Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 8, 2004

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $23.3800 (-0.93%) ($23.3400 - $23.5700) on Tue. Jun. 8, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $23.3800(-0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(23%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.45(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.44(-0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.99(1.7%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2004	23.64	22.99	23.44	23.45			23.38(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	-3	121	1.07	35%	-0.04	22.1	0.9%	0	0.8	71	0
2	Jun_7_2004	23.65	22.94	23.4	23.45			23.6(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-10000	0	146	0.5	36%	0.04	14.7	0.89%	0	1.3	80	0
3	Jun_4_2004	23.64	22.94	23.3	23.48			23.4(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	-10000	-2	148	0.44	39%	0	10	0.89%	0	1.1	69	0
4	Jun_3_2004	23.64	22.94	23.22	23.5			23.32(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	41	-10000	1	161	0.71	39%	0	12.4	0.89%	0	0.9	70	0
5	Jun_2_2004	23.64	22.89	23.13	23.49			23.57(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-10000	6	167	0.24	41%	0	9	0.88%	0	1.4	77	0

6	Jun_1_2004	23.64	22.88	23.02	23.43			23.53(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	-10000	14	168	0.37	41%	0.04	4.3	0.88%	0	1.4	76	0
7	May_28_2004	23.63	22.87	22.9	23.29			23.56(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	-10000	20	146	0.5	41%	0	-5.3	0.89%	0	1.5	74	0
8	May_27_2004	23.63	22.85	22.79	23.09			23.51(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	-10000	19	109	0.73	43%	0	-20.4	0.89%	0	1.4	63	0
9	May_26_2004	23.63	22.83	22.68	22.9			23.27(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	19	52	0.75	42%	0	-33.5	0.89%	0	0.9	43	0
10	May_25_2004	23.63	22.84	22.58	22.71			23.26(1.79%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	9	-10000	15	-8	0.85	44%	0	-39.5	0.9%	0	0.9	45	0

11	May_24_2004	23.63	22.86	22.49	22.56			22.85(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	11	-67	0.64	40%	0	-41.7	0.88%	0	-0	35	0
12	May_21_2004	23.63	22.89	22.44	22.56			22.54(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-10000	0	-121	0.4	38%	-0.08	-44	0.86%	0	-0.7	31	0
13	May_20_2004	23.65	22.94	22.45	22.45			22.57(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	-10000	2	-137	0.63	36%	0	-44.2	0.86%	0	-0.7	36	0
14	May_19_2004	23.65	22.99	22.53	22.45			22.34(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	0	-142	0.66	33%	-0.04	-45	0.86%	0	-1.2	30	0
15	May_18_2004	23.66	23.04	22.63	22.43			22.5(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	-10000	3	-152	0.57	33%	-0.04	-48.4	0.86%	0	-1.1	27	0

16	May_17_2004	23.67	23.07	22.72	22.4			22.31(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-43	-10000	-2	-166	0.91	35%	-0.04	-53.3	0.85%	0	-1.6	23	0
17	May_14_2004	23.68	23.13	22.84	22.42			22.55(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-46	-10000	-4	-171	2.17	36%	-0.04	-58.8	0.85%	0	-1.3	26	0
18	May_13_2004	23.69	23.18	22.91	22.46			22.43(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-10000	-21	-181	1.01	36%	-0.04	-63.9	0.85%	0	-1.7	26	0
19	May_12_2004	23.7	23.23	23	22.66			22.34(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-56	-10000	-22	-157	2.1	36%	-0.04	-64.8	0.85%	0	-2.2	23	0
20	May_11_2004	23.71	23.28	23.14	22.87			22.36(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-47	-10000	-24	-115	1.44	36%	0	-71.6	0.85%	0	-2.6	34	0

21	May_10_2004	23.71	23.34	23.27	23.1			22.42(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-31	-10000	-21	-62	1.88	38%	-0.04	-80.6	0.85%	0	-3.1	40	0
22	May_7_2004	23.72	23.4	23.4	23.31			22.74(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-12	-10000	-10	-18	2.15	40%	0	-97.9	0.84%	0	-3	40	0
23	May_6_2004	23.72	23.47	23.48	23.41			23.45(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	2	7	2	47%	0.04	-96.6	0.76%	0	-0.1	48	0
24	May_5_2004	23.71	23.5	23.48	23.39			23.37(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10000	-7	2	0.53	47%	0.04	-88.7	0.76%	0	-0.5	49	0
25	May_4_2004	23.7	23.55	23.49	23.45			23.53(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-10000	-2	15	0.98	44%		-65.2	0.76%	0	-0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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