Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $22.9500 (0.92%) ($22.7100 - $22.9500) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $22.9500(0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(2%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.74(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.56(1.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.35(2.68%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2003	21.7	22.35	22.56	22.74			22.95(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	16	118	0.24	58%	0.09	106.7	0.61%	0	2	72	0
2	Dec_19_2003	21.68	22.28	22.5	22.63			22.74(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	9	97	0.47	56%	0.09	84.7	0.61%	0	1.4	69	0
3	Dec_18_2003	21.66	22.22	22.46	22.57			22.9(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	35	-10000	15	96	2.83	61%	0.09	70.6	0.61%	0	2	77	0
4	Dec_17_2003	21.64	22.15	22.38	22.47			22.61(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	9	78	1.75	58%	0.09	61.1	0.61%	0	1.4	74	0
5	Dec_16_2003	21.62	22.08	22.34	22.41			22.51(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	-10000	10	76	1.48	60%	0.09	44.8	0.61%	0	1.2	76	0

6	Dec_15_2003	21.6	22.04	22.31	22.34			22.37(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	-1	74	0.36	59%	0.05	39.3	0.61%	0	0.9	77	0
7	Dec_12_2003	21.59	22.01	22.29	22.35			22.45(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	4	109	0.96	59%	0.09	41.5	0.61%	0	1.3	86	0
8	Dec_11_2003	21.57	21.98	22.25	22.32			22.4(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-10000	4	128	1.09	59%	0.09	40	0.62%	0	1.2	83	0
9	Dec_10_2003	21.55	21.95	22.22	22.29			22.3(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	39	-10000	4	143	0.13	59%	0.05	36.3	0.62%	0	1.1	79	0
10	Dec_9_2003	21.54	21.92	22.18	22.29			22.2(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-10000	0	164	0.3	59%	0.09	31.2	0.62%	0	0.9	82	0

11	Dec_8_2003	21.52	21.9	22.14	22.26			22.39(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	-10000	8	178	0.3	62%	0.05	26.1	0.61%	0	1.6	69	0
12	Dec_5_2003	21.51	21.87	22.05	22.21			22.33(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	6	154	0.42	62%	0.09	20.3	0.61%	0	1.6	61	0
13	Dec_4_2003	21.49	21.84	21.96	22.17			22.21(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	6	130	0.48	62%	0.05	15.1	0.61%	0	1.4	58	0
14	Dec_3_2003	21.48	21.83	21.9	22.13			22.16(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	8	113	0.29	62%	0.09	13.9	0.61%	0	1.3	57	0
15	Dec_2_2003	21.46	21.83	21.81	22.08			22.2(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	13	83	0.28	66%	0	10.4	0.61%	0	1.5	60	0

16	Dec_1_2003	21.46	21.82	21.75	21.99			22.16(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	20	58	0.39	66%	0.05	4.5	0.65%	0	1.4	59	0
17	Nov_28_2003	21.45	21.82	21.71	21.85			22.1(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	17	23	0.25	66%	0.05	-10	0.65%	0	1.2	56	0
18	Nov_26_2003	21.44	21.81	21.68	21.73			22.05(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	10	-10000	16	-10	0.47	66%	0	-22.9	0.64%	0	1	50	0
19	Nov_25_2003	21.44	21.81	21.65	21.62			21.89(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	18	-42	0.33	65%	0	-35.8	0.64%	0	0.4	43	0
20	Nov_24_2003	21.44	21.8	21.64	21.5			21.77(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-20	-10000	4	-90	1.13	65%	0	-51.9	0.64%	0	-0.1	40	0

21	Nov_21_2003	21.44	21.81	21.63	21.47			21.44(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-10000	-12	-119	0.48	56%	-0.05	-55.2	0.64%	0	-1.6	24	0
22	Nov_20_2003	21.45	21.83	21.67	21.55			21.48(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-12	-113	0.93	56%	0	-50	0.64%	0	-1.7	31	0
23	Nov_19_2003	21.45	21.86	21.72	21.63			21.53(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-9	-99	0.69	56%	-0.05	-42.9	0.65%	0	-1.6	31	0
24	Nov_18_2003	21.46	21.88	21.77	21.69			21.26(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-33	-10000	-15	-87	0.3	52%	-0.05	-37.8	0.63%	0	-3.4	30	0
25	Nov_17_2003	21.47	21.92	21.85	21.79			21.65(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-3	-57	0.88	59%		-41.8	0.59%	0	-2.3	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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