Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 3, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $22.1600 (0.5%) ($22.0200 - $22.2500) on Mon. Nov. 3, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $22.1600(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(23%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.03(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.99(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22(0.73%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.41% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2003	21.52		21.99	22.03			22.16(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	6	15	0.35	62%	-0.05	-7.3	0.64%	0	1.8	47	0
2	Oct_31_2003	21.53		21.97	21.99			22.05(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	4	-0	0.21	62%	0	-6.7	0.64%	0	0.5	46	0
3	Oct_30_2003	21.53	22	21.95	21.96			22.09(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	-10000	3	-12	0.41	62%	0	6.7	0.64%	0	0.9	53	0
4	Oct_29_2003	21.53	22	21.95	21.96			21.91(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	0	-22	0.47	60%	-0.05	28.9	0.64%	0	-1	44	0
5	Oct_28_2003	21.54	22	21.94	21.94			21.93(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-26	0.92	60%	0	51.1	0.65%	0	-0.8	47	0

6	Oct_27_2003	21.54	22	21.96	21.95			21.99(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	2	-20	0.33	60%	0	60	0.65%	0	-0.2	45	0
7	Oct_24_2003	21.54	22.01	21.97	21.94			21.9(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	2	-23	0.44	60%	0	60	0.66%	0	-0.9	39	0
8	Oct_23_2003	21.54	22	21.98	21.93			21.97(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-2	-34	0.41	60%	-0.05	43.8	0.66%	0	-0.2	40	0
9	Oct_22_2003	21.55	21.98	21.99	21.94			21.93(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-10000	2	-36	0.31	65%	0	29.1	0.66%	0	-0.3	41	0
10	Oct_21_2003	21.55	21.96	22	21.93			21.94(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-7	-38	0.35	59%	-0.05	22	0.69%	0	-0.1	52	0

11	Oct_20_2003	21.56	21.95	22.01	21.98			21.97(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10000	-4	-18	0.2	59%	0	27.1	0.72%	0	0.1	54	0
12	Oct_17_2003	21.56	21.95	22.03	22.01			21.86(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-4	-5	0.19	63%	0	34.4	0.74%	0	-0.3	49	0
13	Oct_16_2003	21.56	21.93	22.06	22.04			22(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-1	17	0.39	57%	0	39.6	0.73%	0	0.3	63	0
14	Oct_15_2003	21.56	21.92	22.08	22.05			21.9(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-2	39	0.85	52%	0	50	0.76%	0	-0.1	66	0
15	Oct_14_2003	21.56	21.91	22.09	22.07			22.18(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	16	-10000	2	59	0.5	55%	0.05	54	0.79%	0	1.2	79	0

16	Oct_13_2003	21.55	21.89	22.06	22.05			22.12(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	-10000	-1	61	0.34	55%	0	54.5	0.79%	0	1	63	0
17	Oct_10_2003	21.55	21.86	22.04	22.06			21.98(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-5	72	0.2	51%	0.05	53.5	0.79%	0	0.5	63	0
18	Oct_9_2003	21.54	21.85	22.02	22.1			22.05(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-2	79	0.4	51%	0.05	61	0.82%	0	0.9	60	0
19	Oct_8_2003	21.53	21.82	21.97	22.12			22.01(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	2	74	0.55	51%	0.05	63.8	0.82%	0	0.8	52	0
20	Oct_7_2003	21.52	21.8	21.92	22.1			22.09(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-10000	4	67	0.38	51%	0.09	63.2	0.83%	0	1.3	61	0

21	Oct_6_2003	21.5	21.77	21.88	22.06			22.16(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	4	61	0.18	51%	0.05	65.3	0.83%	0	1.8	61	0
22	Oct_3_2003	21.49	21.74	21.83	22.02			22.19(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	11	59	0.33	51%	0.09	79.3	0.83%	0	2.3	66	0
23	Oct_2_2003	21.47	21.71	21.78	21.92			22.14(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	13	46	0.19	51%	0.05	86.7	0.83%	0	2.4	61	0
24	Oct_1_2003	21.46	21.67	21.75	21.8			21.93(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	10	34	0.79	49%	0.09	98.6	0.83%	0	1.7	61	0
25	Sep_30_2003	21.44	21.65	21.72	21.71			21.9(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	4	19	0.18	49%		101.4	0.84%	0	1.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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