Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 29, 2006

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $33.9900 (-0.99%) ($33.9400 - $34.4900) on Fri. Sep. 29, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $33.9900(-0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(11%)    USO(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $34.05
5 Day Moving Average   $34.15(-0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.9(0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.05(-0.18%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2006	33.08	34.05	33.9	34.15			33.99(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	8	29	3.22	68%	0.09	-24	0.64%	0	-0.2	44	0
2	Sep_28_2006	33.05	34.08	33.87	34.06			34.33(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	14	3	2.64	72%	0.06	-23.9	0.65%	0	0.7	46	0
3	Sep_27_2006	33.03	34.08	33.83	33.91			34.44(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	4	-10000	15	-30	3.77	72%	0.09	-32.1	0.64%	0	0.9	48	0
4	Sep_26_2006	33	34.09	33.83	33.75			33.97(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	5	-65	4.51	70%	0.06	-42.3	0.63%	0	-0.3	38	0
5	Sep_25_2006	32.98	34.12	33.79	33.7			34.02(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	8	-83	3.24	70%	0.06	-43.9	0.63%	0	-0.3	35	0

6	Sep_22_2006	32.96	34.13	33.81	33.62			33.55(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-32	-10000	-3	-119	3.84	67%	0.06	-49.6	0.61%	0	-1.5	12	0
7	Sep_21_2006	32.94	34.17	33.88	33.65			33.59(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-38	-10000	-8	-129	11.84	67%	0.06	-47.2	0.61%	0	-1.6	14	0
8	Sep_20_2006	32.92	34.21	33.96	33.73			33.64(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-10	-122	3.57	67%	0.06	-43.4	0.61%	0	-1.7	32	0
9	Sep_19_2006	32.9	34.25	34.03	33.83			33.69(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-7	-116	6.8	61%	0.09	-35.5	0.61%	0	-1.8	29	0
10	Sep_18_2006	32.87	34.29	34.1	33.9			33.62(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-10000	-11	-108	3.03	61%	0.06	-26.4	0.63%	0	-2.2	28	0

11	Sep_15_2006	32.85	34.33	34.22	34.02			33.72(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-12	-78	3.49	64%	0.09	-9.6	0.64%	0	-2.4	39	0
12	Sep_14_2006	32.82	34.33	34.32	34.15			33.98(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-6	-46	3.18	67%	0.09	4.5	0.66%	0	-1.6	44	0
13	Sep_13_2006	32.79	34.35	34.37	34.22			34.12(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-4	-28	5.63	63%	0.09	14.1	0.67%	0	-1	51	0
14	Sep_12_2006	32.76	34.36	34.42	34.26			34.05(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-6	-22	10.64	63%	0.09	25	0.69%	0	-1.4	41	0
15	Sep_11_2006	32.73	34.37	34.47	34.33			34.23(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-10	-10	6.53	63%	0.09	47.5	0.68%	0	-0.7	47	0

16	Sep_8_2006	32.7	34.35	34.47	34.45			34.35(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-10000	-7	7	5.33	63%	0.09	51.4	0.69%	0	0	51	0
17	Sep_7_2006	32.67	34.34	34.49	34.53			34.35(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-1	29	2.64	63%	0.12	56.2	0.69%	0	0	60	0
18	Sep_6_2006	32.63	34.32	34.47	34.54			34.3(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-5	35	4.92	63%	0.09	52.6	0.69%	0	-0.1	58	0
19	Sep_5_2006	32.6	34.31	34.47	34.6			34.43(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-3	49	3.91	59%	0.15	53.2	0.69%	0	0.4	53	0
20	Sep_1_2006	32.55	34.27	34.5	34.63			34.8(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	8	65	3.65	66%	0.12	47.7	0.7%	0	1.8	64	0

21	Aug_31_2006	32.51	34.23	34.45	34.53			34.77(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	7	62	1.99	69%	0.15	45.6	0.71%	0	2	67	0
22	Aug_30_2006	32.46	34.2	34.37	34.44			34.42(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	4	49	2.41	64%	0.12	47.1	0.72%	0	0.9	60	0
23	Aug_29_2006	32.42	34.18	34.33	34.39			34.6(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	1	41	2.66	64%	0.12	45.7	0.73%	0	1.8	63	0
24	Aug_28_2006	32.38	34.16	34.3	34.38			34.57(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	2	48	5.34	64%	0.12	52.2	0.74%	0	1.8	62	0
25	Aug_25_2006	32.34	34.13	34.25	34.35			34.31(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	0	53	2.06	66%		54.8	0.74%	0	0.9	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.