Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $40.7000 (0.12%) ($40.5000 - $40.9000) on Tue. Apr. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $40.7000(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(11%)    USO(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.21(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.04(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.29(3.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.21% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2007	37.44	39.29	40.04	40.21			40.7(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	8	126	4.05	58%	0.13	61.1	0.93%	0	1.6	79	0
2	Apr_2_2007	37.39	39.16	39.89	40.06			40.65(2.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	39	-10000	7	134	5.15	58%	0.13	56.8	0.93%	0	1.7	80	0
3	Mar_30_2007	37.34	39	39.7	39.93			39.7(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-10000	-2	128	7.46	55%	0.13	45.7	0.89%	0	0.9	63	0
4	Mar_29_2007	37.29	38.92	39.58	39.96			40.11(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	5	140	2.19	57%	0.11	44.2	0.89%	0	1.5	73	0
5	Mar_28_2007	37.25	38.84	39.45	39.87			39.88(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	-10000	2	142	2.88	55%	0.13	46.6	0.89%	0	1.4	70	0

6	Mar_27_2007	37.2	38.77	39.29	39.84			39.96(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	9	148	2.87	56%	0.13	49.5	0.89%	0	1.7	73	0
7	Mar_26_2007	37.15	38.67	39.1	39.69			40.02(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	15	138	3.66	56%	0.13	44.9	0.89%	0	2	72	0
8	Mar_23_2007	37.1	38.64	38.96	39.43			39.85(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	17	133	3.56	56%	0.11	48.1	0.89%	0	2	75	0
9	Mar_22_2007	37.06	38.57	38.79	39.14			39.66(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	-10000	11	106	4.24	56%	0.11	43.4	0.9%	0	1.9	66	0
10	Mar_21_2007	37.02	38.49	38.64	38.95			39.7(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	-10000	17	86	4.19	56%	0.11	35.3	0.9%	0	2.4	58	0

11	Mar_20_2007	36.98	38.41	38.47	38.66			39.24(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	13	52	3.46	54%	0.08	23.2	0.89%	0	1.9	56	0
12	Mar_19_2007	36.95	38.36	38.35	38.43			38.68(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	1	24	3.14	52%	0.11	13.5	0.88%	0	0.8	55	0
13	Mar_16_2007	36.91	38.34	38.24	38.42			38.4(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	2	-8	2.36	51%	0.05	15.7	0.87%	0	0.2	39	0
14	Mar_15_2007	36.89	38.33	38.21	38.38			38.74(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	6	-21	9.12	50%	0.08	15.7	0.87%	0	1.1	50	0
15	Mar_14_2007	36.86	38.33	38.19	38.28			38.25(0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	2	-26	7.8	48%	0.08	17.2	0.87%	0	-0.2	51	0

16	Mar_13_2007	36.83	38.33	38.2	38.24			38.06(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-1	-28	3.89	48%	0.05	20.2	0.86%	0	-0.7	50	0
17	Mar_12_2007	36.81	38.31	38.21	38.25			38.63(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	13	-26	7.03	51%	0.08	25.5	0.84%	0	0.8	52	0
18	Mar_9_2007	36.78	38.28	38.29	38.04			38.2(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	2	-30	3.45	49%	0.08	21.6	0.83%	0	-0.2	50	0
19	Mar_8_2007	36.75	38.27	38.29	38.01			38.25(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-11	-10000	-5	-29	2.48	49%	0.11	31.4	0.83%	0	-0.1	52	0
20	Mar_7_2007	36.71	38.25	38.34	38.09			38.05(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-5	-25	2.32	49%	0.08	50.5	0.83%	0	-0.5	47	0

21	Mar_6_2007	36.68	38.24	38.36	38.09			38.13(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-16	6.22	49%	0.08	67.3	0.83%	0	-0.3	50	0
22	Mar_5_2007	36.65	38.21	38.38	38.17			37.57(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-10000	-26	-19	2.64	45%	0.11	75.4	0.81%	0	-1.4	49	0
23	Mar_2_2007	36.61	38.19	38.46	38.58			38.05(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-8	36	7.72	50%	0.08	102.3	0.79%	0	-0.3	52	0
24	Mar_1_2007	36.58	38.14	38.48	38.7			38.65(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	5	63	5.79	53%	0.14	100.7	0.77%	0	0.9	59	0
25	Feb_28_2007	36.53	38.05	38.46	38.62			38.45(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	4	65	6.46	59%		87.5	0.78%	0	0.6	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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