Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 24, 2006

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.0000 (0.36%) ($30.5500 - $31.1300) on Wed. May. 24, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $31.0000(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $31.36
5 Day Moving Average   $31.03(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.15(-0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.36(-1.15%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060624

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_24_2006	31.68	31.36	31.15	31.03			31(0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	-10000	2	-83	5.29	38%	-0.03	-12.4	0.89%	0	-0.9	45	0
2	May_23_2006	31.69	31.35	31.24	31			30.89(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-6	-83	2.13	38%	-0.03	-16.1	0.89%	0	-1.2	45	0
3	May_22_2006	31.7	31.36	31.32	31.08			31.33(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-20	-10000	-2	-72	3.75	40%	0	-7	0.87%	0	-0.1	48	0
4	May_19_2006	31.7	31.37	31.37	31.11			31.09(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-2	-53	3.35	40%	0	12.2	0.86%	0	-0.8	53	0
5	May_18_2006	31.7	31.38	31.47	31.14			30.83(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-12	-37	4.75	40%	-0.03	27	0.86%	0	-1.5	46	0

6	May_17_2006	31.71	31.4	31.55	31.3			30.84(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-15	-14	6.93	42%	-0.03	48.7	0.87%	0	-1.6	48	0
7	May_16_2006	31.72	31.41	31.62	31.51			31.32(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-5	29	2.35	45%	-0.03	73.9	0.86%	0	-0.3	59	0
8	May_15_2006	31.73	31.39	31.64	31.58			31.46(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-7	47	2.23	45%	0	67.1	0.86%	0	0.2	56	0
9	May_12_2006	31.73	31.33	31.61	31.67			31.26(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-14	47	2.95	45%	-0.03	67.4	0.85%	0	-0.2	47	0
10	May_11_2006	31.74	31.29	31.62	31.86			31.61(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	-10000	2	82	2.42	47%	0	63.8	0.84%	0	0.6	55	0

11	May_10_2006	31.74	31.23	31.58	31.83			31.91(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	8	83	2.23	49%	0	49.4	0.84%	0	1.3	59	0
12	May_9_2006	31.74	31.15	31.47	31.73			31.66(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	1	69	1.23	49%	0	37	0.83%	0	0.9	60	0
13	May_8_2006	31.74	31.1	31.42	31.71			31.93(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	14	79	1.51	50%	0	34.7	0.83%	0	1.6	65	0
14	May_5_2006	31.74	31.03	31.37	31.53			32.18(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	-10000	13	86	4.03	50%	-0.03	25.5	0.81%	0	2.3	73	0
15	May_4_2006	31.75	31.03	31.27	31.36			31.47(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	5	88	1.8	46%	-0.03	19.9	0.77%	0	1.2	68	0

16	May_3_2006	31.76	30.97	31.23	31.3			31.43(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	11	101	3.26	46%	-0.03	17.6	0.78%	0	1.1	65	0
17	May_2_2006	31.77	30.95	31.18	31.17			31.53(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	7	96	4.42	43%	0	10.6	0.78%	0	1.4	67	0
18	May_1_2006	31.77	30.91	31.1	31.08			31.03(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-9	84	2.14	40%	-0.03	0	0.77%	0	0.3	56	0
19	Apr_28_2006	31.78	30.9	31.03	31.19			31.33(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	2	97	1.83	41%	0	-0.8	0.75%	0	1.1	60	0
20	Apr_27_2006	31.78	30.9	30.93	31.17			31.19(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	2	76	5.39	41%	0	-7.3	0.75%	0	0.8	50	0

21	Apr_26_2006	31.78	30.89	30.85	31.15			30.78(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	10	-10000	-3	47	2.45	36%	-0.03	-11.1	0.74%	0	-0.3	38	0
22	Apr_25_2006	31.79	30.89	30.81	31.18			31.09(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	5	34	2.89	36%	0	-13.5	0.73%	0	0.5	47	0
23	Apr_24_2006	31.79	30.91	30.76	31.12			31.54(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	24	28	1.9	40%	0	-21.7	0.73%	0	1.6	58	0
24	Apr_21_2006	31.79	30.9	30.66	30.85			31.25(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-10000	18	-18	2.66	38%	-0.03	-49.2	0.73%	0	0.9	56	0
25	Apr_20_2006	31.8	30.91	30.64	30.65			31.11(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	13	-50	1.96	38%		-70.7	0.73%	0	0.5	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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