Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 21, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.6400 (-0.91%) ($31.5700 - $32.1600) on Wed. Dec. 21, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $31.6400(-0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $31.81
5 Day Moving Average   $32.07(-1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.04(-1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.81(-0.53%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2005	31.89	31.81	32.04	32.07			31.64(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-10	43	3.12	45%	0	66.4	1.13%	0	-0.5	54	0
2	Dec_20_2005	31.89	31.79	32.02	32.25			31.93(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	13	-10000	-3	61	1.4	45%	0	86.2	1.14%	0	0.4	60	0
3	Dec_19_2005	31.89	31.76	31.98	32.3			31.88(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	18	-10000	2	66	2.27	45%	-0.03	95.1	1.14%	0	0.3	53	0
4	Dec_16_2005	31.9	31.73	31.95	32.26			32.31(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	3	63	0.77	46%	0	97.6	1.13%	0	1.5	61	0
5	Dec_15_2005	31.9	31.67	31.88	32.2			32.6(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	10	59	3.14	47%	0.03	100	1.13%	0	2.4	63	0

6	Dec_14_2005	31.89	31.58	31.76	32.01			32.53(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	14	41	1.93	47%	0	88	1.14%	0	2.6	64	0
7	Dec_13_2005	31.89	31.48	31.64	31.76			32.17(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-10000	8	20	1.17	46%	0.03	66.9	1.13%	0	1.9	66	0
8	Dec_12_2005	31.88	31.39	31.59	31.62			31.7(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	2	12	2.38	44%	0	48.8	1.12%	0	0.8	60	0
9	Dec_9_2005	31.88	31.34	31.58	31.59			32(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	5	17	1.34	46%	0	41.8	1.11%	0	1.6	69	0
10	Dec_8_2005	31.88	31.29	31.58	31.51			31.64(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	2	16	1.2	43%	0	38.3	1.11%	0	0.9	61	0

11	Dec_7_2005	31.88	31.26	31.58	31.48			31.31(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-1	26	1.57	43%	-0.03	39.2	1.11%	0	0.1	66	0
12	Dec_6_2005	31.89	31.23	31.55	31.5			31.46(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-3	39	0.85	45%	-0.03	39.8	1.11%	0	0.6	75	0
13	Dec_5_2005	31.9	31.2	31.53	31.55			31.55(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-10000	-1	59	4.3	45%	0	35.9	1.11%	0	0.9	78	0
14	Dec_2_2005	31.9	31.17	31.49	31.57			31.57(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-10000	-2	69	1.56	45%	-0.03	35.9	1.12%	0	1	71	0
15	Dec_1_2005	31.91	31.13	31.46	31.6			31.52(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-1	79	1.81	47%	-0.03	45.6	1.12%	0	1	62	0

16	Nov_30_2005	31.92	31.1	31.39	31.62			31.4(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	22	-10000	2	80	2.23	48%	0	50.8	1.13%	0	0.8	56	0
17	Nov_29_2005	31.92	31.08	31.31	31.59			31.71(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	5	75	1.81	48%	-0.03	45.1	1.13%	0	1.7	67	0
18	Nov_28_2005	31.93	31.06	31.19	31.5			31.63(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	5	62	1.76	48%	0	44.8	1.13%	0	1.6	66	0
19	Nov_25_2005	31.93	31.02	31.09	31.41			31.75(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	6	51	0.3	48%	0	50.9	1.13%	0	2.2	66	0
20	Nov_23_2005	31.93	30.96	31	31.3			31.63(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	10	44	2.9	49%	0	52	1.12%	0	2.2	63	0

21	Nov_22_2005	31.93	30.96	30.93	31.13			31.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	14	-10000	9	29	2.97	47%	-0.03	43.7	1.12%	0	1.2	56	0
22	Nov_21_2005	31.94	30.91	30.89	30.98			31.24(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	9	15	1.78	47%	0	36.8	1.12%	0	1.2	59	0
23	Nov_18_2005	31.94	30.9	30.84	30.82			31.17(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	6	-12	3.2	47%	-0.03	18.7	1.12%	0	1	42	0
24	Nov_17_2005	31.95	30.86	30.81	30.72			31.23(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-4	-10000	4	-26	3.11	47%	0	0	1.12%	0	1.1	52	0
25	Nov_16_2005	31.95	30.8	30.77	30.66			30.78(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-3	-28	3.45	44%		-12.5	1.11%	0	-0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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