Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 21, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $38.8000 (-0.1%) ($38.5600 - $39.2400) on Tue. Aug. 21, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $38.8000(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(11%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $38.83
5 Day Moving Average   $38.52(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.92(-0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.83(-0.08%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2007	40.48	38.83	38.92	38.52			38.8(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	2	-29	6.94	37%	-0.05	-65.6	1.44%	0	-0	50	0
2	Aug_20_2007	40.5	38.86	39.02	38.47			38.84(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	-10000	-3	-17	7.18	37%	-0.02	-63	1.44%	0	-0	56	0
3	Aug_17_2007	40.51	38.95	39.05	38.54			38.63(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-2	18.99	37%	-0.05	-52.8	1.44%	0	-0.4	55	0
4	Aug_16_2007	40.53	39.04	39	38.62			38.3(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-10000	-10	3	18.05	37%	-0.02	-46.5	1.43%	0	-0.7	57	0
5	Aug_15_2007	40.54	39.18	39.1	38.9			38.03(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-10000	-17	23	8.23	37%	-0.05	-34.2	1.43%	0	-1.1	48	0

6	Aug_14_2007	40.56	39.3	39.2	39.38			38.55(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-9	50	6.79	37%	-0.05	-18.5	1.42%	0	-0.8	45	0
7	Aug_13_2007	40.58	39.38	39.17	39.64			39.21(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	0	56	7.67	39%	0	-8.4	1.41%	0	-0.2	48	0
8	Aug_10_2007	40.58	39.43	39.06	39.63			39.01(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	14	-10000	8	33	12.53	38%	-0.02	-7.7	1.41%	0	-0.4	41	0
9	Aug_9_2007	40.59	39.51	38.93	39.41			39.7(-1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	3	-13	12.3	39%	0	-9.6	1.4%	0	0.2	44	0
10	Aug_8_2007	40.59	39.53	38.82	39.33			40.43(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	11	-40	12.53	40%	0.02	-11.5	1.38%	0	0.9	44	0

11	Aug_7_2007	40.58	39.49	38.71	39.02			39.85(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	14	-69	10.27	40%	0.02	-22.7	1.37%	0	0.4	46	0
12	Aug_6_2007	40.57	39.47	38.66	38.65			39.14(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	8	-103	10.97	38%	0.02	-35.5	1.36%	0	-0.3	44	0
13	Aug_3_2007	40.56	39.51	38.79	38.43			37.95(-3.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-28	-10000	3	-120	14.19	34%	-0.02	-40.2	1.3%	0	-1.5	37	0
14	Aug_2_2007	40.57	39.61	39.06	38.35			39.28(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-30	-10000	5	-134	9.31	37%	0.02	-42.9	1.23%	0	-0.3	39	0
15	Aug_1_2007	40.56	39.65	39.22	38.24			38.86(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-39	-10000	-6	-138	16.44	37%	0.02	-42	1.22%	0	-0.8	42	0

16	Jul_31_2007	40.55	39.72	39.38	38.38			38(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-10000	-13	-126	14.12	33%	0	-32.6	1.2%	0	-1.8	41	0
17	Jul_30_2007	40.55	39.83	39.61	38.69			38.07(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-10000	-23	-104	11.95	33%	-0.02	-20.2	1.2%	0	-2	42	0
18	Jul_27_2007	40.56	39.92	39.83	39.22			37.55(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-38	-10000	-27	-69	12.65	31%	0	1.6	1.19%	0	-3.1	36	0
19	Jul_26_2007	40.56	40.02	40.17	39.85			38.7(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-19	-10000	-21	-13	18.39	33%	0	31.7	1.14%	0	-2.3	43	0
20	Jul_25_2007	40.56	40.06	40.34	40.34			39.6(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	2	-10000	-8	30	13.03	36%	0.05	63.8	1.1%	0	-0.9	47	0

21	Jul_24_2007	40.54	40.03	40.36	40.52			39.52(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	5	-10000	-6	39	10.02	36%	0.05	53.1	1.1%	0	-0.9	45	0
22	Jul_23_2007	40.52	40.01	40.38	40.66			40.74(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	6	50	4.78	39%	0.07	48.4	1.05%	0	1.2	57	0
23	Jul_20_2007	40.49	39.91	40.3	40.54			40.7(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	-0	44	7.96	39%	0.05	30.1	1.05%	0	1.2	63	0
24	Jul_19_2007	40.47	39.84	40.21	40.55			41.15(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	10	57	10.25	40%	0.05	26.6	1.05%	0	2.1	72	0
25	Jul_18_2007	40.45	39.74	40.09	40.35			40.5(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	8	53	8.55	37%		14.2	1.03%	0	1.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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