Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $23.3100 (0.17%) ($23.1000 - $23.4400) on Mon. Jan. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $23.3100(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(2%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.32(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.17(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.83(2.1%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2004	21.94	22.83	23.17	23.32			23.31(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	48	-10000	6	173	0.41	57%	0.09	74.3	0.57%	0	1.2	78	0
2	Jan_2_2004	21.92	22.77	23.13	23.28			23.27(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	-10000	5	188	0.2	59%	0.18	73.9	0.57%	0	1.3	78	0
3	Dec_31_2003	21.88	22.72	23.07	23.25			23.33(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	8	196	0.56	59%	0.14	74.4	0.58%	0	1.5	82	0
4	Dec_30_2003	21.85	22.66	22.99	23.2			23.37(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	-10000	12	202	0.18	59%	0.09	80.2	0.58%	0	1.8	85	0
5	Dec_29_2003	21.83	22.6	22.89	23.12			23.31(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	-10000	18	187	0.22	62%	0.14	87.8	0.58%	0	1.9	74	0

6	Dec_26_2003	21.8	22.54	22.8	23			23.14(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	7	159	0.17	63%	0.18	95.4	0.59%	0	1.8	73	0
7	Dec_24_2003	21.76	22.48	22.73	22.95			23.11(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	-10000	15	163	0.13	58%	0.14	105.6	0.59%	0	2	75	0
8	Dec_23_2003	21.73	22.42	22.65	22.85			23.07(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	-10000	16	142	0.42	58%	0.14	110.1	0.61%	0	2.1	75	0
9	Dec_22_2003	21.7	22.35	22.56	22.74			22.95(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	16	118	0.24	58%	0.09	106.7	0.61%	0	2	72	0
10	Dec_19_2003	21.68	22.28	22.5	22.63			22.74(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	9	97	0.47	56%	0.09	84.7	0.61%	0	1.4	69	0

11	Dec_18_2003	21.66	22.22	22.46	22.57			22.9(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	35	-10000	15	96	2.83	61%	0.09	70.6	0.61%	0	2	77	0
12	Dec_17_2003	21.64	22.15	22.38	22.47			22.61(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	9	78	1.75	58%	0.09	61.1	0.61%	0	1.4	74	0
13	Dec_16_2003	21.62	22.08	22.34	22.41			22.51(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	-10000	10	76	1.48	60%	0.09	44.8	0.61%	0	1.2	76	0
14	Dec_15_2003	21.6	22.04	22.31	22.34			22.37(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	-1	74	0.36	59%	0.05	39.3	0.61%	0	0.9	77	0
15	Dec_12_2003	21.59	22.01	22.29	22.35			22.45(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	4	109	0.96	59%	0.09	41.5	0.61%	0	1.3	86	0

16	Dec_11_2003	21.57	21.98	22.25	22.32			22.4(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-10000	4	128	1.09	59%	0.09	40	0.62%	0	1.2	83	0
17	Dec_10_2003	21.55	21.95	22.22	22.29			22.3(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	39	-10000	4	143	0.13	59%	0.05	36.3	0.62%	0	1.1	79	0
18	Dec_9_2003	21.54	21.92	22.18	22.29			22.2(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-10000	0	164	0.3	59%	0.09	31.2	0.62%	0	0.9	82	0
19	Dec_8_2003	21.52	21.9	22.14	22.26			22.39(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	-10000	8	178	0.3	62%	0.05	26.1	0.61%	0	1.6	69	0
20	Dec_5_2003	21.51	21.87	22.05	22.21			22.33(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	6	154	0.42	62%	0.09	20.3	0.61%	0	1.6	61	0

21	Dec_4_2003	21.49	21.84	21.96	22.17			22.21(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	6	130	0.48	62%	0.05	15.1	0.61%	0	1.4	58	0
22	Dec_3_2003	21.48	21.83	21.9	22.13			22.16(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	8	113	0.29	62%	0.09	13.9	0.61%	0	1.3	57	0
23	Dec_2_2003	21.46	21.83	21.81	22.08			22.2(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	13	83	0.28	66%	0	10.4	0.61%	0	1.5	60	0
24	Dec_1_2003	21.46	21.82	21.75	21.99			22.16(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	20	58	0.39	66%	0.05	4.5	0.65%	0	1.4	59	0
25	Nov_28_2003	21.45	21.81	21.71	21.85			22.1(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	17	23	0.25	66%		-10	0.65%	0	1.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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