Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 19, 2006

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.6700 (-1.37%) ($31.5300 - $32.3500) on Mon. Jun. 19, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $31.6700(-1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $31.91
5 Day Moving Average   $32.05(-1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.17(-1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.91(-0.75%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2006	31.63	31.91	32.17	32.05			31.67(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-11	-4	4.66	45%	-0.03	46.1	0.97%	0	-0.5	58	0
2	Jun_16_2006	31.64	31.89	32.22	32.22			32.11(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-5	27	2.3	45%	0	52.1	0.96%	0	0.4	57	0
3	Jun_15_2006	31.64	31.83	32.26	32.29			32.4(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	3	61	4.47	45%	0	46	0.96%	0	1	65	0
4	Jun_14_2006	31.64	31.75	32.26	32.25			31.91(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-3	78	2.75	45%	-0.03	34.4	0.94%	0	0.3	64	0
5	Jun_13_2006	31.65	31.73	32.24	32.29			32.15(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10000	-1	102	6.81	45%	0	33.3	0.94%	0	0.7	69	0

6	Jun_12_2006	31.65	31.69	32.16	32.3			32.54(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	5	109	7.72	46%	-0.03	31.1	0.93%	0	1.5	66	0
7	Jun_9_2006	31.66	31.62	32.07	32.22			32.47(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	27	-10000	-1	111	3.28	46%	0	21.8	0.93%	0	1.5	67	0
8	Jun_8_2006	31.66	31.58	31.96	32.24			32.2(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	1	124	13.84	46%	0	26.1	0.93%	0	1.2	68	0
9	Jun_7_2006	31.66	31.56	31.85	32.23			32.09(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	-10000	3	130	2.56	46%	-0.03	30.4	0.93%	0	1.1	67	0
10	Jun_6_2006	31.67	31.53	31.73	32.18			32.21(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	12	123	4.04	44%	0.03	30.3	0.93%	0	1.4	60	0

11	Jun_5_2006	31.66	31.51	31.64	32			32.15(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	7	98	2.23	44%	0	29.5	0.95%	0	1.4	57	0
12	Jun_2_2006	31.66	31.5	31.53	31.89			32.54(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	-10000	17	90	4.73	45%	0	30.9	0.94%	0	2.2	64	0
13	Jun_1_2006	31.66	31.44	31.36	31.64			32.15(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	-10000	16	48	2.69	44%	0	22	0.93%	0	1.8	54	0
14	May_31_2006	31.66	31.4	31.22	31.41			31.83(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	13	1	2.29	42%	0	15.3	0.94%	0	1.2	47	0
15	May_30_2006	31.66	31.39	31.16	31.22			31.31(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-32	2.17	39%	-0.03	6.1	0.92%	0	-0.2	45	0

16	May_26_2006	31.67	31.37	31.17	31.23			31.63(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	8	-39	2.62	42%	0	0.9	0.9%	0	0.7	44	0
17	May_25_2006	31.67	31.37	31.13	31.12			31.29(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	7	-71	3.2	40%	-0.03	-7.1	0.89%	0	-0.2	36	0
18	May_24_2006	31.68	31.36	31.15	31.03			31(0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	-10000	2	-83	5.29	38%	-0.03	-12.4	0.89%	0	-0.9	45	0
19	May_23_2006	31.69	31.35	31.24	31			30.89(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-6	-83	2.13	38%	-0.03	-16.1	0.89%	0	-1.2	45	0
20	May_22_2006	31.7	31.36	31.32	31.08			31.33(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-20	-10000	-2	-72	3.75	40%	0	-7	0.87%	0	-0.1	48	0

21	May_19_2006	31.7	31.37	31.37	31.11			31.09(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-2	-53	3.35	40%	0	12.2	0.86%	0	-0.8	53	0
22	May_18_2006	31.7	31.38	31.47	31.14			30.83(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-12	-37	4.75	40%	-0.03	27	0.86%	0	-1.5	46	0
23	May_17_2006	31.71	31.4	31.55	31.3			30.84(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-15	-14	6.93	42%	-0.03	48.7	0.87%	0	-1.6	48	0
24	May_16_2006	31.72	31.41	31.62	31.51			31.32(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-5	29	2.35	45%	-0.03	73.9	0.86%	0	-0.3	59	0
25	May_15_2006	31.73	31.39	31.64	31.58			31.46(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-7	47	2.23	45%		67.1	0.86%	0	0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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