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-4	45	3.54	47%	-0.05	61.9	1.35%	0	-0.1	63	0
20	Sep_27_2007	39.96	39.84	40.43	40.49			40.43(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-1	61	5.47	50%	-0.05	58	1.34%	0	0.8	72	0

21	Sep_26_2007	39.98	39.76	40.36	40.51			40.72(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	-10000	-3	67	4.88	50%	-0.05	54.8	1.35%	0	1.3	70	0
22	Sep_25_2007	40	39.63	40.26	40.59			40.52(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-1	79	4.1	50%	-0.05	50.3	1.35%	0	1.1	69	0
23	Sep_24_2007	40.02	39.53	40.14	40.62			40.47(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	5	84	4.04	50%	-0.05	50	1.35%	0	1.2	67	0
24	Sep_21_2007	40.04	39.48	40.01	40.47			40.32(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	5	80	4.08	48%	-0.05	52.8	1.37%	0	1.1	73	0
25	Sep_20_2007	40.06	39.43	39.88	40.34			40.54(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	6	78	3.71	46%		57.3	1.37%	0	1.5	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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